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Panathinaikos vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 79-89
22-19 22-19 17-27 18-24
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#3
Record8-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2025
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Valencia
12 Jan 2027
PAO v VAL
upcoming
08 May 2026
PAO86
VAL89
06 May 2026
PAO87
VAL91
05 Dec 2025
PAO79
VAL89
23 Nov 2023
PAO90
VAL73
10 Feb 2023
PAO91
VAL92
29 Jan 2021
PAO91
VAL72
30 Mar 2018
PAO75
VAL56
25 Nov 2010
PAO69
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-85
99
85
+14
93avg 86
H28/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
84-92
84
92
-8
71avg 86
A31/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
68-86
68
86
-18
48avg 86
A05/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
81avg 86
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
103avg 86
A11/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 86
A13/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
74avg 86
H16/11
Basket League
Dubai
#11
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 86
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
75avg 86
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
91-69
91
69
+22
96avg 86
H25/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
23-24
21-17
31-19
20-27
21-23
17-18
26-24
12-20
20-26
8-21
28-19
22-22
26-21
19-13
22-16
27-28
25-15
20-29
29-23
22-16
30-22
21-21
14-18
23-15
18-36
20-12
21-14
25-24
20-24
30-14
28-20
16-19
23-20
19-12
20-14
27-31
21-13
25-6
18-19
168.2Avg total
88.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.585.4174.8+4.169%
Season at home (6)94.583.8178.3+10.783%
Season away (7)85.186.7171.9-1.657%
Last 10 (10)88.280.0168.2+8.280%
Last 5 (5)88.274.0162.2+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.886.4171.1-1.636%
vs Weaker (15)89.775.8165.5+13.993%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 90
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 90
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 90
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
79-85
79
85
-6
60avg 90
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
89-76
89
76
+13
80avg 90
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 90
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
96-79
96
79
+17
95avg 90
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 90
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 90
H23/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
83avg 90
H25/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
15-21
22-23
20-14
32-21
23-14
16-22
29-25
17-18
18-20
23-23
19-25
17-28
19-15
17-21
26-21
22-21
23-17
22-22
22-16
14-15
35-22
22-30
15-23
25-28
17-15
24-15
30-21
26-26
23-13
11-21
16-13
26-16
21-15
28-21
23-20
19-21
22-16
27-12
22-15
165.6Avg total
87.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.085.8174.8+3.262%
Season at home (7)89.380.6169.9+8.786%
Season away (6)88.791.8180.5-3.233%
Last 10 (10)87.178.5165.6+8.670%
Last 5 (5)89.275.6164.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.187.5172.5-2.436%
vs Weaker (18)95.883.1178.9+12.789%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
PanathinaikosValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A31/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A11/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H16/11
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
89.6Avg total
44.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.185.9+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.942.088.9+4.969%-
Last 30 away (17)41.442.283.6-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.545.189.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.089.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.142.984.0-1.736%-
vs Weaker (15)46.041.487.4+4.673%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H23/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
43.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.941.386.1+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.438.885.2+7.673%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.787.1-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.281.9+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.483.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.542.585.0+0.145%-
vs Weaker (18)46.440.486.8+6.067%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.5
55.4%
60.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.1
71.6%
78.2%14.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.8
53.6%
60.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.8
36.3%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.813.7
65.9%
78.2%13.7
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWLLW
Valencia
WWWWLWLLWW
#7
League position
#3
+10.7
Net rating
+12.4
119.6
Offensive rating
112.1
108.9
Defensive rating
99.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
12.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.0%
3-point %
36.3%
61.9%
Assist %
63.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 112.1Defence108.9 · 99.7Shooting54.2% · 54.0%3-point %35.0% · 36.3%Ball care12.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds35.1% · 32.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HPartizan91-69
22/11/25AMykonos78-65
20/11/25HDubai103-82
16/11/25HAris82-77
13/11/25AReal Madrid87-77
11/11/25AParis101-95
08/11/25APeristeri89-72
05/11/25ACrvena zvezda68-86
31/10/25AMonaco84-92
28/10/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-85
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HBayern90-64
23/11/25HBasquet Girona98-72
21/11/25HCrvena zvezda76-73
16/11/25HTenerife96-79
13/11/25AParis86-90
11/11/25HReal Madrid89-76
09/11/25AGranada79-85
07/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas77-86
02/11/25HSan Pablo Burgos100-82
30/10/25HDubai80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game89.594.585.1
Allowed / game85.483.886.7
Point differential+4.1+10.7-1.6
Avg total174.8178.3171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game89.089.388.7
Allowed / game85.880.691.8
Point differential+3.2+8.7-3.2
Avg total174.8169.9180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1410471%90.483.8+6.6
2 Panathinaikos139469%89.585.4+4.1
3 Monaco149564%90.883.1+7.6
4 Crvena zvezda149564%86.381.9+4.4
5 Barcelona149564%85.684.1+1.4
6 Olympiacos138562%86.481.8+4.6
7 Valencia138562%89.085.8+3.2
8 Fenerbahce138562%79.678.5+1.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%85.580.4+5.1
10 Real Madrid148657%84.282.5+1.7
11 Olimpia Milano137654%84.583.5+1.1
12 Virtus Bologna136746%81.583.3-1.8
13 Dubai136746%86.288.1-1.8
14 Paris145936%90.492.1-1.8
15 Partizan145936%82.487.2-4.9
16 Anadolu Efes145936%80.185.7-5.6
17 Bayern145936%77.483.7-6.3
18 Baskonia134931%85.590.0-4.5
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%88.692.6-4.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1431121%76.185.9-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2222171879
Valencia1919272489
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