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Lund W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-69
22-24 15-17 21-14 17-14
Position#10
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game82.4
Lund W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game70.6
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen (Lund)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Lund W v Hogsbo W
06 Mar 2027
LUND v HOGS
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
LUND77
HOGS83
30 Nov 2024
LUND80
HOGS97
25 Nov 2023
LUND75
HOGS69
15 Feb 2023
LUND81
HOGS68
24 Oct 2021
LUND59
HOGS69
23 Jan 2021
LUND74
HOGS76
10 Apr 2019
LUND49
HOGS80
04 Apr 2019
LUND51
HOGS68
22 Dec 2018
LUND61
HOGS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
L
86-101
86
101
-15
no box
A04/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
H11/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
83-103
83
103
-20
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
64-113
64
113
-49
no box
A23/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
H25/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
59-88
59
88
-29
42avg 54
H08/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 54
H14/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
87-94
87
94
-7
83avg 54
A21/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
74-69
74
69
+5
66avg 54
H04/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
46-82
46
82
-36
33avg 54
A17/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
28-23
17-25
21-23
29-18
14-22
23-16
24-18
24-34
11-28
31-21
17-20
12-26
20-26
12-34
20-27
9-17
17-26
15-21
22-16
16-25
13-26
15-13
15-24
6-25
22-16
21-21
13-17
14-23
23-22
22-28
28-21
19-15
31-16
13-19
11-19
9-19
15-27
9-21
13-15
159.7Avg total
71.4Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.682.4148.0-16.820%
Season at home (3)65.078.7143.7-13.733%
Season away (2)66.588.0154.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)71.488.3159.7-16.920%
Last 5 (5)65.682.4148.0-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.194.1166.3-22.00%
vs Similar (10)80.579.6160.1+0.950%
vs Weaker (6)81.564.7146.2+16.8100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
no box
H25/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
57-89
57
89
-32
no box
A05/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
55-121
55
121
-66
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
54avg 65
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
74-61
74
61
+13
75avg 65
H14/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 65
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 65
H04/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
80avg 65
H16/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
23-20
11-16
16-24
11-24
18-18
14-27
13-29
15-21
17-26
16-15
9-27
9-19
16-26
11-16
23-20
17-28
12-38
17-28
9-27
17-25
22-12
18-11
13-27
20-8
19-13
17-26
18-14
16-18
13-17
22-12
18-17
16-16
13-19
19-29
20-24
24-15
22-18
10-15
20-17
147.5Avg total
65.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.470.6142.0+0.860%
Season at home (3)72.771.3144.0+1.367%
Season away (2)69.569.5139.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)65.282.3147.5-17.130%
Last 5 (5)71.470.6142.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)66.789.9156.6-23.113%
vs Similar (2)76.570.0146.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)71.664.6136.2+7.080%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -6.7-6.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -6.7-6.7
Lund WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A04/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A15/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A23/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H25/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H08/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H14/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H04/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A17/11
Basketligan W
81.6Avg total
35.2Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.181.4-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.541.780.2-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.582.5-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)35.246.481.6-11.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.876.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.250.483.6-17.20%-
vs Similar (10)42.638.881.4+3.860%-
vs Weaker (6)43.033.076.0+10.083%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H25/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
29-66
29
66
-37
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H14/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H04/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/11
Basketligan W
74.0Avg total
33.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.941.675.5-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.540.373.7-6.820%-
Last 30 away (15)34.342.977.2-8.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.840.274.0-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.268.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.244.276.4-12.013%-
vs Similar (2)40.035.075.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.232.271.4+7.060%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.5 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.221.8
43.3%
44.5%43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.03.8
22.1%
30.9%11.2
🏀 Free throws17.510.8
61.4%
73.7%10.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.416.6
41.1%
44.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
30.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.211.6
63.7%
73.7%11.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LWLLLLLLWL
Hogsbo W
WLWWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#7
-21.1
Net rating
+0.5
80.1
Offensive rating
90.1
101.2
Defensive rating
89.6
40.7%
Effective FG%
45.1%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
39.7%
25.4%
Turnover %
23.8%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
22.1%
3-point %
34.4%
57.8%
Assist %
71.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence80.1 · 90.1Defence101.2 · 89.6Shooting40.7% · 45.1%3-point %22.1% · 34.4%Ball care25.4% · 23.8%Off. rebounds32.2% · 32.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Lund W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lund W wins
8
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
15/02/23Lund W v Hogsbo W81-68
10/12/22Hogsbo W v Lund W74-82
09/03/22Hogsbo W v Lund W77-59
24/10/21Lund W v Hogsbo W59-69
23/01/21Lund W v Hogsbo W74-76
28/11/20Hogsbo W v Lund W101-60
21/12/19Hogsbo W v Lund W73-59
10/04/19Lund W v Hogsbo W49-80
07/04/19Hogsbo W v Lund W70-64
04/04/19Lund W v Hogsbo W51-68
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23ALulea W46-82
04/11/23HAIK Basket W74-69
21/10/23AAlvik W87-94
14/10/23HNorrkoping W62-79
08/10/23HOstersund W59-88
25/03/23HSodertalje W63-80
23/03/23ASodertalje W64-113
15/03/23ALulea W83-103
11/03/23HNorrkoping W90-74
04/03/23AOstersund W86-101
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23HSjuharads W76-65
04/11/23HLulea W68-88
21/10/23AAIK Basket W69-64
14/10/23HAlvik W74-61
07/10/23ANorrkoping W70-75
15/03/23ASodertalje W55-121
11/03/23HAlvik W59-81
05/03/23ANorrkoping W57-89
25/02/23HUppsala W56-98
15/02/23ALund W68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game65.665.066.5
Allowed / game82.478.788.0
Point differential-16.8-13.7-21.5
Avg total148.0143.7154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game71.472.769.5
Allowed / game70.671.369.5
Point differential+0.8+1.3+0.0
Avg total142.0144.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W550100%86.449.8+36.6
2 Sodertalje W550100%90.254.8+35.4
3 Norrkoping W65183%79.762.8+16.8
4 Uppsala W64267%82.269.8+12.3
5 Ostersund W53260%70.865.8+5.0
6 Hogsbo W53260%71.470.6+0.8
7 Sjuharads W52340%57.661.6-4.0
8 Alvik W62433%70.583.5-13.0
9 Marbo W62433%63.577.0-13.5
10 Lund W51420%65.682.4-16.8
11 Visby W61517%58.083.5-25.5
12 AIK Basket W6060%54.579.2-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W2215211775
Hogsbo W2417141469
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