PythiaBasketballBETA
NKLRound 15· Telsiu sporto arena
Mazeikiai will host Zalgiris Kaunas 2 on 19 November 2026 in the NKL, with the model favouring the visitors who have a 65% chance of triumph over the home side's 35% win probability; the projected score is 89-94 and the total is 182.9 points. Mazeikiai are 3-11 in the season, averaging 78.9 points and conceding 88.9, while Zalgiris Kaunas 2 are 5-7, scoring 94.2 and allowing 96.8, and sit 12th in the league. At home Mazeikiai are 2-5, with 78.7 points for and 91.3 against, and have won two of their last five games, including a 103-96 victory over Vilkaviskis; they also lost 81-85 to Alytaus Patriotai and 79-98 to Silute. Zalgiris Kaunas 2 have a 2-4 road record, averaging 94.3 points and 98.8 allowed, and have won two of their last five road outings, with a recent 95-90 win over Rytas 2 but losses to Plunges Olimpas and BC Olimpas Palanga. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 lead 6-4, most recently defeating Mazeikiai 102-74 on 19 February 2026, a result that echoes the current forecast.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 78.9 | 88.9 | 167.9 | -10.0 | 21% |
| Season at home (7) | 78.7 | 91.3 | 170.0 | -12.6 | 29% |
| Season away (7) | 79.1 | 86.6 | 165.7 | -7.4 | 14% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.6 | 91.3 | 173.9 | -8.7 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.4 | 93.6 | 181.0 | -6.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 77.1 | 92.5 | 169.6 | -15.5 | 9% |
| vs Similar (16) | 83.2 | 85.8 | 168.9 | -2.6 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 90.3 | 73.7 | 164.0 | +16.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 94.2 | 96.8 | 191.0 | -2.7 | 42% |
| Season at home (6) | 94.0 | 94.8 | 188.8 | -0.8 | 50% |
| Season away (6) | 94.3 | 98.8 | 193.2 | -4.5 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.5 | 97.5 | 189.0 | -6.0 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.2 | 96.2 | 187.4 | -5.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 86.0 | 98.0 | 184.0 | -12.0 | 12% |
| vs Similar (13) | 87.5 | 83.4 | 170.9 | +4.2 | 54% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 95.6 | 86.0 | 181.6 | +9.6 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.1 | 44.1 | 84.3 | -4.0 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.7 | 43.9 | 85.6 | -2.1 | 36% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.8 | 44.4 | 83.1 | -5.6 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.3 | 45.2 | 84.5 | -5.9 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.0 | 46.0 | 86.0 | -6.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 36.4 | 48.5 | 84.8 | -12.1 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 41.9 | 42.7 | 84.6 | -0.8 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 44.3 | 36.0 | 80.3 | +8.3 | 67% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.4 | 45.3 | 89.8 | -0.9 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.2 | 44.8 | 88.0 | -1.5 | 44% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 45.8 | 46.0 | 91.8 | -0.2 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.6 | 49.7 | 94.3 | -5.1 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.2 | 49.2 | 92.4 | -6.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 42.4 | 49.8 | 92.1 | -7.4 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 44.3 | 44.2 | 88.5 | +0.2 | 46% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 46.4 | 43.1 | 89.6 | +3.3 | 67% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.0 | 19.4 | 54.5% | 38.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.1 | 8.6 | 31.3% | 25.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.7 | 11.9 | 67.1% | 11.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.5 | 23.4 | 54.5% | 46.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.8 | 9.4 | 31.3% | 28.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.9 | 17.3 | 67.1% | 17.3 |
Mazeikiai
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19/02/26 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Mazeikiai | 102-74 |
| 10/01/26 | Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 78-91 |
| 25/11/25 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Mazeikiai | 72-93 |
| 22/04/23 | Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 65-69 |
| 25/02/23 | Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 71-62 |
| 28/01/23 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Mazeikiai | 71-88 |
| 15/12/22 | Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 63-74 |
| 20/10/22 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Mazeikiai | 85-73 |
| 20/11/21 | Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 69-71 |
| 18/11/21 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Mazeikiai | 68-72 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Alytaus Patriotai | 81-85 |
| 12/11/26 | H | Vilkaviskis | 103-96 OT |
| 07/11/26 | A | Silute | 79-98 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Vytis VDU | 77-101 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Kauno Atletas | 97-88 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Suduva-Mantinga | 85-109 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Ukmerges Stekas | 70-74 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Plunges Olimpas | 72-80 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Neptunas 2 | 77-90 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Kedainiai BC | 85-92 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Plunges Olimpas | 78-101 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Rytas 2 | 95-90 |
| 31/10/26 | A | BC Olimpas Palanga | 100-112 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Omega-Tauras | 82-93 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Kretinga | 101-85 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Jurbarkas | 79-93 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Vytis VDU | 92-104 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Kauno Atletas | 107-83 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Suduva-Mantinga | 94-106 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Ukmerges Stekas | 87-108 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 21% |
| Home | LLLLW | 29% |
| Away | LLWLL | 14% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 7 | 7 |
| Win % | 21% | 29% | 14% |
| Points / game | 78.9 | 78.7 | 79.1 |
| Allowed / game | 88.9 | 91.3 | 86.6 |
| Point differential | -10.0 | -12.6 | -7.4 |
| Avg total | 167.9 | 170.0 | 165.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 100% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 42% |
| Home | LWLLW | 50% |
| Away | LLWLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Win % | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Points / game | 94.2 | 94.0 | 94.3 |
| Allowed / game | 96.8 | 94.8 | 98.8 |
| Point differential | -2.7 | -0.8 | -4.5 |
| Avg total | 191.0 | 188.8 | 193.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 90.5 | 73.6 | +16.9 |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 88.6 | 78.3 | +10.3 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 96.3 | 84.6 | +11.6 |
| 4 |  Suduva-Mantinga | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 91.5 | 77.8 | +13.8 |
| 5 |  Vytis VDU | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 96.1 | 89.1 | +7.0 |
| 6 |  Neptunas 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 71% | 78.4 | 74.1 | +4.2 |
| 7 |  Silute | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.3 | 82.2 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Alytaus Patriotai | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 83.8 | 84.9 | -1.1 |
| 9 | Omega-Tauras | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 89.4 | 85.9 | +3.4 |
| 10 | Plunges Olimpas | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 83.1 | 81.1 | +2.1 |
| 11 |  Vilkaviskis | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 83.1 | 86.1 | -3.0 |
| 12 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 94.2 | 96.8 | -2.7 |
| 13 | Ukmerges Stekas | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 78.9 | 88.1 | -9.2 |
| 14 | Kedainiai BC | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 76.8 | 85.0 | -8.2 |
| 15 | Mazeikiai | 14 | 3 | 11 | 21% | 78.9 | 88.9 | -10.0 |
| 16 | Kretinga | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 81.5 | 90.7 | -9.2 |
| 17 |  Kauno Atletas | 14 | 2 | 12 | 14% | 79.1 | 94.4 | -15.3 |
| 18 |  Rytas 2 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 77.1 | 86.9 | -9.7 |
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