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Mazeikiai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 71-101
21-22 18-26 13-27 19-26
Position#10
Record3-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game95.2
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record6-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game89.3
LithuaniaLKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Nevezis
05 Apr 2025
MAZ71
NEV101
27 Nov 2024
MAZ89
NEV85
03 Nov 2024
MAZ77
NEV98
09 May 2024
MAZ81
NEV93
13 Nov 2023
MAZ88
NEV81
31 Jan 2015
MAZ76
NEV75
13 Dec 2014
MAZ75
NEV83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 69
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
101avg 69
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 69
H26/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
48avg 69
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
63avg 69
A10/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
74-102
74
102
-28
59avg 69
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-106
86
106
-20
75avg 69
H08/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
77-96
77
96
-19
66avg 69
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
69-102
69
102
-33
58avg 69
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 69
A29/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
13-17
19-17
21-27
24-30
18-24
21-21
31-19
17-19
24-15
21-33
20-21
17-21
12-27
18-26
16-25
20-14
19-23
15-29
18-26
21-21
17-24
16-30
20-27
21-28
24-23
14-29
27-26
25-24
14-21
20-22
18-29
13-26
22-27
19-27
15-22
16-22
26-20
13-21
22-17
173.0Avg total
77.9Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.495.2175.6-14.713%
Season at home (12)81.394.2175.5-12.817%
Season away (11)79.596.3175.7-16.89%
Last 10 (10)77.995.1173.0-17.210%
Last 5 (5)76.697.2173.8-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)80.194.0174.1-13.923%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 82
A12/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 82
A19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
67avg 82
A26/01
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
110-87
110
87
+23
108avg 82
A02/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
107-94
107
94
+13
89avg 82
A09/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
98-99
98
99
-1
98avg 82
A01/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
68avg 82
H06/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 82
H16/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
81avg 82
H23/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
88avg 82
A29/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
24-23
20-18
21-21
14-19
17-20
22-24
14-14
28-21
22-21
11-29
23-20
19-23
37-17
24-23
30-24
29-26
27-24
23-18
28-26
35-28
24-25
16-24
23-22
24-14
11-17
20-28
26-24
23-18
26-20
30-15
26-21
16-21
18-20
26-26
20-17
17-21
20-31
26-20
26-24
178.0Avg total
90.7Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.989.3178.1-0.426%
Season at home (12)85.786.8172.4-1.125%
Season away (11)92.492.0184.4+0.427%
Last 10 (10)90.787.3178.0+3.430%
Last 5 (5)90.687.2177.8+3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.491.6178.0-5.114%
vs Similar (14)92.190.2182.3+1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.685.4177.0+6.156%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
MazeikiaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H08/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/03
LKL
83.0Avg total
38.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.084.5-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.442.382.7-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)38.547.786.3-9.213%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.883.0-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.287.0-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.545.084.5-5.627%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A26/01
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A02/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A09/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A01/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H16/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H23/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A29/03
LKL
88.7Avg total
45.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.890.2+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.989.9+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)44.745.890.5-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.243.588.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.085.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.145.991.0-0.729%-
vs Similar (14)44.645.890.4-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.842.689.3+4.256%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.1
50.7%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.311.5
70.6%
75.0%11.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.7
56.4%
55.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.8
35.8%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.117.0
73.6%
75.0%17.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLWL
Nevezis
LLWLLWWLLL
#10
League position
#9
-23.1
Net rating
+3.8
103.2
Offensive rating
116.1
126.3
Defensive rating
112.2
51.7%
Effective FG%
55.2%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.1%
3-point %
35.8%
62.2%
Assist %
63.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 116.1Defence126.3 · 112.2Shooting51.7% · 55.2%3-point %35.1% · 35.8%Ball care18.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds26.0% · 31.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mazeikiai wins
5
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai93-87
27/11/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis89-85
03/11/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis77-98
15/10/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai89-71
09/05/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis81-93
07/03/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai72-83
13/11/23Mazeikiai v Nevezis88-81
28/04/15Nevezis v Mazeikiai82-98
31/01/15Mazeikiai v Nevezis76-75
13/12/14Mazeikiai v Nevezis75-83
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25AJuventus77-80
22/03/25ARytas69-102
15/03/25HNeptunas77-96
08/03/25HBC Wolves86-106
02/03/25HSiauliai74-102
10/02/25AJuventus72-92
01/02/25ANeptunas63-99
26/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas82-88
11/01/25ASiauliai107-103 OT
05/01/25HJonava72-83
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25AJonava89-96
23/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-84
16/03/25HJuventus105-74
06/03/25HNeptunas81-83
01/03/25ARytas98-99
09/02/25ANeptunas107-94
02/02/25AJonava110-87
26/01/25AJuventus84-91
19/01/25ALietkabelis67-77
12/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %13%17%9%
Points / game80.481.379.5
Allowed / game95.294.296.3
Point differential-14.7-12.8-16.8
Avg total175.6175.5175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeWWLWL25%
AwayLWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%25%27%
Points / game88.985.792.4
Allowed / game89.386.892.0
Point differential-0.4-1.1+0.4
Avg total178.1172.4184.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (8)0% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2321291%90.874.3+16.6
2 Rytas2318578%89.982.0+7.9
3 BC Wolves2314961%90.188.2+1.9
4 Lietkabelis23121152%82.781.0+1.7
5 Jonava23121152%86.590.1-3.6
6 Juventus23111248%83.385.2-1.9
7 Neptunas2391439%83.386.7-3.4
8 Siauliai2391439%92.196.2-4.0
9 Nevezis2361726%88.989.3-0.4
10 Mazeikiai2332013%80.495.2-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai2118131971
Nevezis22262726101
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