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Maryland vs Illinois Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#275
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#86
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maryland v Illinois
16 Jan 2027
MARY v ILLI
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
MARY72
ILLI78
14 Mar 2025
MARY88
ILLI65
17 Feb 2024
MARY80
ILLI85
02 Dec 2022
MARY71
ILLI66
21 Jan 2022
MARY81
ILLI65
07 Dec 2019
MARY59
ILLI58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
45-78
45
78
-33
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A11/03
NCAA
Bucknell
#398
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#69
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
30-28
27-33
34-41
20-39
45-30
21-34
24-44
34-37
38-41
33-12
37-48
26-25
38-50
44-30
52-37
28-44
46-42
47-36
36-51
142.8Avg total
69.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.380.0164.3+4.333%
Season at home (2)89.577.0166.5+12.550%
Season away (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)69.473.4142.8-4.030%
Last 5 (5)77.475.0152.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.980.5148.4-12.621%
vs Similar (5)68.466.8135.2+1.640%
vs Weaker (1)96.067.0163.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
120-45
120
45
+75
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
112-70
112
70
+42
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
108-86
108
86
+22
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
42-48
40-30
65-40
35-28
41-27
24-22
41-33
28-32
43-27
29-37
33-34
67-20
53-25
53-30
59-40
29-49
49-35
45-40
63-46
157.1Avg total
88.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)104.571.2175.8+33.275%
Season at home (3)113.367.0180.3+46.3100%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)88.568.6157.1+19.970%
Last 5 (5)96.071.2167.2+24.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)72.672.2144.8+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.767.2154.0+19.580%
This opponent (Maryland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +13.4+13.4
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +13.4+13.4
MarylandIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
33-12
33
12
+21
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A11/03
NCAA
Bucknell
#398
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#69
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H14/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.467.7-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.934.471.3+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)28.336.264.6-7.912%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.263.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.465.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.837.269.0-5.529%-
vs Similar (5)32.627.660.2+5.040%-
vs Weaker (1)44.030.074.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
67-20
67
20
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.931.070.9+8.977%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.628.570.1+13.183%-
Last 30 away (12)37.234.872.0+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.870.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.279.8+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.630.071.6+11.688%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Maryland wins
4
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Maryland v Illinois72-78
22/01/26Illinois v Maryland89-70
14/03/25Maryland v Illinois88-65
24/01/25Illinois v Maryland70-91
17/02/24Maryland v Illinois80-85
14/01/24Illinois v Maryland67-76
03/12/22Maryland v Illinois71-66
22/01/22Maryland v Illinois81-65
07/01/22Illinois v Maryland76-64
11/01/21Illinois v Maryland63-66
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVirginia83-87
08/11/26AGeorgetown74-86
03/11/26HBucknell96-67
11/03/26AIowa64-75
10/03/26AOregon70-60
08/03/26HIllinois72-78
05/03/26AWisconsin45-78
01/03/26HRutgers65-69
26/02/26ANebraska61-74
21/02/26HWashington64-60
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSam Houston St.108-86
11/11/26ATexas Tech78-84
06/11/26HPenn112-70
03/11/26HFairleigh Dickinson120-45
04/04/26AUconn62-71
28/03/26HIowa71-59
27/03/26AHouston65-55
22/03/26HVCU Rams76-55
20/03/26HPenn105-70
13/03/26HWisconsin88-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game84.389.574.0
Allowed / game80.077.086.0
Point differential+4.3+12.5-12.0
Avg total164.3166.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game104.5113.378.0
Allowed / game71.267.084.0
Point differential+33.2+46.3-6.0
Avg total175.8180.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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