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McNeese State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-64
30-30 51-34
Position#15
Record18-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#287
Record10-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · McNeese State v Incarnate Word
07 Dec 2026
MCNE v INCA
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
MCNE81
INCA64
03 Feb 2025
MCNE67
INCA65
24 Feb 2024
MCNE87
INCA71
16 Feb 2023
MCNE78
INCA76
26 Feb 2022
MCNE67
INCA69
17 Feb 2021
MCNE v INCA
upcoming
15 Jan 2020
MCNE72
INCA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#286
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H03/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H06/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H13/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A19/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H24/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
43-36
34-38
32-26
40-27
33-34
37-19
57-49
30-46
46-33
40-32
29-21
42-34
40-29
36-27
40-39
31-23
33-40
19-31
41-36
139.6Avg total
74.2Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.367.5148.8+13.778%
Season at home (12)90.262.1152.3+28.2100%
Season away (11)71.573.5144.9-2.055%
Last 10 (10)74.265.4139.6+8.880%
Last 5 (5)70.262.4132.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.0112.0183.0-41.00%
vs Similar (4)65.569.2134.8-3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.064.8147.8+18.288%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-32
37-24
29-44
38-36
19-28
32-35
19-28
27-28
30-34
46-40
29-38
29-42
22-37
49-42
41-31
34-50
42-44
51-62
32-26
39-43
142.5Avg total
68.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.473.8150.3+2.643%
Season at home (12)85.772.0157.7+13.775%
Season away (11)66.475.8142.2-9.59%
Last 10 (10)68.174.4142.5-6.330%
Last 5 (5)73.683.0156.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.978.4147.3-9.520%
vs Similar (8)67.269.5136.8-2.238%
vs Weaker (12)83.868.5152.3+15.383%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -2.0-2.0
McNeese StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#286
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H06/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H13/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A17/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A19/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A03/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
34.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.730.969.6+7.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.526.570.9+18.087%-
Last 30 away (15)33.035.368.3-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.165.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)33.629.463.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.060.089.0-31.00%-
vs Similar (4)29.229.859.0-0.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.629.970.5+10.872%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
29.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.567.4+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.133.372.4+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)29.333.763.0-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)29.934.264.1-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.235.268.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.136.466.5-6.330%-
vs Similar (8)29.431.160.5-1.825%-
vs Weaker (12)40.032.772.7+7.375%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
McNeese State wins
5
Incarnate Word wins
McNeese Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26AStephen F. Austin60-67
01/02/26ALamar64-63
28/01/26ASE Louisiana76-66
24/01/26HNew Orleans82-63
19/01/26ATexas A&M-CC69-53
17/01/26AUTRGV76-79
13/01/26HNicholls State94-68
10/01/26HSE Louisiana73-61
06/01/26HStephen F. Austin66-64
03/01/26HLamar82-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26ATexas A&M-CC71-69
31/01/26HUTRGV93-106
28/01/26AHouston Christian75-81
24/01/26HTexas A&M-CC71-79
19/01/26HEast Texas A&M58-80
17/01/26HNorthwestern St.76-74
13/01/26AStephen F. Austin46-56
11/01/26ALamar51-63
06/01/26AUTRGV67-80
03/01/26HHouston Christian73-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%100%55%
Points / game81.390.271.5
Allowed / game67.562.173.5
Point differential+13.7+28.2-2.0
Avg total148.8152.3144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%92%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWWLLL75%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%75%9%
Points / game76.485.766.4
Allowed / game73.872.075.8
Point differential+2.6+13.7-9.5
Avg total150.3157.7142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2320387%77.965.0+13.0
2 McNeese State2318578%81.367.5+13.7
3 Texas A&M-CC24131154%73.267.5+5.7
4 UTRGV21111052%74.469.0+5.4
5 Lamar23121152%72.268.1+4.1
6 New Orleans24111346%77.079.7-2.7
7 Incarnate Word23101343%76.473.8+2.6
8 Nicholls State24101442%73.576.0-2.5
9 Houston Christian2481633%68.073.6-5.6
10 SE Louisiana2471729%64.169.5-5.4
11 Northwestern St.2361726%71.376.0-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
McNeese State305181
Incarnate Word303464
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