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Maryland vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 88-65
57-31 31-34
Position#35
Record24-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game66.6
Maryland 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois
USA
Position#100
Record21-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maryland v Illinois
16 Jan 2027
MARY v ILLI
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
MARY72
ILLI78
14 Mar 2025
MARY88
ILLI65
17 Feb 2024
MARY80
ILLI85
02 Dec 2022
MARY71
ILLI66
21 Jan 2022
MARY81
ILLI65
07 Dec 2019
MARY59
ILLI58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H16/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A05/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
44-37
41-32
29-41
49-38
41-43
42-35
41-40
47-51
54-24
37-27
51-44
23-21
32-37
30-36
38-28
33-22
38-43
32-29
42-32
146.7Avg total
77.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.566.6148.1+14.977%
Season at home (21)84.063.0147.0+21.090%
Season away (10)76.274.2150.4+2.050%
Last 10 (10)77.669.1146.7+8.580%
Last 5 (5)71.263.8135.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)55.058.0113.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)82.567.5150.0+15.079%
This opponent (Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
95-74
95
74
+21
A08/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
67-110
67
110
-43
H23/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
106-94
106
94
+12
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-37
44-45
46-35
49-39
31-25
52-53
41-37
24-42
41-47
33-48
37-54
30-56
37-30
44-31
31-30
62-43
40-42
48-38
49-45
57-49
165.1Avg total
82.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.474.2158.6+10.266%
Season at home (21)85.072.4157.3+12.671%
Season away (11)83.477.6161.0+5.755%
Last 10 (10)82.582.6165.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)87.083.6170.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)68.5100.5169.0-32.00%
vs Similar (14)83.978.1162.0+5.964%
vs Weaker (14)84.868.2153.0+16.671%
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.1-0.1
MarylandIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H30/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H16/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
23-21
23
21
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A05/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H08/03
NCAA
68.8Avg total
36.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.330.670.9+9.783%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.829.070.8+12.885%-
Last 30 away (10)37.333.871.1+3.580%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.268.8+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)31.027.058.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)23.021.044.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)40.930.971.8+9.983%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A08/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H23/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H13/03
NCAA
76.4Avg total
38.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.833.773.5+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.533.173.6+7.468%-
Last 30 away (11)38.634.773.4+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.276.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.279.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.046.082.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (14)38.535.974.4+2.657%-
vs Weaker (14)41.729.871.5+11.986%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Maryland wins
2
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Illinois v Maryland70-91
17/02/24Maryland v Illinois80-85
14/01/24Illinois v Maryland67-76
03/12/22Maryland v Illinois71-66
22/01/22Maryland v Illinois81-65
07/01/22Illinois v Maryland76-64
11/01/21Illinois v Maryland63-66
08/02/20Illinois v Maryland66-75
07/12/19Maryland v Illinois59-58
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HNorthwestern74-61
05/03/25AMichigan71-65
01/03/25APenn State68-64
26/02/25HMichigan State55-58
21/02/25HUSC88-71
16/02/25HIowa101-75
14/02/25ANebraska83-75
09/02/25HRutgers90-81
07/02/25AOhio State70-73
30/01/25HWisconsin76-68
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HIowa106-94
08/03/25HPurdue88-80
02/03/25AMichigan93-73
26/02/25HIowa81-61
23/02/25HDuke67-110
19/02/25AWisconsin74-95
16/02/25HMichigan State65-79
12/02/25HUCLA83-78
08/02/25AMinnesota95-74
06/02/25ARutgers73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312110
Win %77%90%50%
Points / game81.584.076.2
Allowed / game66.663.074.2
Point differential+14.9+21.0+2.0
Avg total148.1147.0150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%67%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%10%
Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %66%71%55%
Points / game84.485.083.4
Allowed / game74.272.477.6
Point differential+10.2+12.6+5.7
Avg total158.6157.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%48%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3227584%78.366.9+11.3
2 Maryland3124777%81.566.6+14.9
3 Wisconsin3325876%80.670.7+9.9
4 Oregon3324973%76.270.9+5.3
5 Michigan3122971%78.571.6+6.9
6 UCLA32221069%74.865.7+9.0
7 Purdue32221069%78.270.6+7.6
8 Illinois32211166%84.474.2+10.2
9 Indiana32191359%74.772.0+2.6
10 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
11 Ohio State32171553%78.873.5+5.3
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern33171652%72.469.2+3.3
14 Iowa33171652%82.579.7+2.8
15 USC33161748%76.975.5+1.4
16 Rutgers32151747%77.077.6-0.5
17 Minnesota32151747%68.169.7-1.7
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maryland573188
Illinois313465
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