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Marsonia vs Dakovo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-65
28-16 13-20 22-15 19-14
Position#9
Record5-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#10
Record7-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game79.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 14· Sports Hall Viju
Other2025-26
Meetings · Marsonia v Dakovo
25 Jan 2026
MARS82
DAKO65
17 Nov 2024
MARS80
DAKO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dakovo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
L
69-102
69
102
-33
59avg 69
A31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
67-72
67
72
-5
56avg 69
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
45avg 69
A15/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 69
H23/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
85-69
85
69
+16
82avg 69
A30/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 69
H07/12
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
76-64
76
64
+12
75avg 69
A14/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
123-67
123
67
+56
131avg 69
H20/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
71avg 69
A11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H17/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
14-19
21-31
20-28
16-13
15-14
13-24
23-21
12-22
8-17
18-25
23-21
25-15
20-21
7-20
21-20
21-21
17-23
26-16
21-9
15-22
23-20
26-15
19-13
23-17
23-19
14-11
16-17
35-8
28-18
30-25
30-16
11-23
16-22
25-25
31-16
19-19
14-19
23-28
30-15
157.8Avg total
80.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.176.8153.9+0.238%
Season at home (6)81.271.5152.7+9.750%
Season away (7)73.681.4155.0-7.929%
Last 10 (10)80.677.2157.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)90.273.6163.8+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.585.5160.0-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.883.1166.9+0.846%
vs Weaker (7)88.676.7165.3+11.971%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
69avg 74
A31/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
92-82
92
82
+10
90avg 74
H08/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 74
A16/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 74
H22/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 74
A29/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
85-66
85
66
+19
88avg 74
H06/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 74
A13/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
69avg 74
H20/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
93-99
93
99
-6
87avg 74
A10/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H17/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
18-24
17-25
35-14
12-20
30-15
26-24
24-23
17-23
25-14
19-19
19-16
18-24
14-21
20-15
22-28
19-12
18-26
13-22
16-9
29-20
21-18
25-11
10-17
20-26
36-17
12-16
26-19
22-12
20-24
18-24
11-13
20-25
18-34
28-17
27-23
20-19
22-23
15-18
22-16
160.7Avg total
81.5Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.979.2162.2+3.754%
Season at home (7)84.477.3161.7+7.171%
Season away (6)81.281.5162.7-0.333%
Last 10 (10)81.579.2160.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)84.478.4162.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.083.7163.7-3.739%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.377.8152.1-3.433%
vs Weaker (3)81.771.0152.7+10.767%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
MarsoniaDakovo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A15/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A30/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H07/12
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A14/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
63-26
63
26
+37
H20/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H17/01
Prva Liga
74.5Avg total
36.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.781.0-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.736.579.2+6.262%-
Last 30 away (17)36.745.682.4-8.929%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.674.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.478.8+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.241.077.2-4.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.842.181.9-2.246%-
vs Weaker (7)42.742.084.7+0.743%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A31/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H22/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H06/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A13/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H20/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A10/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H17/01
Prva Liga
83.3Avg total
41.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.282.4-2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.382.7+2.067%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.182.2-5.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.383.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.643.689.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.744.484.1-4.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.938.777.6+0.267%-
vs Weaker (3)47.739.787.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.3
48.8%
53.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.9
29.3%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.1
74.0%
71.6%13.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.6
51.6%
53.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
32.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.5
74.9%
71.6%12.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
WLWWWWLLLL
Dakovo
WLLWWLLWWL
#9
League position
#10
+2.9
Net rating
+4.6
101.6
Offensive rating
106.3
98.7
Defensive rating
101.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.2%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.3%
3-point %
34.1%
61.3%
Assist %
68.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 106.3Defence98.7 · 101.8Shooting46.9% · 51.4%3-point %29.3% · 34.1%Ball care17.4% · 17.2%Off. rebounds35.1% · 31.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Marsonia   ■ Dakovo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Marsonia wins
2
Dakovo wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Dakovo v Marsonia87-69
02/03/25Dakovo v Marsonia93-75
17/11/24Marsonia v Dakovo80-64
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HKK Zagreb86-81
11/01/26ACrikvenica83-86
20/12/25HOsijek123-67
14/12/25AAmfora76-64
07/12/25HSonik Puntamika83-70
30/11/25AGorica85-69
23/11/25HNovi Zagreb73-76
15/11/25ASkrljevo61-85
09/11/25HMladost67-72
31/10/25AOmis69-102
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HKastela79-76
10/01/26AKK Zagreb93-99
20/12/25HCrikvenica71-73
13/12/25AOsijek94-78
06/12/25HAmfora85-66
29/11/25ASonik Puntamika66-69
22/11/25HGorica74-88
16/11/25ANovi Zagreb80-72
08/11/25HSkrljevo92-82
31/10/25AMladost81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW38%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game77.181.273.6
Allowed / game76.871.581.4
Point differential+0.2+9.7-7.9
Avg total153.9152.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dakovo
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game82.984.481.2
Allowed / game79.277.381.5
Point differential+3.7+7.1-0.3
Avg total162.2161.7162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mladost1412286%84.170.4+13.8
2 Skrljevo1411379%93.474.6+18.8
3 Kastela1410471%83.669.0+14.6
4 Omis149564%83.075.4+7.6
5 Jazine149564%81.476.5+4.9
6 KK Zagreb149564%77.978.2-0.3
7 Gorica148657%81.177.2+3.9
8 Dakovo137654%82.979.2+3.7
9 Crikvenica146843%76.178.6-2.5
10 Marsonia135838%77.176.8+0.2
11 Novi Zagreb145936%73.376.9-3.6
12 Sonik Puntamika1431121%69.577.7-8.2
13 Amfora1431121%78.491.2-12.9
14 Osijek140140%64.6104.4-39.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia2813221982
Dakovo1620151465
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