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Marquette vs Chicago State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 84-59
Projected total 143.1
Scheduled
Position#146
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game53.0
Vs
98%
■ MARQ 98%■ CHIC 2%
Pythia win probability
Position#267
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Marquette v Chicago State
22 Nov 2026
MARQ v CHIC
upcoming
26 Nov 2022
MARQ82
CHIC68
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Marquette host Chicago State in the NCAA. Pythia makes Marquette the favourite at 98% and projects 84-59, about 143 points in all. Overtime chance: 0%. Marquette are 2-1 this season (80.3 scored, 53.0 allowed a game), form WLWWL; Chicago State are 2-3 this season (68.0 scored, 78.8 allowed a game), form LWLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marquette win
98.2%fair 1.02
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State win
1.8%fair 56.23
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A14/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H19/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A05/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
78-43
78
43
+35
H03/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
93-32
93
32
+61
H07/11
NCAA
Michigan
#163
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-51
53-45
35-44
35-32
40-35
36-25
14-32
37-30
37-23
41-33
33-35
35-27
38-38
49-51
36-14
42-29
41-19
52-13
27-35
43-49
141.9Avg total
75.9Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.353.0133.3+27.367%
Season at home (2)85.537.5123.0+48.0100%
Season away (1)70.084.0154.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)75.966.0141.9+9.950%
Last 5 (5)79.262.0141.2+17.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.977.6146.5-8.78%
vs Similar (15)76.774.7151.4+1.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.353.0133.3+27.367%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
59-109
59
109
-50
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-28
33-32
28-25
42-26
31-32
25-41
24-42
37-38
33-40
42-39
30-56
29-53
34-22
32-32
33-53
34-29
39-26
42-36
29-46
38-41
139.8Avg total
66.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Season at home (1)67.082.0149.0-15.00%
Season away (4)68.278.0146.2-9.850%
Last 10 (10)66.173.7139.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)63.675.2138.8-11.617%
vs Similar (4)76.273.2149.5+3.075%
vs Weaker (2)75.558.0133.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Marquette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
42.6%
Under 146
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
30.7%
Under 151
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
20.6%
Under 156
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Marquette total 80.5
Over 80.5
65.1%
Under 80.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marquette total 84.5
Over 84.5
49.3%
Under 84.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marquette total 88.5
Over 88.5
33.6%
Under 88.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chicago State total 62
Over 62
36.6%
Under 62
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chicago State total 66
Over 66
22.5%
Under 66
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chicago State total 70
Over 70
12.2%
Under 70
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Marquette -3
MARQ -3
97.4%
CHIC +3
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
MARQ
No market prices yet.
CHIC
No market prices yet.
Spread Marquette 0
MARQ 0
98.2%
CHIC 0
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
MARQ
No market prices yet.
CHIC
No market prices yet.
Spread Marquette +3
MARQ +3
98.9%
CHIC -3
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
MARQ
No market prices yet.
CHIC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: -1.3-1.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: -1.3-1.3
MarquetteChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
14-32
14
32
-18
H01/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A05/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
36-14
36
14
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H07/11
NCAA
Michigan
#163
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
33.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.170.2+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.232.969.1+3.447%-
Last 30 away (13)33.837.971.7-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.632.666.2+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.263.2+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.638.371.9-4.817%-
vs Similar (15)36.534.971.5+1.653%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.722.757.3+12.067%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A14/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
30.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.935.866.7-4.840%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.032.766.7+1.364%-
Last 30 away (19)29.237.566.7-8.426%-
Last 10 (10)30.737.067.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.673.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.436.866.2-7.429%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.569.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker (2)40.528.068.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Marquette wins
0
Chicago State wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22Marquette v Chicago State82-68
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AMichigan70-84
07/11/26HDetroit93-32
03/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers78-43
11/03/26HXavier87-89
07/03/26HUconn68-62
05/03/26AProvidence78-56
01/03/26HDePaul51-62
25/02/26AGeorgetown76-60
19/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)70-76
14/02/26AXavier88-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASan Diego Toreros67-87
12/11/26ACalifornia Baptist81-62
10/11/26HSouth Carolina St67-82
06/11/26AIncarnate Word66-54
03/11/26ATexas59-109
05/03/26ALIU Sharks75-79
28/02/26AWagner61-80
27/02/26ALIU Sharks56-73
21/02/26HCentral Connecticut State70-51
20/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson59-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marquette
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.385.570.0
Allowed / game53.037.584.0
Point differential+27.3+48.0-14.0
Avg total133.3123.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chicago State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game68.067.068.2
Allowed / game78.882.078.0
Point differential-10.8-15.0-9.8
Avg total146.8149.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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