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Marbo W vs Lund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-65
22-13 27-17 14-16 27-19
Position#6
Record3-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.1
Allowed / game77.7
Marbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Lund W
Sweden
Position#10
Record4-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game81.7
SwedenBasketligan W· Kinnahallen (Kinna)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Marbo W v Lund W
21 Jan 2024
MARB90
LUND65
21 Dec 2022
MARB81
LUND91
30 Dec 2021
MARB82
LUND78
10 Jan 2021
MARB98
LUND87
20 Oct 2019
MARB49
LUND58
13 Jan 2019
MARB49
LUND56
17 Dec 2017
MARB96
LUND91
15 Jan 2017
MARB63
LUND51
09 Nov 2016
MARB73
LUND58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
53-52
53
52
+1
46avg 52
A14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 52
H22/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
36avg 52
A04/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
46-79
46
79
-33
27avg 52
H19/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
83avg 52
A25/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
86-63
86
63
+23
87avg 52
H03/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
53-87
53
87
-34
40avg 52
H09/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
67avg 52
A15/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
46-99
46
99
-53
27avg 52
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
65-67
65
67
-2
50avg 52
H14/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
10-11
14-9
10-13
16-15
18-17
22-22
22-27
16-16
10-19
16-16
16-16
8-19
19-29
16-16
3-15
21-24
18-22
23-8
26-32
25-25
19-19
18-10
24-9
22-25
12-20
13-22
6-20
13-14
20-16
13-28
28-19
9-29
9-25
14-20
14-25
15-14
21-25
16-17
13-11
140.5Avg total
64.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)64.177.7141.8-13.627%
Season at home (5)65.675.4141.0-9.820%
Season away (6)62.879.7142.5-16.833%
Last 10 (10)64.775.8140.5-11.130%
Last 5 (5)64.878.6143.4-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.690.4156.0-24.70%
vs Similar (8)79.076.1155.1+2.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.470.8152.1+10.662%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 59
H14/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
87-94
87
94
-7
83avg 59
A21/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
74-69
74
69
+5
66avg 59
H04/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
46-82
46
82
-36
33avg 59
A17/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
62avg 59
H25/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
65-60
65
60
+5
60avg 59
H02/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
63-114
63
114
-51
40avg 59
A09/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
64avg 59
H16/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 59
H06/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 59
A13/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-25
22-16
21-21
13-17
14-23
23-22
22-28
28-21
19-15
31-16
13-19
11-19
9-19
15-27
9-21
13-15
22-24
15-17
21-14
17-14
19-11
22-21
13-17
11-11
7-23
20-37
17-30
19-24
26-27
13-18
17-12
15-33
21-18
20-10
17-15
22-18
14-32
17-24
28-19
26-18
151.9Avg total
70.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.781.7151.5-12.036%
Season at home (7)69.473.7143.1-4.357%
Season away (4)70.295.8166.0-25.50%
Last 10 (10)70.881.1151.9-10.340%
Last 5 (5)72.883.6156.4-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.491.6162.9-20.212%
vs Similar (7)81.374.9156.1+6.471%
vs Weaker (6)81.564.7146.2+16.8100%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
Marbo WLund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H19/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A25/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H09/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
18-54
18
54
-36
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
Basketligan W
72.3Avg total
32.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.542.278.7-5.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.739.876.5-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)36.244.480.6-8.131%-
Last 10 (10)32.040.372.3-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.042.475.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.747.380.0-14.614%-
vs Similar (8)39.139.878.9-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.435.976.2+4.562%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H14/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H04/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A17/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H02/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
27-60
27
60
-33
A09/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H06/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A13/01
Basketligan W
78.0Avg total
35.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.342.379.6-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.938.277.1+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)35.447.082.4-11.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.542.578.0-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.844.280.0-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.648.682.2-15.16%-
vs Similar (7)41.335.076.3+6.371%-
vs Weaker (6)43.033.076.0+10.083%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 63.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.616.5
41.7%
44.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.76.8
25.5%
30.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws14.310.5
73.4%
73.7%10.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.618.3
40.1%
44.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.5
31.1%
30.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
73.7%13.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marbo W
LLLLWWLLLW
Lund W
LWLLWWLWLL
#6
League position
#10
-14.0
Net rating
-13.9
81.8
Offensive rating
85.6
95.7
Defensive rating
99.5
40.3%
Effective FG%
42.2%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
23.0%
Turnover %
25.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
25.5%
3-point %
31.1%
65.7%
Assist %
57.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence81.8 · 85.6Defence95.7 · 99.5Shooting40.3% · 42.2%3-point %25.5% · 31.1%Ball care23.0% · 25.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 32.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Marbo W   ■ Lund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Marbo W wins
6
Lund W wins
DateGameScore
01/02/23Lund W v Marbo W76-86
21/12/22Marbo W v Lund W81-91 OT
30/12/21Marbo W v Lund W82-78
09/10/21Lund W v Marbo W62-79
10/01/21Marbo W v Lund W98-87
17/10/20Lund W v Marbo W86-80 OT
31/01/20Lund W v Marbo W20-0
20/10/19Marbo W v Lund W49-58
13/01/19Marbo W v Lund W49-56
06/10/18Lund W v Marbo W89-67
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HUppsala W65-67
10/01/24ASodertalje W46-99
15/12/23AHogsbo W74-77
09/12/23HLulea W53-87
03/12/23HAIK Basket W86-63
25/11/23AAlvik W88-86
19/11/23HNorrkoping W46-79
04/11/23AOstersund W58-67
22/10/23HVisby W78-81
14/10/23ASjuharads W53-52
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AOstersund W85-93
06/01/24HVisby W80-61
16/12/23HUppsala W71-90
09/12/23ASodertalje W63-114
02/12/23HSjuharads W65-60
25/11/23HHogsbo W75-69
17/11/23ALulea W46-82
04/11/23HAIK Basket W74-69
21/10/23AAlvik W87-94
14/10/23HNorrkoping W62-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game64.165.662.8
Allowed / game77.775.479.7
Point differential-13.6-9.8-16.8
Avg total141.8141.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %36%57%0%
Points / game69.769.470.2
Allowed / game81.773.795.8
Point differential-12.0-4.3-25.5
Avg total151.5143.1166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W12120100%89.656.5+33.1
2 Norrkoping W1110191%80.163.5+16.6
3 Lulea W119282%83.356.5+26.7
4 Uppsala W128467%80.871.8+9.0
5 Ostersund W106460%76.467.9+8.5
6 Hogsbo W115645%69.575.2-5.7
7 Sjuharads W125742%61.864.1-2.2
8 Lund W114736%69.781.7-12.0
9 Alvik W124833%72.883.1-10.2
10 Marbo W113827%64.177.7-13.6
11 AIK Basket W111109%58.281.2-23.0
12 Visby W121118%58.885.3-26.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marbo W2227142790
Lund W1317161965
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