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Maxima Roma vs Venezia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game88.6
ItalyLega ARound 27· Palazzo dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Maxima Roma v Venezia
18 Apr 2027
MRO v VEN
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
MRO90
VEN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maxima Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maxima RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H27/09
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#24
W
89-55
89
55
+34
H30/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A04/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#27
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A06/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
W
96-95
96
95
+1
H11/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#7
L
71-96
71
96
-25
A14/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#17
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Udine
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Siauliai
#14
L
93-98
93
98
-5
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
24-24
12-26
21-23
34-18
21-12
27-10
7-15
16-25
26-12
26-28
21-33
23-22
16-16
26-22
12-32
25-33
27-24
25-13
19-25
14-26
19-19
15-20
23-31
22-20
25-18
25-24
17-13
23-18
22-27
19-12
26-22
22-19
13-21
24-18
22-17
23-31
26-18
26-31
18-18
170.7Avg total
85.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.087.4173.4-1.460%
Season at home (3)84.088.0172.0-4.067%
Season away (2)89.086.5175.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)85.085.7170.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)84.884.6169.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.291.8173.0-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (3)90.089.3179.3+0.767%
vs Weaker (3)85.074.0159.0+11.067%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#16
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H26/09
Lega A
Frankfurt
#15
W
104-72
104
72
+32
H29/09
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A04/10
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#24
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A07/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H11/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#27
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
W
104-98
104
98
+6
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#20
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
22-14
24-21
18-21
28-17
20-17
31-26
25-12
21-15
18-27
20-20
28-20
27-21
23-19
19-29
23-29
29-20
22-25
21-24
14-24
20-16
19-13
18-22
18-14
24-29
22-26
24-13
34-30
18-23
27-22
12-19
22-26
21-31
22-13
17-21
20-15
25-24
16-24
25-17
14-17
173.1Avg total
88.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.288.6178.8+1.660%
Season at home (3)86.787.7174.3-1.033%
Season away (2)95.590.0185.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.185.0173.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)85.486.4171.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)86.089.9175.9-3.945%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.686.9170.5-3.342%
vs Weaker (7)92.080.7172.7+11.371%
This opponent (Maxima Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
Maxima RomaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maxima RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H27/09
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#24
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H30/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#27
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H11/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/10
Eurocup
Udine
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H25/10
Lega A
Siauliai
#14
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A28/10
Eurocup
86.3Avg total
43.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)43.942.486.3+1.540%-
Last 30 at home (5)45.843.489.2+2.420%-
Last 30 away (5)42.041.483.4+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.486.3+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.485.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.543.083.5-2.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.348.794.0-3.30%-
vs Weaker (3)47.035.382.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H26/09
Lega A
Frankfurt
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/09
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/10
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#24
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A07/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#27
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#20
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/10
Eurocup
85.8Avg total
44.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.587.2-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.942.084.9+0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)42.447.489.9-5.021%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.385.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.287.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.649.591.2-7.99%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.843.884.6-2.925%-
vs Weaker (7)47.638.085.6+9.686%-
This opponent (Maxima Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maxima Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maxima Roma: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.0
49.9%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.2
38.9%
34.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.618.4
78.0%
74.4%18.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.0
54.9%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.1
36.6%
34.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.513.4
76.6%
74.4%13.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maxima Roma
LWWWLWLLWL
Venezia
LLLWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#5
-0.8
Net rating
+3.3
98.1
Offensive rating
100.4
98.9
Defensive rating
97.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.9%
3-point %
36.6%
64.9%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 100.4Defence98.9 · 97.1Shooting53.5% · 54.9%3-point %38.9% · 36.6%Ball care15.5% · 13.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Maxima Roma   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maxima Roma wins
0
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
21/10/26Maxima Roma v Venezia90-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASiauliai93-98
25/10/26HUdine81-75
21/10/26HVenezia90-79
18/10/26ATortona89-75
14/10/26ATenerife71-96
11/10/26HBC Roma96-95
06/10/26ATurk Telekom77-92
04/10/26AVirtus Bologna89-98
30/09/26HCluj-Napoca89-55
27/09/26HBasket Napoli75-94
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ATenerife80-82
25/10/26HTreviso89-97 OT
21/10/26AMaxima Roma79-90
17/10/26ABC Roma104-98
14/10/26HTurk Telekom75-65
11/10/26HVirtus Bologna86-93
07/10/26ACluj-Napoca92-98
04/10/26ATrieste87-82
29/09/26HFrankfurt104-72
26/09/26HCantu85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maxima Roma
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game86.084.089.0
Allowed / game87.488.086.5
Point differential-1.4-4.0+2.5
Avg total173.4172.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game90.286.795.5
Allowed / game88.687.790.0
Point differential+1.6-1.0+5.5
Avg total178.8174.3185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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