PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mazeikiai vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 91-85
18-29 27-11 23-27 23-18
Position#11
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#7
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game71.8
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis
12 Nov 2026
MAZ v VILK
upcoming
16 Oct 2025
MAZ91
VILK85
01 Dec 2022
MAZ82
VILK64
26 Mar 2022
MAZ77
VILK75
20 Mar 2022
MAZ124
VILK113
02 Dec 2021
MAZ96
VILK90
07 Nov 2020
MAZ97
VILK104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
71avg 70
H03/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
86-107
86
107
-21
71avg 70
H06/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-109
80
109
-29
61avg 70
A11/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 70
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
65-96
65
96
-31
52avg 70
H17/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-109
85
109
-24
71avg 70
A21/05
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
81-74
81
74
+7
68avg 70
H02/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 70
A04/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
92-93
92
93
-1
86avg 70
A09/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
62-92
62
92
-30
53avg 70
H11/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
26-23
21-23
20-23
19-31
19-22
24-24
24-30
25-28
15-29
18-25
22-27
20-23
14-21
28-26
17-15
18-18
19-25
12-24
16-29
22-26
24-27
15-24
24-32
20-19
17-19
28-12
16-24
19-22
15-21
19-23
20-14
17-26
21-21
26-17
28-29
18-18
16-26
14-23
14-25
172.7Avg total
78.8Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.084.8161.8-7.825%
Season at home (2)71.583.0154.5-11.550%
Season away (2)82.586.5169.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)78.893.9172.7-15.110%
Last 5 (5)78.689.6168.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)78.498.7177.1-20.212%
vs Similar ◀ (2)82.586.5169.0-4.00%
vs Weaker (2)71.583.0154.5-11.550%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
73avg 71
A03/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 71
H06/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
70avg 71
A08/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 71
A11/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
59avg 71
H14/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 71
A17/04
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
94-72
94
72
+22
83avg 71
A02/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
77avg 71
H04/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 71
A09/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
76-64
76
64
+12
68avg 71
H11/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
21-19
13-23
24-24
14-27
16-16
21-17
18-18
18-17
27-20
17-12
22-32
11-19
24-21
18-26
21-23
19-13
20-24
18-22
15-28
17-22
21-14
22-25
16-17
23-22
27-21
21-16
23-13
21-30
18-15
28-10
19-15
19-17
18-25
21-22
24-17
19-20
15-17
25-18
17-9
158.7Avg total
79.8Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.571.8156.2+12.8100%
Season at home (2)81.067.0148.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)88.076.5164.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.878.9158.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)82.873.0155.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.285.0162.2-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (22)80.677.6158.2+3.064%
vs Weaker (3)90.376.7167.0+13.7100%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
MazeikiaiVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H06/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A11/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H17/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A21/05
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H02/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A04/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H11/10
NKL
85.2Avg total
38.2Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.947.285.2-9.313%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.443.982.3-5.520%-
Last 30 away (15)37.550.588.0-13.17%-
Last 10 (10)38.247.085.2-8.80%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.082.8-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)38.347.986.2-9.615%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker (2)35.541.076.5-5.50%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A08/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/04
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A02/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H04/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A09/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/10
NKL
79.7Avg total
39.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.680.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.478.9+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.782.0+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.279.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.680.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.480.2-0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)40.238.979.1+1.345%-
vs Weaker (3)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.5
47.8%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.0
31.6%
32.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.213.8
65.1%
69.3%13.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.7
52.4%
54.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.4
31.6%
32.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
69.3%11.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLLWLLLLLL
Vilkaviskis
WWWWLLLWLL
#11
League position
#7
-19.7
Net rating
+0.7
99.1
Offensive rating
105.9
118.8
Defensive rating
105.2
47.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.6%
3-point %
31.6%
55.6%
Assist %
44.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 105.9Defence118.8 · 105.2Shooting47.6% · 50.7%3-point %31.6% · 31.6%Ball care19.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mazeikiai wins
5
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
01/12/22Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis82-64
13/10/22Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai83-76
26/03/22Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis77-75
23/03/22Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai85-93
20/03/22Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis124-113 OT
17/03/22Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai105-93
02/12/21Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis96-90
07/10/21Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai95-87
16/01/21Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai101-93 OT
07/11/20Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis97-104
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HOmega-Tauras62-92
09/10/25ATelsiai92-93
04/10/25AJurbarkas73-80
02/10/25HBC Olimpas Palanga81-74
21/05/25ABC Wolves85-109
17/05/25HLietkabelis65-96
14/05/25ANeptunas79-85
11/05/25ANevezis80-109
06/05/25HJonava86-107
03/05/25HJuventus85-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas 276-64
09/10/25ANeptunas 282-81
04/10/25HRytas 286-70
02/10/25AUkmerges Stekas94-72
17/04/25ATelsiai76-78
14/04/25HTelsiai72-87
11/04/25ATelsiai74-89
08/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas 284-81
06/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas 269-78
03/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas 285-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.071.582.5
Allowed / game84.883.086.5
Point differential-7.8-11.5-4.0
Avg total161.8154.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.581.088.0
Allowed / game71.867.076.5
Point differential+12.8+14.0+11.5
Avg total156.2148.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis440100%84.571.8+12.8
2 Omega-Tauras43175%92.582.0+10.5
3 Kedainiu SC43175%95.289.8+5.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 243175%81.878.8+3.0
5 Telsiai32167%88.080.3+7.7
6 Vytis VDU32167%79.373.3+6.0
7 Neptunas 242250%87.878.5+9.2
8 Plunges Olimpas42250%87.584.5+3.0
9 Rytas 242250%83.582.8+0.8
10 Suduva-Mantinga21150%75.077.5-2.5
11 Silute42250%82.085.0-3.0
12 Jurbarkas31233%80.785.3-4.7
13 Kretinga41325%85.889.2-3.5
14 Mazeikiai41325%77.084.8-7.8
15 BC Olimpas Palanga41325%76.286.2-10.0
16 Alytaus Alytus41325%74.886.2-11.5
17 Ukmerges Stekas3030%69.388.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1827232391
Vilkaviskis2911271885
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.