Michigan hosts Marquette on 11 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Michigan the clear favourite, rating them 92% to win largely because of their 1-1 record and 80.5 points per game compared with Marquette's 2-0 record and 85.5 points per game; the model also notes Michigan's 76.5 points allowed per game versus Marquette's 37.5. Michigan has won one of its two games this season, averaging 80.5 points and conceding 76.5, while Marquette is undefeated at 2-0, scoring 85.5 and allowing 37.5. Michigan's home record is 1-1 and its last five games were 4-1, with a recent loss to Uconn 77-85 and a win over Oakland 84-68; Marquette's last five games were 4-1, with recent victories over Detroit 93-32 and Mercyhurst 78-43 and a loss to Xavier 87-89. The teams have met once before, with the last meeting recorded as a win for Michigan. Pythia projects a 83-67 score, a total of 150.6, gives Michigan a 92% win probability and an 86% chance to cover the -4.5 line, and an over probability of 43% on the 153.5 total, with a 2% chance of overtime. The game ends with Michigan's 83 points.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 80.5 | 76.5 | 157.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 80.5 | 76.5 | 157.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 84.2 | 72.5 | 156.7 | +11.7 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.2 | 70.2 | 153.4 | +13.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 77.0 | 85.0 | 162.0 | -8.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (4) | 83.2 | 70.8 | 154.0 | +12.5 | 75% |
| vs Weaker (25) | 83.3 | 70.7 | 154.0 | +12.6 | 92% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 85.5 | 37.5 | 123.0 | +48.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 85.5 | 37.5 | 123.0 | +48.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 76.3 | 65.3 | 141.6 | +11.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.8 | 56.4 | 137.2 | +24.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 68.9 | 77.6 | 146.5 | -8.7 | 8% |
| vs Similar (15) | 76.7 | 74.7 | 151.4 | +1.9 | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 84.3 | 54.7 | 139.0 | +29.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 72.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 34.8 | 75.5 | +6.0 | 70% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (19) | 41.4 | 35.6 | 77.0 | +5.7 | 74% | 74% |
| Last 30 away (11) | 39.7 | 33.3 | 73.0 | +6.5 | 64% | 45% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.7 | 36.6 | 78.3 | +5.1 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.2 | 33.2 | 74.4 | +8.0 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 30.0 | 43.0 | 73.0 | -13.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (4) | 41.8 | 34.2 | 76.0 | +7.5 | 75% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (25) | 41.0 | 34.5 | 75.6 | +6.5 | 72% | 64% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 72.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.7 | 35.3 | 71.0 | +0.4 | 40% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 36.6 | 33.4 | 69.9 | +3.2 | 44% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 34.3 | 38.2 | 72.5 | -3.8 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.1 | 32.7 | 66.8 | +1.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.0 | 25.8 | 62.8 | +11.2 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 33.6 | 38.3 | 71.9 | -4.8 | 17% | 58% |
| vs Similar (15) | 36.5 | 34.9 | 71.5 | +1.6 | 53% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 39.7 | 25.0 | 64.7 | +14.7 | 67% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan -6 | 83.1% | 2.31 | 2.42 | 2.20 | - | - | - | +43.6pp | Won |
| Michigan -8 | 78.0% | 2.60 | 2.60 | - | - | - | - | +42.2pp | Won |
| Michigan -9 | 75.1% | 2.80 | 2.80 | - | - | - | - | +42.1pp | Won |
| Michigan -10 | 72.1% | 3.10 | 3.10 | - | - | - | - | +42.1pp | Won |
| Michigan -7 | 80.6% | 2.40 | 2.40 | - | - | - | - | +41.9pp | Won |
| Michigan -5 | 85.4% | 2.04 | 2.20 | 2.05 | 1.96 | 1.94 | - | +41.8pp | Won |
| Michigan -5.5 | 83.5% | 2.14 | 2.29 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 2.07 | - | +41.6pp | Won |
| Michigan -8.5 | 75.9% | 2.67 | 2.70 | 2.65 | - | - | - | +41.3pp | Won |
| Michigan -7.5 | 78.6% | 2.49 | 2.50 | 2.47 | - | - | - | +41.2pp | Won |
| Michigan -9.5 | 73.0% | 2.88 | 2.92 | 2.85 | - | - | - | +40.9pp | Won |
| Michigan -4.5 | 85.7% | 1.96 | 2.10 | 2.02 | 1.96 | 1.95 | 1.93 | +40.1pp | Won |
| Michigan -6.5 | 81.1% | 2.21 | 2.27 | 2.25 | 2.12 | - | - | +40.0pp | Won |
| Michigan -4 | 87.4% | 1.94 | 2.00 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.90 | - | +39.5pp | Won |
| Michigan -3.5 | 87.7% | 1.86 | 1.91 | 1.89 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.85 | +37.3pp | Won |
| Marquette under 73.5 | 74.0% | 2.46 | 2.55 | 2.37 | - | - | - | +36.6pp | Won |
| Michigan -3 | 89.1% | 1.78 | 1.81 | 1.79 | 1.78 | 1.74 | - | +36.2pp | Won |
| Marquette under 75.5 | 79.9% | 1.92 | 2.11 | 2.05 | 1.90 | 1.86 | 1.80 | +35.3pp | Won |
| Michigan (regulation) | 91.0% | 1.62 | 1.66 | 1.60 | 1.59 | - | - | +35.2pp | Won |
