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Jurbarkas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 80-73
22-19 21-15 23-19 14-20
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game94.0
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.0
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai
12 Dec 2026
JURB v MAZ
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
JURB85
MAZ72
04 Oct 2025
JURB80
MAZ73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 76
A13/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
77-62
77
62
+15
76avg 76
H20/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 76
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
59avg 76
A27/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
82-74
82
74
+8
76avg 76
H01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 76
H13/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
62avg 76
A16/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
73-65
73
65
+8
71avg 76
H19/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
62-92
62
92
-30
51avg 76
A21/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
83avg 76
A02/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
16-27
25-13
23-26
21-18
12-16
24-17
20-11
13-20
19-15
21-20
27-18
12-23
14-13
22-19
14-18
15-11
22-18
24-17
21-28
20-17
21-24
16-15
19-23
18-18
14-14
16-15
10-11
21-14
12-16
15-20
25-15
11-24
19-28
22-25
10-15
20-14
13-25
30-34
30-21
153.6Avg total
75.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.094.0187.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)93.094.0187.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)75.977.7153.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)75.881.4157.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.085.0166.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (22)79.881.3161.1-1.545%
vs Weaker (6)79.566.3145.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-109
63
109
-46
50avg 70
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-113
81
113
-32
72avg 70
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
96-122
96
122
-26
92avg 70
A30/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
71avg 70
H03/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
86-107
86
107
-21
71avg 70
H06/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-109
80
109
-29
61avg 70
A11/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 70
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
65-96
65
96
-31
52avg 70
H17/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-109
85
109
-24
71avg 70
A21/05
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
81-74
81
74
+7
68avg 70
H02/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
7-26
12-32
24-20
20-30
20-24
22-28
19-31
26-33
30-33
17-22
23-34
18-25
26-23
21-23
20-23
19-31
19-22
24-24
24-30
25-28
15-29
18-25
22-27
20-23
14-21
28-26
17-15
18-18
19-25
12-24
16-29
22-26
24-27
15-24
24-32
20-19
17-19
28-12
16-24
181.9Avg total
80.1Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.1101.8181.9-21.710%
Last 5 (5)78.094.6172.6-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)79.197.7176.8-18.614%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (1)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -6.0-6.0
JurbarkasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A13/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H20/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A27/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H19/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/10
NKL
70.5Avg total
32.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.375.8+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.934.775.7+6.267%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.875.9-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)32.837.770.5-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.872.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.537.070.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)39.038.477.4+0.645%-
vs Weaker (6)38.333.371.7+5.050%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A30/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H06/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A11/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H17/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A21/05
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H02/10
NKL
91.2Avg total
39.9Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.347.485.7-9.113%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.944.082.9-5.120%-
Last 30 away (15)37.750.988.5-13.27%-
Last 10 (10)39.951.391.2-11.40%-
Last 5 (5)38.847.085.8-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)38.347.886.1-9.414%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.4
53.0%
54.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.2
27.3%
32.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.214.3
64.4%
69.3%14.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.9
52.5%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.0
31.1%
32.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
69.3%13.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LLWLLWLWWL
Mazeikiai
WLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#11
-3.0
Net rating
-27.7
100.3
Offensive rating
100.3
103.3
Defensive rating
128.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
60.4%
20.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.3%
3-point %
31.1%
62.0%
Assist %
54.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 100.3Defence103.3 · 128.1Shooting47.9% · 50.2%3-point %27.3% · 31.1%Ball care20.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds36.0% · 28.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jurbarkas wins
0
Mazeikiai wins
No previous meetings.
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25AKedainiu SC93-94
21/03/25AVilkaviskis62-92
19/03/25HVilkaviskis73-65
16/03/25AVilkaviskis75-77 OT
13/03/25HVilkaviskis76-79
01/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas 282-74
27/02/25ATelsiai62-73
22/02/25ABC Olimpas Palanga80-73
20/02/25HVilkaviskis77-62
13/02/25AOmega-Tauras79-88
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25HBC Olimpas Palanga81-74
21/05/25ABC Wolves85-109
17/05/25HLietkabelis65-96
14/05/25ANeptunas79-85
11/05/25ANevezis80-109
06/05/25HJonava86-107
03/05/25HJuventus85-94
30/04/25ASiauliai96-122
26/04/25HRytas81-113
24/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas63-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game93.0-93.0
Allowed / game94.0-94.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total187.0-187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Mazeikiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis220100%90.071.0+19.0
2 Vytis VDU110100%89.078.0+11.0
3 Kedainiu SC220100%92.082.5+9.5
4 Mazeikiai110100%81.074.0+7.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2220100%88.584.5+4.0
6 Telsiai21150%85.574.5+11.0
7 Neptunas 221150%89.581.0+8.5
8 Omega-Tauras21150%86.084.0+2.0
9 Plunges Olimpas21150%88.088.0+0.0
10 Rytas 221150%89.091.0-2.0
11 Silute21150%81.087.5-6.5
12 Jurbarkas1010%93.094.0-1.0
13 Alytaus Alytus2020%76.585.0-8.5
14 BC Olimpas Palanga2020%66.582.0-15.5
15 Kretinga2020%74.593.5-19.0
16 Ukmerges Stekas1010%72.094.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2221231480
Mazeikiai1915192073
← all games of the day
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