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Gargzdai vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-75
16-20 29-21 18-24 16-10
Position#1
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Gargzdai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas
Lithuania
Position#4
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Gargzdu arena
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
97avg 78
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 78
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 78
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 78
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
61avg 78
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 78
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 78
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 78
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 78
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 78
A03/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
22-25
25-30
25-19
31-24
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
22-19
18-24
10-19
24-22
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
179.6Avg total
88.8Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.890.8179.6-2.060%
Last 5 (5)86.688.2174.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.588.3168.8-7.844%
vs Similar (7)85.485.7171.1-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.488.7178.1+0.757%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
87avg 78
A12/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
90-85
90
85
+5
86avg 78
H14/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
92-87
92
87
+5
91avg 78
A20/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 78
H23/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
49avg 78
A28/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
90avg 78
H01/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
82-94
82
94
-12
68avg 78
A03/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
64-106
64
106
-42
49avg 78
H07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
96-68
96
68
+28
93avg 78
H01/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
102-78
102
78
+24
98avg 78
A03/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
22-18
19-25
22-19
25-16
20-20
23-29
22-20
32-24
25-21
23-22
12-20
22-22
24-10
15-20
24-20
14-29
12-27
12-27
26-18
23-17
18-20
15-22
21-18
19-22
16-26
26-17
21-29
19-26
24-25
13-28
8-27
26-10
19-18
29-18
22-22
21-20
22-16
29-19
30-23
173.4Avg total
86.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.886.6173.4+0.270%
Last 5 (5)89.888.8178.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.096.0171.0-21.020%
vs Similar (13)82.876.8159.6+6.162%
vs Weaker (12)92.281.8174.0+10.383%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
GargzdaiJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
88.7Avg total
41.9Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.883.9-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.543.581.0-5.913%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.186.8-5.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.946.888.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.484.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.744.183.8-4.431%-
vs Similar (7)37.145.482.6-8.314%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.945.685.4-5.729%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A20/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H23/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A28/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H01/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/10
NKL
83.0Avg total
42.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.381.4+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.936.680.5+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.982.2+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.283.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.081.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.445.681.0-10.220%-
vs Similar (13)42.536.679.2+5.977%-
vs Weaker (12)46.937.083.9+9.983%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.3
54.2%
52.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.2
35.3%
28.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.817.6
77.2%
72.6%17.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.4
58.9%
52.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.2
34.0%
28.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.311.7
63.9%
72.6%11.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WWWLLLWWWL
Jurbarkas
WWLLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#4
-2.0
Net rating
+1.7
99.3
Offensive rating
97.4
101.4
Defensive rating
95.7
53.8%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.3%
3-point %
34.0%
61.3%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 97.4Defence101.4 · 95.7Shooting53.8% · 55.4%3-point %35.3% · 34.0%Ball care14.3% · 14.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
0
Jurbarkas wins
No previous meetings.
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26ARytas105-102
26/09/26HNeptunas87-78
20/09/26HSiauliai90-79
17/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas77-98
23/05/26HNeptunas74-84
21/05/26ANeptunas73-100
16/05/26HRytas103-98
10/05/26ANeptunas97-91
06/05/26ALietkabelis78-69
02/05/26HJonava104-109 OT
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26AKauno Atletas102-78
01/10/26HAlytaus Patriotai96-68
07/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga64-106
03/04/26ASuduva-Mantinga82-94
01/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga105-98 OT
28/03/26ASuduva-Mantinga64-101
23/03/26HMazeikiai85-72
20/03/26AMazeikiai92-87
14/03/26HBC Olimpas Palanga90-85
12/03/26AKretinga88-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Jurbarkas
King Mindaugas Cup 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1629181679
Jurbarkas2021241075
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