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McNeese State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 78-76 (OT)
34-36 35-33 9-7
Position#318
Record7-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#284
Record11-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game73.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · McNeese State v Incarnate Word
07 Dec 2026
MCNE v INCA
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
MCNE81
INCA64
03 Feb 2025
MCNE67
INCA65
24 Feb 2024
MCNE87
INCA71
16 Feb 2023
MCNE78
INCA76
26 Feb 2022
MCNE67
INCA69
17 Feb 2021
MCNE v INCA
upcoming
15 Jan 2020
MCNE72
INCA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A13/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A20/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H21/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H03/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-34
40-55
38-41
43-49
34-32
30-41
32-40
36-31
32-31
33-39
40-46
32-37
32-31
31-39
29-27
29-33
36-34
33-32
29-49
50-29
144.4Avg total
69.4Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)67.974.9142.8-7.027%
Season at home (11)75.373.7149.0+1.536%
Season away (15)62.575.7138.3-13.220%
Last 10 (10)69.475.0144.4-5.620%
Last 5 (5)68.271.4139.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.577.1141.6-12.617%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.781.8161.4-2.133%
vs Weaker (3)85.763.3149.0+22.367%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#290
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-43
41-28
30-38
41-37
39-34
50-44
33-21
37-43
31-32
39-33
31-36
38-31
36-33
31-44
38-39
40-31
39-36
20-32
39-36
39-48
146.3Avg total
73.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.673.1143.7-2.542%
Season at home (13)75.569.6145.1+5.854%
Season away (13)65.776.6142.3-10.931%
Last 10 (10)73.073.3146.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)70.273.2143.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)63.377.6140.9-14.323%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.872.7144.4-0.942%
vs Weaker (5)84.064.0148.0+20.080%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
McNeese StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A13/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A20/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H03/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/02
NCAA
70.2Avg total
33.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.135.068.2-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.833.569.3+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)31.136.267.3-5.235%-
Last 10 (10)33.736.570.2-2.860%-
Last 5 (5)33.237.470.6-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.335.766.9-4.439%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.036.370.3-2.344%-
vs Weaker (3)41.727.369.0+14.367%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#290
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
34.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.334.968.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.034.770.7+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)31.035.166.1-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.869.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.072.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.835.865.7-6.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.935.269.2-1.342%-
vs Weaker (5)41.031.872.8+9.260%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
McNeese State wins
4
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23ANew Orleans79-78
10/02/23HSE Louisiana69-66
04/02/23ATX A&M Commerce58-60
03/02/23HLamar63-70
28/01/23ATexas A&M-CC72-83
27/01/23AIncarnate Word65-70
21/01/23HNicholls State68-71
20/01/23ANicholls State64-73
14/01/23HHouston Christian81-90
13/01/23ANorthwestern St.75-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HHouston Christian78-84
10/02/23HLamar59-68
04/02/23ANew Orleans78-70
03/02/23ASE Louisiana67-77
28/01/23HNicholls State69-67
27/01/23HMcNeese State70-65
22/01/23ALamar70-64
20/01/23AHouston Christian89-78
14/01/23HSE Louisiana71-75
13/01/23HNew Orleans79-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW27%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %27%36%20%
Points / game67.975.362.5
Allowed / game74.973.775.7
Point differential-7.0+1.5-13.2
Avg total142.8149.0138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeLWWLL54%
AwayLWWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game70.675.565.7
Allowed / game73.169.676.6
Point differential-2.5+5.8-10.9
Avg total143.7145.1142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2618869%76.867.2+9.6
2 Northwestern St.2618869%74.872.2+2.7
3 Texas A&M-CC2718967%80.272.6+7.6
4 SE Louisiana26141254%77.376.7+0.6
5 Nicholls State25131252%76.272.7+3.4
6 UTRGV27131448%77.277.5-0.3
7 TX A&M Commerce26111542%69.771.4-1.8
8 Incarnate Word26111542%70.673.1-2.5
9 Lamar2791833%67.873.6-5.8
10 Houston Christian2781930%78.083.9-5.9
11 McNeese State2671927%67.974.9-7.0
12 New Orleans2461825%70.980.5-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
McNeese State3435978
Incarnate Word3633776
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