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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-92
28-19 22-21 14-23 21-29
Position#5
Record10-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game81.5
Zalgiris Kaunas
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Position#7
Record11-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Panathinaikos
19 Nov 2026
ZAL v PAO
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
ZAL85
PAO92
22 Nov 2024
ZAL84
PAO77
02 Feb 2024
ZAL80
PAO68
02 Dec 2022
ZAL67
PAO81
16 Nov 2021
ZAL76
PAO69
08 Apr 2021
ZAL93
PAO78
18 Jan 2019
ZAL82
PAO69
07 Dec 2017
ZAL80
PAO74
09 Mar 2017
ZAL64
PAO58
17 Dec 2015
ZAL72
PAO75
13 Mar 2015
ZAL76
PAO70
21 Feb 2013
ZAL73
PAO78
07 Dec 2011
ZAL59
PAO94
04 Dec 2008
ZAL69
PAO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
96avg 84
A20/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 84
A23/11
LKL
Baskonia
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
75avg 84
H25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
50avg 84
H04/12
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
108-71
108
71
+37
117avg 84
H07/12
LKL
Paris
#16
W
108-105
108
105
+3
109avg 84
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
94avg 84
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
64-87
64
87
-23
57avg 84
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
109-68
109
68
+41
113avg 84
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
118-73
118
73
+45
126avg 84
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
21-21
25-19
37-38
20-18
15-19
27-22
19-18
18-24
19-18
17-12
28-13
14-22
16-29
16-9
19-23
29-22
27-18
26-18
26-13
28-29
20-27
32-17
28-32
24-21
22-27
27-14
18-13
17-28
18-9
16-26
13-24
28-15
25-15
29-18
27-20
33-21
25-10
35-19
25-23
173.1Avg total
92.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.981.5168.5+5.459%
Season at home (9)83.375.1158.4+8.267%
Season away (8)91.088.8179.8+2.250%
Last 10 (10)92.580.6173.1+11.970%
Last 5 (5)98.081.6179.6+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.785.4173.1+2.357%
vs Weaker (22)89.575.0164.5+14.582%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 86
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
75avg 86
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
91-69
91
69
+22
96avg 86
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
79-89
79
89
-10
74avg 86
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
110-66
110
66
+44
115avg 86
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 86
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
101-63
101
63
+38
107avg 86
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 86
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
82avg 86
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 86
H20/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
20-24
30-14
28-20
16-19
23-20
19-12
20-14
27-31
21-13
25-6
18-19
22-19
22-19
17-27
18-24
30-21
23-13
34-12
23-20
26-21
18-33
15-26
30-16
33-14
32-14
18-22
18-13
17-16
24-21
9-20
31-20
22-17
23-29
20-16
28-20
27-26
24-26
24-15
22-15
169.3Avg total
92.2Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.585.5174.1+3.065%
Season at home (8)92.484.2176.6+8.175%
Season away (9)85.186.7171.8-1.656%
Last 10 (10)92.277.1169.3+15.180%
Last 5 (5)92.280.0172.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.488.8175.2-2.438%
vs Weaker (16)90.976.2167.2+14.794%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +7.6+7.6Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +5.5+5.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +7.6+7.6Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +5.5+5.5
Zalgiris KaunasPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A23/11
LKL
Baskonia
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H04/12
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H07/12
LKL
Paris
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
85.0Avg total
43.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.881.4+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.036.679.6+6.473%-
Last 30 away (15)44.238.983.1+5.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.585.0+2.030%-
Last 5 (5)48.040.488.4+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.139.983.0+3.371%-
vs Weaker (22)44.136.580.6+7.568%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
65-28
65
28
+37
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H20/12
Basket League
89.5Avg total
47.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.442.487.8+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.343.490.6+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.841.685.4+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)47.542.089.5+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)49.243.492.6+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.744.587.2-1.838%-
vs Weaker (16)47.440.888.2+6.769%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.7
59.0%
60.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.3
39.8%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.915.2
72.7%
78.2%15.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.624.2
59.6%
60.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.1
36.7%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.515.9
81.5%
78.2%15.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWWLWWL
Panathinaikos
WWWWLWLWWW
#5
League position
#7
+16.1
Net rating
+21.1
124.0
Offensive rating
124.6
107.9
Defensive rating
103.5
59.2%
Effective FG%
57.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.8%
3-point %
36.7%
67.9%
Assist %
66.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence124.0 · 124.6Defence107.9 · 103.5Shooting59.2% · 57.9%3-point %39.8% · 36.7%Ball care14.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds33.7% · 34.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
23/01/25Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas89-76
22/11/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Panathinaikos84-77
02/02/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Panathinaikos80-68
15/11/23Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas73-71
26/01/23Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas89-65
02/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Panathinaikos67-81
01/03/22Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas83-96
16/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Panathinaikos76-69
08/04/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Panathinaikos93-78
11/12/20Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas69-81
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AJonava118-73
19/12/25HPartizan109-68
17/12/25HAnadolu Efes64-87
14/12/25AJuventus91-75
11/12/25AParis108-105
07/12/25HGargzdai108-71
04/12/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv65-83
25/11/25HBaskonia82-67
23/11/25ALietkabelis81-77
20/11/25AReal Madrid99-100
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HIraklis97-82
18/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
16/12/25AFenerbahce81-77
13/12/25AAEK Athens101-63
11/12/25AOlimpia Milano89-96
07/12/25HPanionios110-66
05/12/25HValencia79-89
25/11/25HPartizan91-69
22/11/25AMykonos78-65
20/11/25HDubai103-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game86.983.391.0
Allowed / game81.575.188.8
Point differential+5.4+8.2+2.2
Avg total168.5158.4179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW65%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game88.592.485.1
Allowed / game85.584.286.7
Point differential+3.0+8.1-1.6
Avg total174.1176.6171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1712571%88.983.4+5.5
2 Barcelona1812667%88.184.9+3.2
3 Valencia1711665%89.585.5+4.0
4 Panathinaikos1711665%88.585.5+3.0
5 Fenerbahce1711665%80.278.3+1.9
6 Monaco1710759%90.283.4+6.8
7 Zalgiris Kaunas1710759%86.981.5+5.4
8 Crvena zvezda1710759%85.482.3+3.1
9 Real Madrid1710759%85.383.6+1.7
10 Olympiacos169756%87.984.0+3.9
11 Olimpia Milano189950%84.885.0-0.2
12 Dubai189950%86.887.6-0.8
13 Virtus Bologna178947%81.682.2-0.6
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1771041%89.191.6-2.6
15 Baskonia1761135%88.091.1-3.1
16 Anadolu Efes1761135%80.484.6-4.2
17 Partizan1761135%80.587.8-7.3
18 Paris1751229%89.992.8-2.9
19 Bayern1751229%77.884.7-6.9
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1741324%77.086.8-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2822142185
Panathinaikos1921232992
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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