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Incarnate Word vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 69-67
31-36 38-31
Position#284
Record9-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#189
Record10-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Nicholls State
19 Dec 2026
INCA v NICH
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
INCA83
NICH91
13 Jan 2025
INCA82
NICH88
22 Jan 2024
INCA74
NICH78
28 Jan 2023
INCA69
NICH67
03 Feb 2022
INCA60
NICH63
06 Jan 2022
INCA56
NICH87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#291
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A22/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
74-82 OT
74
82
-8
A31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
61-91
61
91
-30
A05/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H07/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-34
48-31
28-50
46-29
38-43
32-27
26-39
35-52
28-39
43-41
30-43
41-28
30-38
41-37
39-34
50-44
33-21
37-43
31-32
39-33
150.0Avg total
73.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.773.1143.8-2.443%
Season at home (10)77.568.6146.1+8.960%
Season away (11)64.577.2141.6-12.727%
Last 10 (10)73.676.4150.0-2.840%
Last 5 (5)75.873.4149.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)64.878.1142.9-13.327%
vs Similar (10)71.073.8144.8-2.840%
vs Weaker (5)84.064.0148.0+20.080%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#125
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H20/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A29/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A06/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A07/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H14/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
86-96
86
96
-10
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
36-41
53-12
37-34
31-45
25-40
31-40
35-23
22-40
26-28
34-36
32-33
39-31
38-32
32-34
41-30
40-32
31-36
43-36
43-60
138.9Avg total
69.9Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.072.2147.2+2.850%
Season at home (8)85.162.0147.1+23.188%
Season away (12)68.279.0147.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)69.969.0138.9+0.950%
Last 5 (5)74.672.0146.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.5100.0165.5-34.50%
vs Similar (11)72.576.7149.3-4.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.466.1146.5+14.380%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -1.3-1.3
Incarnate WordNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#291
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H16/12
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A22/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A05/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H07/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
31.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.935.668.5-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.535.471.9+1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)29.735.865.4-6.131%-
Last 10 (10)31.237.368.5-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.633.666.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.037.067.0-7.027%-
vs Similar (10)33.135.468.5-2.330%-
vs Weaker (5)41.031.872.8+9.260%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#125
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
53-12
53
12
+41
H20/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A27/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
35.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.571.1+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.229.870.0+10.471%-
Last 30 away (16)35.236.872.1-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.368.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.871.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (11)35.435.470.7+0.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.231.271.4+9.073%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Incarnate Word wins
4
Nicholls State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23HMcNeese State70-65
22/01/23ALamar70-64
20/01/23AHouston Christian89-78
14/01/23HSE Louisiana71-75
13/01/23HNew Orleans79-85 OT
07/01/23HTexas A&M-CC71-80
05/01/23ATexas A&M-CC61-91
31/12/22ATX A&M Commerce74-82 OT
22/12/22AFlorida International74-79
16/12/22HBethune-Cookman77-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23ATexas A&M-CC86-96
21/01/23AMcNeese State71-68
20/01/23HMcNeese State73-64
14/01/23HNorthwestern St.77-63
13/01/23ALamar66-69
07/01/23ANorthwestern St.48-68
06/01/23ATX A&M Commerce66-63
29/12/22ABaylor56-85
20/12/22HTrinity Baptist90-46
17/12/22AMississippi St.66-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW43%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game70.777.564.5
Allowed / game73.168.677.2
Point differential-2.4+8.9-12.7
Avg total143.8146.1141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %50%88%25%
Points / game75.085.168.2
Allowed / game72.262.079.0
Point differential+2.8+23.1-10.8
Avg total147.2147.1147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2115671%77.166.2+10.9
2 Northwestern St.2214864%73.672.1+1.5
3 Texas A&M-CC2213959%80.373.8+6.5
4 SE Louisiana2112957%78.077.3+0.7
5 Nicholls State20101050%75.072.2+2.8
6 UTRGV21101148%80.080.0+0.0
7 Incarnate Word2191243%70.773.1-2.4
8 TX A&M Commerce2291341%69.571.0-1.6
9 Houston Christian2171433%78.083.0-5.0
10 New Orleans1961332%71.680.2-8.6
11 Lamar2261627%67.475.3-8.0
12 McNeese State2251723%68.076.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word313869
Nicholls State363167
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