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Middle Tenn. St. vs Louisiana Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 77-75 (OT)
40-31 22-31 15-13
Position#76
Record21-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#109
Record20-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Louisiana Tech
02 Jan 2026
MIDD88
LOUI51
13 Mar 2025
MIDD77
LOUI75
20 Feb 2025
MIDD74
LOUI85
11 Jan 2024
MIDD52
LOUI60
25 Feb 2023
MIDD63
LOUI49
19 Feb 2021
MIDD v LOUI
upcoming
23 Jan 2020
MIDD73
LOUI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#163
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
35-35
34-48
29-29
49-34
27-41
44-39
43-38
33-39
41-46
39-31
35-39
27-28
44-38
31-33
35-33
37-42
44-44
41-20
37-36
148.6Avg total
75.1Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.171.4147.5+4.868%
Season at home (16)77.768.3146.0+9.475%
Season away (15)74.574.6149.1-0.160%
Last 10 (10)75.173.5148.6+1.670%
Last 5 (5)76.070.6146.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.876.5145.2-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.274.3147.5-1.156%
vs Weaker (10)81.766.6148.3+15.1100%
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
66-61 OT
66
61
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A21/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A23/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
90-66
90
66
+24
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H07/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
19-21
23-39
30-38
45-30
37-41
23-39
24-30
36-33
32-37
39-33
46-41
19-24
44-40
36-30
54-36
19-33
36-34
34-22
42-36
136.2Avg total
68.5Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.868.1141.9+5.765%
Season at home (18)76.366.2142.6+10.178%
Season away (13)70.470.7141.1-0.346%
Last 10 (10)68.567.7136.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)73.865.8139.6+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.075.5141.5-9.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.470.4137.8-2.936%
vs Weaker (13)79.166.5145.6+12.592%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +1.0+1.0
Middle Tenn. St.Louisiana Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#163
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H08/03
NCAA
71.8Avg total
37.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.233.769.9+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.932.468.3+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)36.535.171.6+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.134.771.8+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.865.8+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.837.071.8-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.634.167.8-0.550%-
vs Weaker (10)40.931.872.7+9.170%-
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
19-24
19
24
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H07/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H08/03
NCAA
61.9Avg total
30.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.966.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.432.466.8+2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)32.233.665.8-1.446%-
Last 10 (10)30.631.361.9-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)29.428.457.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.036.561.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.333.964.1-3.636%-
vs Weaker (13)36.831.568.3+5.262%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Middle Tenn. St. wins
5
Louisiana Tech wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HFlorida International78-56
07/03/25HLiberty81-86
01/03/25AUTEP76-75 OT
28/02/25ANew Mexico State71-66
22/02/25HSam Houston St.74-70
21/02/25HLouisiana Tech74-85
16/02/25AWestern Kentucky87-77
08/02/25AKennesaw State76-75
07/02/25AJacksonville State63-77
01/02/25HUTEP71-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HUTEP76-58
07/03/25HNew Mexico State55-67
01/03/25ASam Houston St.90-66
23/02/25AWestern Kentucky63-64
21/02/25AMiddle Tenn. St.85-74
15/02/25HJacksonville State68-70
14/02/25HKennesaw State47-69
08/02/25AFlorida International82-71
07/02/25ALiberty53-77
01/02/25HSam Houston St.66-61 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%75%60%
Points / game76.177.774.5
Allowed / game71.468.374.6
Point differential+4.8+9.4-0.1
Avg total147.5146.0149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)71% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Louisiana Tech
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWLLLW78%
AwayLWWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %65%78%46%
Points / game73.876.370.4
Allowed / game68.166.270.7
Point differential+5.7+10.1-0.3
Avg total141.9142.6141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty3226681%76.362.2+14.1
2 Middle Tenn. St.31211068%76.171.4+4.8
3 Jacksonville State32211166%74.268.3+5.8
4 Louisiana Tech31201165%73.868.1+5.7
5 Kennesaw State32191359%76.573.0+3.5
6 UTEP33181555%72.570.8+1.7
7 New Mexico State32171553%69.765.9+3.7
8 Western Kentucky32171553%74.874.8+0.1
9 Delaware36162044%77.277.9-0.6
10 Sam Houston St.32131941%75.376.0-0.7
11 Florida International33102330%69.272.1-2.9
12 Missouri State3292328%68.070.9-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Middle Tenn. St.40221577
Louisiana Tech31311375
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