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Maroussi vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 89-99
22-33 23-22 23-28 21-16
Position#12
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game92.8
Maroussi
Greece
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Greece
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game73.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 12· Dimotiko Gimnastirio Amarousiou
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Maroussi v Panathinaikos
10 Jan 2027
MAR v PAO
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
MAR89
PAO99
02 Mar 2025
MAR95
PAO102
31 Dec 2023
MAR79
PAO92
07 Mar 2012
MAR56
PAO96
26 Feb 2011
MAR57
PAO98
17 Feb 2010
MAR68
PAO82
04 Feb 2010
MAR80
PAO78
24 Jan 2009
MAR72
PAO76
17 Jan 2009
MAR80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maroussi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaroussiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaroussi
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
74avg 76
H05/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 76
A11/10
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
100avg 76
H18/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 76
A02/11
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
92-80
92
80
+12
89avg 76
A08/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
82-103
82
103
-21
74avg 76
H15/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 76
H23/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 76
A06/12
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
74avg 76
H14/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
87-103
87
103
-16
74avg 76
A21/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
14-28
17-29
22-18
23-16
14-26
32-25
19-26
19-18
27-19
20-16
17-30
16-20
18-20
17-23
24-14
20-19
23-17
18-25
31-19
24-28
19-20
28-29
11-26
20-23
26-20
17-25
24-24
17-23
26-17
13-30
22-10
20-31
17-28
28-21
22-17
25-23
13-22
17-27
32-31
179.3Avg total
86.5Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.592.8179.3-6.320%
Season at home (5)89.099.0188.0-10.020%
Season away (5)84.086.6170.6-2.620%
Last 10 (10)86.592.8179.3-6.320%
Last 5 (5)84.295.0179.2-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.096.5179.5-13.518%
vs Similar (19)83.284.3167.5-1.137%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
75avg 86
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
91-69
91
69
+22
96avg 86
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
79-89
79
89
-10
74avg 86
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
110-66
110
66
+44
115avg 86
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 86
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
101-63
101
63
+38
107avg 86
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 86
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
82avg 86
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 86
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 86
A23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
23-20
19-12
20-14
27-31
21-13
25-6
18-19
22-19
22-19
17-27
18-24
30-21
23-13
34-12
23-20
26-21
18-33
15-26
30-16
33-14
32-14
18-22
18-13
17-16
24-21
9-20
31-20
22-17
23-29
20-16
28-20
27-26
24-26
24-15
22-15
19-28
21-22
23-14
29-21
168.5Avg total
91.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.773.5165.2+18.290%
Season at home (5)94.675.6170.2+19.0100%
Season away (5)88.871.4160.2+17.480%
Last 10 (10)91.177.4168.5+13.780%
Last 5 (5)92.877.8170.6+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar (13)87.188.3175.4-1.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.976.2167.2+14.794%
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
MaroussiPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/10
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A02/11
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H23/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/12
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H14/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A21/12
Basket League
85.2Avg total
40.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.884.2-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.443.385.6-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)40.642.483.0-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.385.2-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.447.088.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.047.790.7-4.736%-
vs Similar (19)40.540.080.5+0.542%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
65-28
65
28
+37
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
47.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.742.788.4+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.343.490.6+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)44.342.286.5+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)47.042.289.2+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.691.0+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (13)43.445.288.5-1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.440.888.2+6.769%-
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.4
53.0%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.1
35.8%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.614.6
70.9%
74.4%14.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.5
57.6%
54.1%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.3
38.3%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.015.4
81.1%
74.4%15.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maroussi
LLLLLWLWLL
Panathinaikos
WWWWWLWLWW
#12
League position
#2
-8.3
Net rating
+18.6
110.0
Offensive rating
122.8
118.3
Defensive rating
104.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
57.5%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
38.3%
57.0%
Assist %
67.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 122.8Defence118.3 · 104.1Shooting53.3% · 57.5%3-point %35.8% · 38.3%Ball care17.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.3% · 33.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Maroussi   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maroussi wins
10
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Maroussi v Panathinaikos95-102
01/12/24Panathinaikos v Maroussi100-74
31/12/23Maroussi v Panathinaikos79-92
09/10/23Panathinaikos v Maroussi82-71
07/03/12Maroussi v Panathinaikos56-96
19/12/11Panathinaikos v Maroussi93-84
11/10/11Panathinaikos v Maroussi93-61
26/02/11Maroussi v Panathinaikos57-98
28/11/10Panathinaikos v Maroussi102-65
11/03/10Panathinaikos v Maroussi82-79
Maroussilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AAS Karditsas87-103
14/12/25HPAOK87-97
06/12/25APeristeri78-80
23/11/25HIraklis87-92
15/11/25HAEK Athens82-103
08/11/25APanionios92-80
02/11/25AMykonos75-77
18/10/25HAris108-103 OT
11/10/25APromitheas88-93
05/10/25HOlympiacos81-100
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas92-85
20/12/25HIraklis97-82
18/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
16/12/25AFenerbahce81-77
13/12/25AAEK Athens101-63
11/12/25AOlimpia Milano89-96
07/12/25HPanionios110-66
05/12/25HValencia79-89
25/11/25HPartizan91-69
22/11/25AMykonos78-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maroussi
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game86.589.084.0
Allowed / game92.899.086.6
Point differential-6.3-10.0-2.6
Avg total179.3188.0170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game91.794.688.8
Allowed / game73.575.671.4
Point differential+18.2+19.0+17.4
Avg total165.2170.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%80%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos11110100%95.677.5+18.1
2 Panathinaikos109190%91.773.5+18.2
3 PAOK119282%83.979.5+4.4
4 AEK Athens117464%81.779.4+2.4
5 Promitheas116555%85.084.5+0.5
6 Aris115645%81.680.4+1.3
7 Iraklis115645%81.882.8-1.0
8 Mykonos115645%77.180.8-3.7
9 Peristeri115645%77.582.0-4.5
10 AS Karditsas114736%80.183.8-3.7
11 Maroussi102820%86.592.8-6.3
12 Kolossos Rhodes112918%76.384.3-8.0
13 Panionios121118%77.392.4-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maroussi2223232189
Panathinaikos3322281699
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