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Virtus Bologna vs Maxima Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 98-89
25-16 12-26 28-26 33-21
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game69.0
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
vs
Maxima Roma
Italy
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game94.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maxima Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
84avg 80
A24/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
106-95
106
95
+11
105avg 80
H26/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-91
83
91
-8
70avg 80
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 80
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 80
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
78avg 80
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#5
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 80
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#6
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 80
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 80
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 80
H01/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
19-15
27-12
14-27
28-28
30-27
18-24
30-16
23-18
23-27
19-19
18-27
29-16
33-26
20-12
16-25
28-16
17-24
14-19
26-30
23-24
19-13
27-20
14-33
17-23
21-16
17-20
13-19
26-21
21-18
21-19
22-11
20-30
21-17
26-19
18-21
33-30
16-20
26-20
21-24
173.7Avg total
88.4Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.485.3173.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)84.483.6168.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.093.8177.8-9.825%
vs Similar (7)85.191.4176.6-6.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.282.6170.7+5.658%
This opponent (Maxima Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maxima RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
L
75-94
75
94
-19
68avg 78
H27/09
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#27
W
89-55
89
55
+34
88avg 78
H30/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
24-24
12-26
21-23
34-18
21-12
27-10
7-15
156.5Avg total
82.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.094.0169.0-19.00%
Season at home (1)75.094.0169.0-19.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)82.074.5156.5+7.550%
Last 5 (2)82.074.5156.5+7.550%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)75.094.0169.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)89.055.0144.0+34.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -5.0-5.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -5.0-5.0
Virtus BolognaMaxima Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A24/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H26/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H01/10
Euroleague
91.3Avg total
47.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.788.7+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.144.493.4+4.756%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.983.4-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)47.743.691.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.549.592.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (7)45.747.192.9-1.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.441.286.5+4.268%-
This opponent (Maxima Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maxima RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H27/09
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#27
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H30/09
Eurocup
86.0Avg total
48.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)48.537.586.0+11.050%-
Last 30 at home (2)48.537.586.0+11.050%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (2)48.537.586.0+11.050%-
Last 5 (2)48.537.586.0+11.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)42.045.087.0-3.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)55.030.085.0+25.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.323.3
59.3%
54.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.3
31.8%
34.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.916.7
76.3%
74.5%16.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maxima Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maxima Roma: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀29%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.0
45.5%
54.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.5
38.0%
34.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws27.523.5
85.5%
74.5%23.5
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWLLLWLWW
Maxima Roma
WL
#1
League position
#5
+3.9
Net rating
+8.5
102.1
Offensive rating
93.2
98.2
Defensive rating
84.6
54.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
20.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.47
31.8%
3-point %
38.0%
61.7%
Assist %
71.4%
50%
Form (last 10/2)
50%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 93.2Defence98.2 · 84.6Shooting54.7% · 50.4%3-point %31.8% · 38.0%Ball care14.7% · 20.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.47Form (last 10/2)50% · 50%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Maxima Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Maxima Roma wins
No previous meetings.
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26HOlympiacos96-94
29/09/26AOlimpia Milano85-87
27/09/26AVarese90-69
25/09/26AFenerbahce68-78
06/06/26AVenezia83-90
04/06/26AVenezia85-89
01/06/26HVenezia98-79
30/05/26HVenezia83-91
26/05/26HTrento106-95
24/05/26ATrento90-81
Maxima Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/26HCluj-Napoca89-55
27/09/26HBasket Napoli75-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game69.0-69.0
Point differential+21.0-+21.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Maxima Roma
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game94.094.0-
Point differential-19.0-19.0-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine110100%87.063.0+24.0
2 Virtus Bologna110100%90.069.0+21.0
3 Basket Napoli220100%96.584.0+12.5
4 Treviso220100%101.092.0+9.0
5 Venezia220100%86.077.5+8.5
6 Olimpia Milano110100%83.079.0+4.0
7 BC Roma21150%101.089.5+11.5
8 Trento21150%86.585.5+1.0
9 Varese21150%77.083.5-6.5
10 Tortona21150%85.5100.5-15.0
11 Trieste2020%80.585.0-4.5
12 Reggiana2020%85.591.0-5.5
13 Verona1010%93.0101.0-8.0
14 Cantu1010%73.085.0-12.0
15 Scafati2020%70.086.0-16.0
16 Maxima Roma1010%75.094.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2512283398
Maxima Roma1626262189
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