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MBA Moscow vs Dynamo Vladivostok Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Projected 92-86
Projected total 177.9
Final 114-95
35-30 32-32 28-20 19-13
Position#7
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game89.4
Vs
69%
31%
■ MMO 69%■ DVL 31%
Pythia win probability
Position#8
Record3-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game95.4
RussiaVTB United League· Krylatskoe Sport Palace
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · MBA Moscow v Dynamo Vladivostok
14 Nov 2026
MMO114
DVL95
24 Apr 2022
MMO78
DVL77
09 Nov 2021
MMO79
DVL87
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

MBA Moscow faces Dynamo Vladivostok in the VTB United League on 14 November 2026, with the model designating MBA Moscow as the favourite and predicting a decisive win. MBA Moscow has gone 3-5 this season, scoring 84.8 points per game while allowing 89.4, and sits 7th in the league; at home they are 2-1, averaging 87.0 points and conceding 82.0, and have won 2 of their last 5 games, including a 103-73 victory over Saratov at home on 10 November. Dynamo Vladivostok is 3-6 overall, averaging 87.3 points and conceding 95.4, and is 8th in the standings; on the road they are 2-4, with 88.0 points for and 100.0 against, and have also won 2 of their last 5, notably a 111-97 win over Enisey on 7 November. In their three previous meetings, Dynamo has won twice, with the last encounter ending 78-77 for MBA Moscow on 24 April 2022. The Pythia model gives MBA Moscow a 71% chance of victory and a 58% probability of covering the -4.5 spread, while the projected score is 90-84 and the total is 173.7, with a 38% chance of the over on the 178.5 line; there is a 4% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on MBA Moscow's home advantage and recent offensive bursts.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MBA Moscow winWon
68.8%fair 1.45
Best odds1.49
Implied64.4%
Edge+4.5pp
Dynamo Vladivostok winLost
31.2%fair 3.21
Best odds2.72
Implied35.6%
Edge-4.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MBA MoscowRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A28/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H02/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H27/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A03/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
H13/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A18/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A22/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
106-99 OT
106
99
+7
A01/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A07/11
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
103-73
103
73
+30
H10/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
12-14
14-31
17-22
20-24
20-16
13-11
10-23
14-25
11-30
22-13
18-14
25-17
22-24
21-27
19-24
14-31
31-17
31-21
17-22
31-13
19-19
9-35
24-27
12-17
19-22
20-23
5-21
24-18
19-28
17-18
19-15
17-25
24-25
28-26
16-25
25-19
33-17
29-15
16-22
167.6Avg total
80.4Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.889.4174.1-4.638%
Season at home (3)87.082.0169.0+5.067%
Season away (5)83.493.8177.2-10.420%
Last 10 (10)80.487.2167.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)86.690.0176.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.587.8160.3-15.37%
vs Similar (7)82.681.9164.4+0.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.676.9167.4+13.778%
This opponent (Dynamo Vladivostok) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo VladivostokRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H29/04
Super League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
75-117
75
117
-42
A30/09
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
98-84
98
84
+14
A04/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
H14/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
90-108
90
108
-18
A17/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A21/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H27/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H30/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
111-97
111
97
+14
A07/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-106
75
106
-31
A11/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
15-23
21-27
19-16
19-35
24-25
20-29
12-28
34-23
20-27
26-19
18-15
24-29
17-26
22-26
25-22
23-26
23-24
22-29
22-29
24-22
17-26
20-20
18-20
21-12
30-14
27-22
20-25
20-14
24-19
14-31
14-19
23-26
31-21
33-22
24-28
21-32
23-26
24-29
7-19
180.3Avg total
85.5Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.395.4182.8-8.133%
Season at home (3)86.086.3172.3-0.333%
Season away (6)88.0100.0188.0-12.033%
Last 10 (10)85.594.8180.3-9.330%
Last 5 (5)87.089.4176.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.497.3179.8-14.922%
vs Similar (8)88.089.0177.0-1.038%
vs Weaker (13)87.177.8164.9+9.277%
This opponent (MBA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1351%1402%1454%1505%1558%16010%16511%17012%17511%18010%1858%1906%1954%2003%2052%2101%2150%2200%225
1%1352%1455%15510%16512%17510%1856%1953%2051%2150%225
Pythia expects about 178 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 179.5.
