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AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 63-101
14-33 14-32 22-18 13-18
Position#4
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game73.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 10· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
08 Nov 2026
AAT v PAO
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
AAT63
PAO101
12 Jan 2025
AAT80
PAO103
12 Feb 2024
AAT69
PAO89
25 Mar 2023
AAT77
PAO73
03 Apr 2022
AAT69
PAO83
26 May 2021
AAT71
PAO78
21 May 2021
AAT92
PAO80
28 Apr 2021
AAT95
PAO104
24 Sep 2020
AAT73
PAO79
05 Jan 2020
AAT100
PAO97
10 Apr 2019
AAT72
PAO104
14 Jan 2018
AAT74
PAO94
05 Nov 2017
AAT73
PAO69
22 May 2017
AAT67
PAO105
14 May 2017
AAT71
PAO70
26 Mar 2017
AAT87
PAO106
16 Feb 2015
AAT62
PAO70
18 Dec 2010
AAT78
PAO95
17 Jan 2010
AAT47
PAO85
22 Apr 2009
AAT70
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 80
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 80
H18/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
82-61
82
61
+21
78avg 80
A25/10
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
63avg 80
A28/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 80
A01/11
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
70avg 80
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
95-64
95
64
+31
97avg 80
H12/11
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
W
103-82
103
82
+21
105avg 80
A15/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
93-100
93
100
-7
94avg 80
A07/12
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
99-88 OT
99
88
+11
96avg 80
H10/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
23-23
22-23
24-21
14-15
23-7
24-17
16-23
24-19
21-13
19-18
18-11
19-17
19-19
18-15
15-18
19-23
21-20
14-14
12-22
23-18
17-13
14-27
22-20
26-20
15-21
24-7
30-16
28-24
20-19
29-28
26-11
24-18
12-33
24-24
33-25
27-24
22-23
19-16
14-19
161.3Avg total
85.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.677.5162.1+7.162%
Season at home (3)82.071.0153.0+11.067%
Season away (5)86.281.4167.6+4.860%
Last 10 (10)85.376.0161.3+9.370%
Last 5 (5)93.282.4175.6+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.884.2161.0-7.420%
vs Similar (3)74.780.0154.7-5.30%
vs Weaker (21)85.473.9159.2+11.590%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
81avg 87
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
103avg 87
A11/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 87
A13/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
74avg 87
H16/11
Basket League
Dubai
#11
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 87
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
75avg 87
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
91-69
91
69
+22
96avg 87
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
79-89
79
89
-10
74avg 87
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
110-66
110
66
+44
115avg 87
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 87
A11/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
26-21
19-13
22-16
27-28
25-15
20-29
29-23
22-16
30-22
21-21
14-18
23-15
18-36
20-12
21-14
25-24
20-24
30-14
28-20
16-19
23-20
19-12
20-14
27-31
21-13
25-6
18-19
22-19
22-19
17-27
18-24
30-21
23-13
34-12
23-20
26-21
18-33
15-26
30-16
169.7Avg total
90.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.973.8163.6+16.188%
Season at home (4)94.074.0168.0+20.0100%
Season away (4)85.873.5159.2+12.275%
Last 10 (10)90.978.8169.7+12.180%
Last 5 (5)89.477.0166.4+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar (14)85.688.7174.3-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.375.6165.9+14.793%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
AEK AthensPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H18/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A25/10
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A28/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/11
Basket League
PAOK
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/11
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A15/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A07/12
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H10/12
Champions League
79.8Avg total
41.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.378.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.237.079.2+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)38.739.978.6-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.979.8+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.685.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.443.478.8-8.00%-
vs Similar (3)39.039.778.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker (21)42.236.879.0+5.476%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A11/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H16/11
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/12
Euroleague
89.8Avg total
46.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.686.7+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.841.888.5+5.069%-
Last 30 away (17)42.143.285.2-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)46.643.289.8+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.887.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (14)42.144.686.7-2.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.740.786.3+5.073%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.0
54.9%
54.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.917.7
80.8%
74.4%17.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.6
57.7%
54.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.1
37.5%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.4%14.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWWLLWWWW
Panathinaikos
LWLWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
+12.8
Net rating
+16.7
113.5
Offensive rating
123.8
100.7
Defensive rating
107.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
57.1%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.0%
3-point %
37.5%
65.5%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 123.8Defence100.7 · 107.2Shooting54.0% · 57.1%3-point %35.0% · 37.5%Ball care16.4% · 14.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 36.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25HLevice99-88 OT
07/12/25AOlympiacos93-100
15/11/25AMaroussi103-82
12/11/25HVEF Riga95-64
09/11/25HPAOK76-78
01/11/25APeristeri66-79
28/10/25ALevice71-69
25/10/25AIraklis82-61
18/10/25HAS Karditsas77-62
15/10/25HSzolnoki Olaj91-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25AOlimpia Milano89-96
07/12/25HPanionios110-66
05/12/25HValencia79-89
25/11/25HPartizan91-69
22/11/25AMykonos78-65
20/11/25HDubai103-82
16/11/25HAris82-77
13/11/25AReal Madrid87-77
11/11/25AParis101-95
08/11/25APeristeri89-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game84.682.086.2
Allowed / game77.571.081.4
Point differential+7.1+11.0+4.8
Avg total162.1153.0167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game89.994.085.8
Allowed / game73.874.073.5
Point differential+16.1+20.0+12.2
Avg total163.6168.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos990100%94.178.3+15.8
2 Panathinaikos87188%89.973.8+16.1
3 PAOK86275%81.079.0+2.0
4 AEK Athens85362%84.677.5+7.1
5 Peristeri85362%79.278.0+1.2
6 Promitheas105550%84.384.9-0.6
7 Aris94544%82.380.7+1.7
8 Iraklis94544%82.083.1-1.1
9 Mykonos94544%75.081.0-6.0
10 AS Karditsas93633%78.984.8-5.9
11 Maroussi82625%86.491.0-4.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes92722%74.481.1-6.7
13 Panionios101910%77.492.3-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1414221363
Panathinaikos33321818101
← all games of the day
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