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Mazeikiai vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 81-113
20-30 20-24 22-28 19-31
Position#10
Record3-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game96.8
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record22-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game83.0
LithuaniaLKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Rytas
26 Apr 2025
MAZ81
RYT113
30 Nov 2024
MAZ83
RYT93
21 Apr 2024
MAZ63
RYT89
02 Dec 2023
MAZ60
RYT77
19 Apr 2015
MAZ60
RYT83
20 Dec 2014
MAZ74
RYT87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
74-102
74
102
-28
59avg 69
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-106
86
106
-20
75avg 69
H08/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
77-96
77
96
-19
66avg 69
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
69-102
69
102
-33
58avg 69
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 69
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
71-101
71
101
-30
64avg 69
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-105
80
105
-25
70avg 69
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
55-116
55
116
-61
42avg 69
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-90
69
90
-21
67avg 69
A19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-109
63
109
-46
50avg 69
A24/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-24
16-30
20-27
21-28
24-23
14-29
27-26
25-24
14-21
20-22
18-29
13-26
22-27
19-27
15-22
16-22
26-20
13-21
22-17
21-22
18-26
13-27
19-26
24-31
15-24
23-20
18-30
10-37
18-28
14-35
13-16
13-19
17-28
16-28
23-15
20-31
7-26
12-32
24-20
172.8Avg total
72.1Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.196.8174.9-18.611%
Season at home (14)80.595.4175.9-14.914%
Season away (14)75.898.1173.9-22.47%
Last 10 (10)72.1100.7172.8-28.60%
Last 5 (5)67.6104.2171.8-36.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)79.495.2174.7-15.823%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 86
A15/03
LKL
Galatasaray
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
69avg 86
A18/03
Champions League
Mazeikiai
#10
W
102-69
102
69
+33
102avg 86
H22/03
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 86
H25/03
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
102-82
102
82
+20
99avg 86
A29/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
96avg 86
H06/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 86
A12/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
90-75
90
75
+15
87avg 86
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 86
A21/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
103-85
103
85
+18
100avg 86
H24/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
6-20
27-15
23-23
23-24
13-14
23-21
22-30
26-13
27-22
27-19
22-15
18-24
21-24
28-23
15-12
28-21
23-21
26-22
25-18
33-19
15-26
21-23
23-20
26-14
24-20
21-34
14-24
17-20
23-20
24-17
26-18
26-29
30-25
28-21
20-24
30-16
21-24
26-22
26-23
176.0Avg total
91.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)90.883.0173.8+7.879%
Season at home (15)92.584.5177.1+8.080%
Season away (13)88.881.3170.1+7.577%
Last 10 (10)91.684.4176.0+7.260%
Last 5 (5)94.887.8182.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.782.5158.2-6.817%
vs Similar (2)83.577.5161.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.182.8173.9+8.482%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -11.1-11.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -11.1-11.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
MazeikiaiRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H08/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
28-65
28
65
-37
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A24/04
LKL
87.0Avg total
36.2Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.046.384.3-8.320%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.943.182.9-3.233%-
Last 30 away (15)36.149.585.7-13.47%-
Last 10 (10)36.250.887.0-14.60%-
Last 5 (5)32.654.487.0-21.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.046.384.3-8.320%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A15/03
LKL
Galatasaray
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A18/03
Champions League
Mazeikiai
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H22/03
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H25/03
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A29/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H06/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A12/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A21/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/04
LKL
86.9Avg total
44.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.385.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.241.485.6+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)42.843.286.0-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.086.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.042.691.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.541.779.2-4.233%-
vs Similar (2)35.037.572.5-2.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.042.988.8+3.164%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.8
51.0%
55.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.1
31.0%
35.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.611.4
68.7%
75.0%11.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.6
56.9%
55.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.1
38.3%
35.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.714.9
72.0%
75.0%14.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLLL
Rytas
WWWLWWLWLL
#10
League position
#2
-37.9
Net rating
+8.8
95.1
Offensive rating
118.3
132.9
Defensive rating
109.5
49.1%
Effective FG%
57.1%
59.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
21.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.0%
3-point %
38.3%
59.8%
Assist %
61.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 118.3Defence132.9 · 109.5Shooting49.1% · 57.1%3-point %31.0% · 38.3%Ball care21.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.1% · 33.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mazeikiai wins
10
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Rytas v Mazeikiai102-69
30/11/24Mazeikiai v Rytas83-93
09/11/24Rytas v Mazeikiai109-98
21/04/24Mazeikiai v Rytas63-89
02/12/23Mazeikiai v Rytas60-77
14/10/23Rytas v Mazeikiai90-54
19/04/15Mazeikiai v Rytas60-83
28/02/15Rytas v Mazeikiai76-70
20/12/14Mazeikiai v Rytas74-87
01/11/14Rytas v Mazeikiai88-80
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas63-109
19/04/25ALietkabelis69-90
16/04/25AJonava55-116
13/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-105
05/04/25HNevezis71-101
29/03/25AJuventus77-80
22/03/25ARytas69-102
15/03/25HNeptunas77-96
08/03/25HBC Wolves86-106
02/03/25HSiauliai74-102
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25HNeptunas103-85
21/04/25AJonava104-99
16/04/25HJuventus90-75
12/04/25ANeptunas85-92
06/04/25HBC Wolves92-88
29/03/25ASiauliai102-82
25/03/25HUnicaja82-83
22/03/25HMazeikiai102-69
18/03/25AGalatasaray81-89
15/03/25ALietkabelis75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %11%14%7%
Points / game78.180.575.8
Allowed / game96.895.498.1
Point differential-18.6-14.9-22.4
Avg total174.9175.9173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Rytas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %79%80%77%
Points / game90.892.588.8
Allowed / game83.084.581.3
Point differential+7.8+8.0+7.5
Avg total173.8177.1170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%47%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2826293%91.673.4+18.2
2 Rytas2822679%90.883.0+7.8
3 BC Wolves28161257%89.788.2+1.5
4 Jonava28161257%89.189.6-0.5
5 Lietkabelis28141450%82.780.9+1.8
6 Juventus28121643%83.686.5-2.9
7 Siauliai28111739%89.894.8-4.9
8 Nevezis28101836%89.788.1+1.6
9 Neptunas28101836%84.688.5-3.9
10 Mazeikiai2832511%78.196.8-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai2020221981
Rytas30242831113
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