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Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 92-85
14-26 20-24 34-21 24-14
Position#7
Record9-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#2
Record19-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game82.2
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
99-63
99
63
+36
104avg 81
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
94-107
94
107
-13
110avg 81
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 81
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 81
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 81
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 81
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 81
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
72avg 81
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
66avg 81
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
97-98
97
98
-1
97avg 81
H05/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
27-12
26-18
25-16
26-29
24-27
18-23
26-28
27-24
16-20
22-14
22-25
25-21
20-22
24-25
20-23
15-29
19-15
23-22
15-25
14-24
17-11
28-20
24-26
24-25
21-14
22-20
29-18
22-18
16-26
18-24
22-23
14-20
22-14
15-28
16-18
16-27
24-34
22-21
35-16
172.4Avg total
86.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.987.2171.0-3.338%
Season at home (12)79.484.8164.2-5.425%
Season away (12)88.389.5177.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)86.286.2172.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)84.285.4169.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.387.7166.0-9.325%
vs Similar (6)81.287.0168.2-5.817%
vs Weaker (12)94.985.9180.8+9.067%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
99-98
99
98
+1
87avg 85
H01/03
LKL
Manisa
#25
W
98-74
98
74
+24
93avg 85
H05/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 85
H09/03
LKL
Manisa
#25
L
75-98
75
98
-23
67avg 85
A12/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 85
A15/03
LKL
Galatasaray
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
69avg 85
A18/03
Champions League
Mazeikiai
#10
W
102-69
102
69
+33
102avg 85
H22/03
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 85
H25/03
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
102-82
102
82
+20
99avg 85
A29/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
96avg 85
H06/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-35
25-24
24-16
22-23
27-20
27-22
24-16
20-16
14-24
20-17
15-24
27-18
18-28
25-21
16-23
16-26
19-24
6-20
27-15
23-23
23-24
13-14
23-21
22-30
26-13
27-22
27-19
22-15
18-24
21-24
28-23
15-12
28-21
23-21
26-22
25-18
33-19
15-26
21-23
23-20
172.8Avg total
88.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)90.082.2172.2+7.879%
Season at home (13)91.985.2177.2+6.777%
Season away (11)87.778.7166.5+9.082%
Last 10 (10)88.284.6172.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)91.882.2174.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.782.5158.2-6.817%
vs Similar (2)83.577.5161.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.481.7173.1+9.786%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/04
LKL
83.9Avg total
41.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.384.7-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.643.184.6-1.541%-
Last 30 away (13)41.243.584.7-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.983.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.680.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.143.984.0-3.842%-
vs Similar (6)38.246.084.2-7.80%-
vs Weaker (12)44.341.285.6+3.150%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H01/03
LKL
Manisa
#25
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H05/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/03
LKL
Manisa
#25
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A12/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A15/03
LKL
Galatasaray
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A18/03
Champions League
Mazeikiai
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H22/03
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H25/03
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A29/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H06/04
LKL
87.9Avg total
43.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.585.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.041.986.9+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.184.4-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)43.644.387.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.541.779.2-4.233%-
vs Similar (2)35.037.572.5-2.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.643.188.8+2.564%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.8
55.3%
55.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.9
41.0%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.016.4
74.5%
75.0%16.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.1
53.1%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.7
72.6%
75.0%16.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLWWLLWLW
Rytas
WWLWLLLLWW
#7
League position
#2
+0.5
Net rating
+4.8
114.7
Offensive rating
113.7
114.1
Defensive rating
108.9
58.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
41.0%
3-point %
35.1%
64.6%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 113.7Defence114.1 · 108.9Shooting58.0% · 52.9%3-point %41.0% · 35.1%Ball care19.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds33.4% · 34.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Rytas v Neptunas77-92
04/01/25Neptunas v Rytas76-94
21/12/24Neptunas v Rytas67-78
21/09/24Rytas v Neptunas84-90
16/03/24Rytas v Neptunas83-84
23/12/23Neptunas v Rytas70-77
11/11/23Rytas v Neptunas93-75
14/05/23Neptunas v Rytas91-95
12/05/23Rytas v Neptunas107-99 OT
10/04/23Neptunas v Rytas86-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HJonava97-98
30/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas67-80
22/03/25ASiauliai78-91
15/03/25AMazeikiai96-77
06/03/25ANevezis83-81
02/03/25HLietkabelis72-91
16/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas89-91
15/02/25HBC Wolves87-83
09/02/25HNevezis94-107
01/02/25HMazeikiai99-63
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HBC Wolves92-88
29/03/25ASiauliai102-82
25/03/25HUnicaja82-83
22/03/25HMazeikiai102-69
18/03/25AGalatasaray81-89
15/03/25ALietkabelis75-82
12/03/25AManisa75-98
09/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas76-83
05/03/25HManisa98-74
01/03/25HNevezis99-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game83.979.488.3
Allowed / game87.284.889.5
Point differential-3.3-5.4-1.2
Avg total171.0164.2177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Rytas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW79%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %79%77%82%
Points / game90.091.987.7
Allowed / game82.285.278.7
Point differential+7.8+6.7+9.0
Avg total172.2177.2166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%38%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%90.574.5+16.0
2 Rytas2419579%90.082.2+7.8
3 BC Wolves24141058%90.088.3+1.7
4 Jonava24131154%87.090.4-3.4
5 Lietkabelis24121250%82.581.1+1.4
6 Juventus24111346%82.785.2-2.5
7 Siauliai24101442%91.995.0-3.1
8 Neptunas2491538%83.987.2-3.3
9 Nevezis2471729%89.488.5+0.9
10 Mazeikiai2432112%80.095.4-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1420342492
Rytas2624211485
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