Over/Under 174.5Actual: Over 174.5
Over 174.5
57.3%
@ 1.52-2.9pp
Under 174.5
42.7%
@ 2.27+2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Marathon Be
1.48
Under
Marathon Be
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Over/Under 179.5 · main lineActual: Over 179.5
Over 179.5
45.1%
@ 1.94-5.3pp
Under 179.5
54.9%
@ 1.95+5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.94
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.75
Over/Under 184.5Actual: Over 184.5
Over 184.5
33.5%
@ 2.24-7.2pp
Under 184.5
66.5%
@ 1.55+7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Under
Marathon Be
1.55
1xBet
1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

MBA Moscow total 89Actual: MBA Moscow over 89
Over 89
61.4%
@ 1.74+7.2pp
Under 89
38.6%
@ 2.05-7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Marathon Be
1.71
Under
1xBet
2.05
Marathon Be
2.02
MBA Moscow total 93 · main lineActual: MBA Moscow over 93
Over 93
45.7%
@ 1.89-3.8pp
Under 93
54.3%
@ 1.85+3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
MBA Moscow total 97Actual: MBA Moscow over 97
Over 97
30.6%
Under 97
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Vladivostok total 83.5Actual: Dynamo Vladivostok over 83.5
Over 83.5
58.5%
Under 83.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Vladivostok total 87.5 · main lineActual: Dynamo Vladivostok over 87.5
Over 87.5
43.5%
@ 1.87-6.5pp
Under 87.5
56.5%
@ 1.87+6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Dynamo Vladivostok total 91.5Actual: Dynamo Vladivostok over 91.5
Over 91.5
29.5%
Under 91.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-271%-241%-212%-183%-154%-125%-97%-68%-36%+010%+310%+69%+98%+127%+156%+184%+213%+242%+272%+301%+331%+36
1%-242%-184%-127%-66%+010%+68%+126%+183%+242%+301%+36
Margin from MBA Moscow's side (positive = MBA Moscow win). Pythia's expected margin is +5.9; MBA Moscow win by 1+ in 62% of simulations.
Spread MBA Moscow -8.5Actual: MBA Moscow -8.5
MMO -8.5
42.0%
@ 2.24+0.9pp
DVL +8.5
58.0%
@ 1.56-0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
MMO
Marathon Be
2.24
1xBet
2.24
DVL
Marathon Be
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Spread MBA Moscow -5.5 · main lineActual: MBA Moscow -5.5
MMO -5.5
52.4%
@ 1.94+3.1pp
DVL +5.5
47.6%
@ 1.90-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
MMO
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Be
1.92
Pinnacle
1.89
DVL
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
Pinnacle
1.84
Spread MBA Moscow -2.5Actual: MBA Moscow -2.5
MMO -2.5
62.5%
@ 1.73+5.8pp
DVL +2.5
37.5%
@ 2.20-5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
MMO
SBO
1.73
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathon Be
1.58
1xBet
1.58
DVL
Marathon Be
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.14
SBO
1.93

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
MBA MoscowDynamo Vladivostok
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MBA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A28/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
25-55
25
55
-30
H27/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H13/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A18/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A22/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A01/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A07/11
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H10/11
VTB United League
82.9Avg total
41.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 89
Last 30 (30)40.742.983.5-2.243%27%
Last 30 at home (14)41.244.285.4-3.043%43%
Last 30 away (16)40.241.781.9-1.544%12%
Last 10 (10)41.241.782.9-0.540%30%
Last 5 (5)44.640.685.2+4.040%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.046.482.4-10.421%21%
vs Similar (7)43.143.686.7-0.443%43%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.036.982.9+9.178%22%
This opponent (Dynamo Vladivostok) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo VladivostokLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H29/04
Super League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A30/09
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A04/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A17/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A21/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H27/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A07/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A11/11
VTB United League
92.0Avg total
44.7Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 89