| Marquette under 76.5 | 82.5% | 1.89 | 1.99 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.88 | 1.87 | +35.0pp | Won |
| Marquette under 77 | 84.5% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +34.5pp | Won |
| Marquette under 77.5 | 84.9% | 1.83 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.75 | - | +34.5pp | Won |
| Michigan -2.5 | 89.2% | 1.74 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.73 | 1.71 | +34.2pp | Won |
| Marquette under 72.5 | 70.8% | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 | - | - | - | +34.0pp | Won |
| Michigan -2 | 90.9% | 1.67 | 1.68 | 1.66 | - | - | - | +33.9pp | Won |
| Michigan -1 | 92.1% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +33.2pp | Won |
| Michigan -1.5 | 91.1% | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | +32.1pp | Won |
| Marquette under 76 | 82.1% | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | - | +32.1pp | Won |
| Michigan win | 92.2% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.59 | 1.57 | 1.56 | 1.55 | +32.0pp | Won |
| Michigan +1 | 92.9% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +30.4pp | Won |
| Michigan +1.5 | 93.0% | 1.46 | 1.47 | 1.45 | - | - | - | +29.1pp | Won |
| Marquette under 74.5 | 77.1% | 1.93 | 2.18 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.86 | 1.85 | +28.2pp | Won |
| Marquette under 79.5 | 88.9% | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +28.2pp | Won |
| Michigan +2.5 | 94.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +27.7pp | Won |
| Michigan +2 | 94.1% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +27.6pp | Won |
| Marquette under 78.5 | 87.0% | 1.54 | 1.60 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +27.1pp | Won |
| Michigan +3.5 | 94.9% | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +25.4pp | Won |
| Michigan +3 | 94.9% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +25.2pp | Won |
| Michigan +4.5 | 95.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Won |
| Michigan +4 | 95.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Won |
| Marquette under 80.5 | 90.6% | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Won |
| Michigan +6.5 | 96.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +19.1pp | Won |
| Under 165.5 | 82.2% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +14.8pp | Won |
| Under 159.5 | 71.1% | 1.65 | 1.73 | 1.62 | 1.60 | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| Under 159 | 70.4% | 1.67 | 1.70 | 1.64 | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| Michigan over 76.5 | 76.1% | 1.48 | 1.52 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| Under 160 | 72.6% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +13.7pp | Won |
| Under 160.5 | 73.1% | 1.56 | 1.57 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Under 161 | 74.6% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Won |
| Michigan over 77.5 | 72.8% | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Michigan over 73.5 | 84.4% | 1.29 | 1.32 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Michigan over 74.5 | 81.9% | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Under 161.5 | 75.1% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Under 164.5 | 80.5% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| Michigan +11.5 | 98.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| Under 162.5 | 77.0% | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| Under 162 | 76.6% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| Michigan over 75.5 | 79.1% | 1.37 | 1.38 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| Under 163 | 78.4% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 78.8% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Michigan over 72.5 | 86.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Won |
| Under 164 | 80.2% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Michigan over 71.5 | 88.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Michigan +16.5 | 99.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Under 166.5 | 83.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 98.2% | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +8.3pp | - |
| Michigan over 70.5 | 90.5% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Under 171.5 | 90.1% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Michigan +21.5 | 99.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 97.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 94.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 96.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Under 169.5 | 87.8% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 92.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Michigan under 100.5 | 95.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Michigan under 99.5 | 94.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Michigan under 98.5 | 93.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Michigan under 97.5 | 92.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Michigan under 96.5 | 90.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Michigan under 95.5 | 88.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| Over 129.5 | 90.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| Michigan under 94.5 | 86.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Won |
