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Mazeikiai vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-83
26-21 19-27 25-17 14-18
Position#11
Record15-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game80.6
Mazeikiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas
Lithuania
Position#5
Record16-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.2
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas
10 Oct 2026
MAZ62
JURB91
20 Mar 2026
MAZ87
JURB92
31 Jan 2026
MAZ84
JURB83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
79-59
79
59
+20
67avg 70
A18/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
77avg 70
H20/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
94-95
94
95
-1
85avg 70
H03/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
56avg 70
A08/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
67avg 70
H10/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A19/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
78avg 70
A22/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
94-60
94
60
+34
92avg 70
H24/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 70
A29/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
26-16
21-14
21-16
20-19
18-10
21-11
20-34
29-21
22-25
22-20
21-29
18-22
17-17
15-20
16-14
13-28
19-24
20-19
26-20
15-30
27-16
22-16
19-22
19-18
25-21
16-24
22-20
21-16
23-15
17-27
23-20
27-12
30-14
18-10
19-24
14-17
16-26
24-16
26-14
158.9Avg total
81.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.480.6164.0+2.852%
Season at home (14)84.780.4165.1+4.357%
Season away (15)82.180.7162.9+1.447%
Last 10 (10)81.977.0158.9+4.950%
Last 5 (5)84.675.6160.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.098.0180.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)83.980.7164.6+3.347%
vs Weaker (8)82.877.4160.1+5.475%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
60-81
60
81
-21
45avg 73
A20/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
84-70
84
70
+14
82avg 73
A04/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
80-58
80
58
+22
76avg 73
H08/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
54-72
54
72
-18
42avg 73
H10/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A15/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H17/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 73
H22/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
80avg 73
A24/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 73
A27/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
120-82
120
82
+38
128avg 73
H29/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
8-20
18-20
10-25
23-18
28-15
19-15
14-22
16-17
18-12
23-16
23-13
17-23
15-15
13-15
9-19
17-26
15-23
27-12
22-22
21-14
24-20
12-21
18-25
20-25
27-20
22-27
23-14
23-22
22-17
20-23
17-22
24-16
19-15
18-21
27-19
27-15
31-13
40-22
22-32
158.3Avg total
81.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.377.2156.6+2.155%
Season at home (15)79.974.7154.6+5.160%
Season away (14)78.879.9158.7-1.150%
Last 10 (10)81.676.7158.3+4.950%
Last 5 (5)91.480.6172.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.078.5142.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.678.4156.1-0.847%
vs Weaker (11)83.276.5159.7+6.673%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
MazeikiaiJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A18/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H20/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H03/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A08/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H10/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A22/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H24/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/01
NKL
79.0Avg total
41.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.281.4+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.939.382.2+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.180.8-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.080.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.749.092.7-5.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.939.780.6+1.353%-
vs Weaker (8)40.938.279.1+2.638%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A20/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A04/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H08/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H17/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H22/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A27/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H29/01
NKL
78.1Avg total
41.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.776.3+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.033.473.4+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.240.079.2-0.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.278.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.635.483.0+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.534.065.5-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.337.275.5+1.171%-
vs Weaker (11)43.136.479.5+6.773%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
54.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.9
34.3%
32.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.413.8
75.0%
69.3%13.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.0
54.6%
54.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.0
36.7%
32.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws14.610.2
69.9%
69.3%10.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
WWWLLLLLWW
Jurbarkas
WWLWLLLWWL
#11
League position
#5
+10.5
Net rating
+7.8
103.5
Offensive rating
98.0
93.0
Defensive rating
90.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
18.4%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.3%
3-point %
36.7%
54.7%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 98.0Defence93.0 · 90.1Shooting53.0% · 54.8%3-point %34.3% · 36.7%Ball care14.8% · 18.4%Off. rebounds26.1% · 26.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mazeikiai wins
1
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai80-73
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga80-73
24/01/26HAlytaus Alytus94-60
22/01/26ARytas 284-78
19/01/26AVytis VDU82-83
15/01/26HKedainiu SC83-84
10/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 278-91
08/01/26ANeptunas 266-73
03/01/26HKretinga94-95
20/12/25HUkmerges Stekas79-74
18/12/25AVilkaviskis79-59
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HKedainiu SC120-82
27/01/26AUkmerges Stekas88-71
24/01/26ANeptunas 282-84
22/01/26HVytis VDU92-86
17/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga75-80
15/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas 281-83
10/01/26HVilkaviskis54-72
08/01/26HRytas 280-58
04/01/26APlunges Olimpas84-70
20/12/25ASuduva-Mantinga60-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayWLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%57%47%
Points / game83.484.782.1
Allowed / game80.680.480.7
Point differential+2.8+4.3+1.4
Avg total164.0165.1162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game79.379.978.8
Allowed / game77.274.779.9
Point differential+2.1+5.1-1.1
Avg total156.6154.6158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)60% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2925486%89.574.6+14.9
2 Vytis VDU3022873%87.782.9+4.8
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22920969%86.785.0+1.7
4 Kedainiu SC29181162%88.786.8+1.9
5 Telsiai30171357%84.984.4+0.5
6 Neptunas 229161355%79.076.7+2.3
7 Jurbarkas29161355%79.377.2+2.1
8 Vilkaviskis30161453%82.378.4+4.0
9 Rytas 230161453%83.481.1+2.3
10 Mazeikiai29151452%83.480.6+2.8
11 Kretinga29141548%85.485.9-0.6
12 Silute30131743%86.690.0-3.5
13 Omega-Tauras29111838%85.089.8-4.8
14 BC Olimpas Palanga30111937%79.484.3-4.9
15 Ukmerges Stekas2982128%80.789.9-9.2
16 Plunges Olimpas2972224%80.686.8-6.2
17 Alytaus Alytus3052517%78.586.5-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai2619251484
Jurbarkas2127171883
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