Last 30 (30)44.243.187.3+1.160%50%
Last 30 at home (14)43.142.685.7+0.643%50%
Last 30 away (16)45.143.688.7+1.675%50%
Last 10 (10)44.747.392.0-2.640%60%
Last 5 (5)46.842.489.2+4.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.449.392.8-5.933%56%
vs Similar (8)43.643.587.1+0.162%50%
vs Weaker (13)45.138.583.6+6.577%46%
This opponent (MBA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread MBA Moscow -3 · main lineActual: MBA Moscow -3
MMO -3
51.2%
@ 1.86+1.0pp
DVL +3
48.8%
@ 1.88-1.0pp
1st half Over/Under 89 · main lineActual: Over 89
Over
48.5%
@ 1.87-1.5pp
Under
51.5%
@ 1.87+1.5pp
MBA Moscow 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: MBA Moscow over 45.5
Over
52.6%
@ 1.84+1.8pp
Under
47.4%
@ 1.90-1.8pp
Dynamo Vladivostok 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Dynamo Vladivostok over 43.5
Over
45.1%
@ 1.86-5.1pp
Under
54.9%
@ 1.88+5.1pp
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5
Over
54.0%
@ 1.67-1.4pp
Under
46.0%
@ 2.07+1.4pp
1st half Over/Under 90.5Actual: Over 90.5
Over
43.0%
@ 1.87-7.0pp
Under
57.0%
@ 1.87+7.0pp
1st half Spread MBA Moscow -2Actual: MBA Moscow -2
MMO -2
55.7%
@ 1.81+4.1pp
DVL +2
44.3%
@ 1.93-4.1pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: MBA Moscow (regulation)
MMO
61.6%
@ 1.56+3.0pp
Draw
3.8%
@ 17.25-1.5pp
DVL
34.5%
@ 2.54-1.5pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
MBA Moscow +170.4%1.44
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.36
--+11.1ppWon
MBA Moscow +2.574.3%1.33
1xBet
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.30
---+7.1ppWon
MBA Moscow +273.4%1.34
1xBet
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.32
---+6.4ppWon
MBA Moscow +1.571.1%1.36
1xBet
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.35
---+4.9ppWon
MBA Moscow +683.3%1.18
Marathon Bet
1.18
-----Won
MBA Moscow +5.581.5%1.19
Marathon Bet
1.19
-----Won
MBA Moscow +581.1%1.21
Marathon Bet
1.21
-----Won
MBA Moscow +4.579.2%1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22
-----Won
MBA Moscow +478.6%1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22
-----Won
MBA Moscow +3.576.6%1.26
Marathon Bet
1.26
-----Won
MBA Moscow +376.1%1.27
Marathon Bet
1.27
-----Won
Under 188.574.7%1.36
Marathon Bet
1.36
-----Lost
Under 18874.2%1.37
Marathon Bet
1.37
-----Lost
Dynamo Vladivostok +13.573.2%1.26
Marathon Bet
1.26
-----Lost
Under 187.572.8%1.41
Marathon Bet
1.41
-----Lost
Dynamo Vladivostok +1372.5%1.27
Marathon Bet
1.27
-----Lost
Under 18772.2%1.42
Marathon Bet
1.42
-----Lost
MBA Moscow or draw70.9%1.37
Marathon Bet
1.37
-----Won
Under 186.570.7%1.45
Marathon Bet
1.45
-----Lost
Dynamo Vladivostok +12.570.5%1.31
Marathon Bet
1.31
-----Lost
Under 18670.1%1.47
Marathon Bet
1.47
-----Lost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
MBA Moscow wins
2
Dynamo Vladivostok wins
MBA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSaratov103-73
07/11/26AUralmash Ekaterinburg85-101
01/11/26AEnisey106-99 OT
22/10/26AUnics Kazan56-83
18/10/26ASaratov83-94
13/10/26HParma Perm93-91
03/10/26ALokomotiv Kuban87-92
27/09/26HCSKA Moscow65-82
02/05/26HUnics Kazan63-74
28/04/26AUnics Kazan63-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ACSKA Moscow75-106
07/11/26AEnisey111-97
30/10/26HZenit Petersburg72-83
27/10/26HSaratov98-73
21/10/26AUralmash Ekaterinburg79-88
17/10/26AParma Perm90-108
14/10/26HCSKA Moscow88-103
04/10/26ASamara98-84
30/09/26AUnics Kazan75-117
29/04/26HTemp Sumz Revda69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

MBA Moscow
VTB United League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game84.887.083.4
Allowed / game89.482.093.8
Point differential-4.6+5.0-10.4
Avg total174.1169.0177.2
Over 179.538%33%40%
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Dynamo Vladivostok
VTB United League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game87.386.088.0
Allowed / game95.486.3100.0
Point differential-8.1-0.3-12.0
Avg total182.8172.3188.0
Over 179.567%33%83%
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow990100%92.170.7+21.4
2 Lokomotiv Kuban87188%91.476.5+14.9
3 Unics Kazan97278%93.174.8+18.3
4 Zenit Petersburg107370%85.075.1+9.9
5 Uralmash Ekaterinburg95456%84.384.2+0.1
6 Parma Perm94544%87.486.4+1.0
7 MBA Moscow83538%84.889.4-4.6
8 Dynamo Vladivostok93633%87.395.4-8.1
9 Saratov103730%72.888.8-16.0
10 Enisey81712%81.488.6-7.2
11 Samara9090%67.996.6-28.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MBA Moscow35322819114
Dynamo Vladivostok3032201395
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