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Marquette vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 60-69
28-33 32-36
Position#15
Record29-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#108
Record20-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marquette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#357
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A11/02
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A22/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H26/02
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A28/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H04/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
H09/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H11/03
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H17/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
44-42
24-28
45-40
32-40
41-31
49-28
41-56
36-22
36-34
53-47
43-47
26-36
35-25
38-38
32-30
39-24
26-27
39-30
39-31
147.2Avg total
77.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.970.3150.2+9.683%
Season at home (23)80.068.6148.6+11.491%
Season away (12)79.773.7153.3+6.067%
Last 10 (10)77.469.8147.2+7.6100%
Last 5 (5)76.268.8145.0+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.777.0151.7-2.367%
vs Similar (10)79.771.5151.2+8.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.169.5150.6+11.694%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H10/03
NCAA
USC
#73
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H17/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-19
30-42
31-22
32-36
27-14
35-27
36-33
36-51
35-29
45-36
42-42
59-59
26-38
54-29
43-34
41-44
24-33
34-35
34-34
38-28
142.8Avg total
73.2Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)70.367.2137.5+3.162%
Season at home (20)71.364.8136.1+6.680%
Season away (12)68.571.3139.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)73.269.6142.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)80.077.4157.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)64.269.2133.3-5.017%
vs Similar (20)72.868.5141.2+4.275%
vs Weaker (4)68.261.8130.0+6.575%
This opponent (Marquette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
MarquetteMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#357
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H16/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H26/02
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A28/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H04/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H09/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H11/03
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/03
NCAA
70.7Avg total
38.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.872.0+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.532.170.6+6.563%-
Last 30 away (11)37.536.974.4+0.555%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.670.7+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.074.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.340.373.7-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.132.172.2+8.070%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.833.771.5+4.165%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H10/03
NCAA
USC
#73
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/03
NCAA
62.1Avg total
32.3Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.530.663.2+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.529.262.7+4.368%-
Last 30 away (11)30.833.163.9-2.345%-
Last 10 (10)32.329.862.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.270.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.331.862.2-1.550%-
vs Similar (20)33.830.464.2+3.465%-
vs Weaker (4)29.530.259.8-0.850%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marquette wins
0
Michigan State wins
No previous meetings.
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/23HVermont78-61
11/03/23HXavier65-51
10/03/23HUconn70-68
09/03/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)72-70 OT
04/03/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)96-94
28/02/23AButler72-56
26/02/23HDePaul90-84
22/02/23ACreighton73-71
16/02/23HXavier69-68
11/02/23AGeorgetown89-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/23HUSC72-62
10/03/23HOhio State58-68
04/03/23HOhio State84-78
01/03/23ANebraska80-67
25/02/23AIowa106-112 OT
22/02/23HIndiana80-65
19/02/23AMichigan72-84
12/02/23AOhio State62-41
08/02/23HMaryland63-58
04/02/23ARutgers55-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marquette
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games352312
Win %83%91%67%
Points / game79.980.079.7
Allowed / game70.368.673.7
Point differential+9.6+11.4+6.0
Avg total150.2148.6153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%52%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game70.371.368.5
Allowed / game67.264.871.3
Point differential+3.1+6.6-2.8
Avg total137.5136.1139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marquette3529683%79.970.3+9.6
2 Uconn3426876%78.765.0+13.7
3 Xavier3627975%81.273.8+7.4
4 Creighton34221265%76.568.3+8.2
5 Providence33211264%77.371.0+6.3
6 Seton Hall32171553%68.565.1+3.4
7 St. John's (N.Y.)34181653%76.675.6+1.0
8 Villanova33171652%70.067.8+2.1
9 Butler32141844%65.267.9-2.7
10 DePaul33102330%71.277.3-6.1
11 Georgetown3272522%69.578.1-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3631586%74.160.2+13.9
2 Purdue3529683%72.762.7+9.9
3 Indiana34231168%74.968.2+6.7
4 USC33221167%72.567.4+5.1
5 Northwestern34221265%67.762.8+5.0
6 Maryland35221363%69.763.5+6.2
7 Michigan State32201262%70.367.2+3.1
8 Penn State37231462%72.268.2+4.0
9 Illinois33201361%74.367.2+7.2
10 Rutgers33191458%67.960.3+7.5
11 Iowa33191458%80.174.7+5.4
12 Oregon33191458%70.767.1+3.6
13 Wisconsin31171455%64.963.8+1.1
14 Michigan32171553%73.169.4+3.7
15 Washington32161650%69.270.3-1.2
16 Nebraska32161650%68.069.9-1.9
17 Ohio State35161946%72.569.0+3.5
18 Minnesota3192229%62.971.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Marquette283260
Michigan State333669
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