| Michigan under 93.5 | 84.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -3.9pp | Won |
| Over 131.5 | 88.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -4.1pp | Won |
| Over 134.5 | 84.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -5.4pp | Won |
| Michigan under 92.5 | 81.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -6.1pp | Won |
| Michigan under 90.5 | 76.1% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -6.2pp | Won |
| Michigan under 91.5 | 79.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -6.4pp | Won |
| Michigan under 89.5 | 72.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -7.6pp | Won |
| Over 136.5 | 80.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -8.6pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 75.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -9.1pp | Won |
| Marquette over 57.5 | 83.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -9.3pp | Won |
| Marquette over 58.5 | 80.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -11.2pp | Won |
| Over 141.5 | 71.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -13.2pp | Won |
| Marquette over 59.5 | 77.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -14.8pp | Won |
| Marquette +23.5 | 73.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -15.9pp | Won |
| Marquette over 60.5 | 74.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -16.2pp | Won |
| Marquette over 61.5 | 70.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -19.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Detroit | 93-32 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Mercyhurst Lakers | 78-43 |
| 11/03/26 | H | Xavier | 87-89 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Uconn | 68-62 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Providence | 78-56 |
| 01/03/26 | H | DePaul | 51-62 |
| 25/02/26 | A | Georgetown | 76-60 |
| 19/02/26 | H | St. John's (N.Y.) | 70-76 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Xavier | 88-96 |
| 11/02/26 | A | Villanova | 74-77 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WL | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 | - |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | - |
| Points / game | 80.5 | 80.5 | - |
| Allowed / game | 76.5 | 76.5 | - |
| Point differential | +4.0 | +4.0 | - |
| Avg total | 157.0 | 157.0 | - |
| Over 153 | 50% | 50% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 85.5 | 85.5 | - |
| Allowed / game | 37.5 | 37.5 | - |
| Point differential | +48.0 | +48.0 | - |
| Avg total | 123.0 | 123.0 | - |
| Over 153 | 0% | 0% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 59.0 | +32.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 99.0 | 69.0 | +30.0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 86.5 | 61.0 | +25.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 88.7 | 64.3 | +24.3 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 92.5 | 70.0 | +22.5 | |
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 58.0 | +21.0 | |
| 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 88.7 | 68.7 | +20.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 74.5 | +19.5 | |
| 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.7 | 60.0 | +18.7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 74.7 | 57.7 | +17.0 | |
| 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.5 | 70.0 | +13.5 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 103.3 | 66.3 | +37.0 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.0 | 64.7 | +20.3 | |
| 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 77.7 | +7.7 | |
| 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.0 | 71.3 | +6.7 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 85.0 | 76.5 | +8.5 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 80.5 | 76.5 | +4.0 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 80.2 | -1.2 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 85.5 | 37.5 | +48.0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 53.3 | +37.7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 54.7 | +30.0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 64.0 | +27.0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 80.3 | 61.7 | +18.7 | |
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 70.0 | +13.0 | |
| 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 67.0 | 54.7 | +12.3 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.0 | 75.0 | +17.0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.3 | 66.3 | +16.0 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.0 | 59.3 | +13.7 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.3 | 68.3 | +12.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 49 | 84 | |
| 27 | 43 | 70 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.