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Mazeikiai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-96
25-24 14-21 20-22 18-29
Position#10
Record3-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Position#7
Record8-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game87.3
LithuaniaLKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Neptunas
15 Mar 2025
MAZ77
NEP96
06 Nov 2024
MAZ70
NEP91
27 Oct 2024
MAZ107
NEP96
17 Dec 2023
MAZ70
NEP68
11 Oct 2023
MAZ86
NEP87
28 Mar 2015
MAZ59
NEP71
10 Nov 2014
MAZ69
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
71avg 71
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 71
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
85avg 71
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 71
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
101avg 71
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 71
H26/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
48avg 71
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
63avg 71
A10/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
74-102
74
102
-28
59avg 71
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-106
86
106
-20
75avg 71
H08/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
19-11
15-22
34-28
22-14
22-22
19-12
30-39
19-20
23-25
23-21
29-29
19-22
13-17
19-17
21-27
24-30
18-24
21-21
31-19
17-19
24-15
21-33
20-21
17-21
12-27
18-26
16-25
20-14
19-23
15-29
18-26
21-21
17-24
16-30
20-27
21-28
24-23
14-29
27-26
175.2Avg total
82.1Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.395.5176.9-14.215%
Season at home (11)81.794.0175.7-12.318%
Season away (9)80.997.4178.3-16.611%
Last 10 (10)82.193.1175.2-11.030%
Last 5 (5)75.497.4172.8-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)80.893.5174.3-12.723%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 81
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
56-63
56
63
-7
49avg 81
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
W
92-77
92
77
+15
79avg 81
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 81
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
99-63
99
63
+36
104avg 81
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
94-107
94
107
-13
110avg 81
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 81
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 81
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 81
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 81
A06/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
18-29
17-22
15-22
15-18
20-10
13-15
8-20
23-23
19-20
25-18
25-16
21-28
17-21
11-21
31-20
21-17
27-12
26-18
25-16
26-29
24-27
18-23
26-28
27-24
16-20
22-14
22-25
25-21
20-22
24-25
20-23
15-29
19-15
23-22
15-25
14-24
17-11
28-20
24-26
166.8Avg total
82.8Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.887.3171.1-3.540%
Season at home (10)78.984.0162.9-5.130%
Season away (10)88.690.6179.2-2.050%
Last 10 (10)82.884.0166.8-1.240%
Last 5 (5)85.090.6175.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.287.2167.3-7.033%
vs Similar (5)83.088.2171.2-5.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.885.6180.5+9.262%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
MazeikiaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H08/03
LKL
79.6Avg total
38.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.245.084.2-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.142.982.9-2.838%-
Last 30 away (14)38.247.485.6-9.214%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.579.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.081.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.245.084.2-5.827%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/03
LKL
83.1Avg total
41.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.785.4+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.741.984.6+0.847%-
Last 30 away (13)42.843.686.4-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.183.1-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.485.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.744.685.2-3.942%-
vs Similar (5)40.842.283.0-1.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.441.186.5+4.354%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.616.5
52.2%
55.6%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.2
36.6%
35.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.214.7
72.8%
75.0%14.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.0
52.6%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.7
37.2%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.215.2
68.5%
75.0%15.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLLLLWLLWW
Neptunas
WLLWLWLWLL
#10
League position
#7
-14.0
Net rating
-0.5
107.5
Offensive rating
107.5
121.5
Defensive rating
108.0
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.0%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.6%
3-point %
37.2%
62.5%
Assist %
63.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 107.5Defence121.5 · 108.0Shooting53.5% · 54.0%3-point %36.6% · 37.2%Ball care18.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds26.7% · 31.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mazeikiai wins
7
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Neptunas v Mazeikiai99-63
06/11/24Mazeikiai v Neptunas70-91
27/10/24Mazeikiai v Neptunas107-96
09/10/24Neptunas v Mazeikiai106-71
01/04/24Neptunas v Mazeikiai91-89
17/12/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas70-68
08/11/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai109-80
23/10/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai84-87
11/10/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas86-87 OT
28/03/15Mazeikiai v Neptunas59-71
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HBC Wolves86-106
02/03/25HSiauliai74-102
10/02/25AJuventus72-92
01/02/25ANeptunas63-99
26/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas82-88
11/01/25ASiauliai107-103 OT
05/01/25HJonava72-83
29/12/24ABC Wolves94-95
14/12/24HLietkabelis93-87
11/12/24HJonava78-76
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25ANevezis83-81
02/03/25HLietkabelis72-91
16/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas89-91
15/02/25HBC Wolves87-83
09/02/25HNevezis94-107
01/02/25HMazeikiai99-63
25/01/25HSiauliai80-90
18/01/25ARytas92-77
11/01/25HLietkabelis56-63
04/01/25HRytas76-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeWLLLL18%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %15%18%11%
Points / game81.381.780.9
Allowed / game95.594.097.4
Point differential-14.2-12.3-16.6
Avg total176.9175.7178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %10%9%11%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%30%50%
Points / game83.878.988.6
Allowed / game87.384.090.6
Point differential-3.5-5.1-2.0
Avg total171.1162.9179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2018290%91.875.0+16.9
2 Rytas2116576%88.882.6+6.1
3 BC Wolves1912763%91.288.1+3.1
4 Lietkabelis21111052%82.781.3+1.4
5 Juventus20101050%84.084.5-0.6
6 Jonava20101050%87.090.3-3.4
7 Neptunas2081240%83.887.3-3.5
8 Siauliai1971237%92.297.0-4.8
9 Nevezis2051525%88.590.0-1.4
10 Mazeikiai2031715%81.395.5-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai2514201877
Neptunas2421222996
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