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McNeese State vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 80-71
39-33 41-38
Position#20
Record10-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game64.7
vs
Position#122
Record9-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · McNeese State v Nicholls State
12 Jan 2026
MCNE94
NICH68
11 Jan 2025
MCNE80
NICH71
13 Mar 2024
MCNE92
NICH76
02 Mar 2024
MCNE83
NICH62
21 Jan 2023
MCNE68
NICH71
27 Jan 2022
MCNE71
NICH81
04 Mar 2021
MCNE67
NICH80
29 Jan 2020
MCNE80
NICH74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#151
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H24/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A26/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#448
W
103-69
103
69
+34
H07/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A22/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H28/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
79-51
79
51
+28
H31/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A04/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
92-69
92
69
+23
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-28
47-41
29-29
29-33
31-28
36-46
43-38
60-31
29-29
34-37
28-27
36-29
46-23
40-38
34-20
45-31
41-23
34-33
43-32
49-37
140.4Avg total
77.1Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.564.7142.3+12.867%
Season at home (9)81.964.0145.9+17.978%
Season away (6)71.065.8136.8+5.250%
Last 10 (10)77.163.3140.4+13.870%
Last 5 (5)79.258.6137.8+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)64.471.0135.4-6.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)82.663.0145.6+19.688%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#78
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
79-35
79
35
+44
H26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A30/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
110-66
110
66
+44
H11/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
72-102
72
102
-30
A19/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A04/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
29-32
39-24
40-11
29-39
47-36
28-27
39-37
38-33
35-37
53-30
57-36
29-43
43-59
35-32
36-37
33-36
33-32
38-24
45-37
144.1Avg total
76.1Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.168.7142.8+5.560%
Season at home (7)78.659.9138.4+18.771%
Season away (8)70.276.4146.6-6.150%
Last 10 (10)76.168.0144.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)80.473.2153.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.181.6149.8-13.525%
vs Similar (9)71.068.7139.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (13)80.564.5144.9+16.092%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +5.0+5.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +5.0+5.0
McNeese StateNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#151
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H24/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#448
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A22/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H28/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H31/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A04/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A07/01
NCAA
63.8Avg total
36.1Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.729.165.8+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.427.265.6+11.394%-
Last 30 away (12)34.231.966.1+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.127.763.8+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)38.425.063.4+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)29.433.062.4-3.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.228.366.5+9.984%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#78
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H11/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A07/01
NCAA
68.3Avg total
35.7Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.867.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.730.066.7+6.764%-
Last 30 away (16)33.235.368.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)35.732.668.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.070.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.237.467.6-7.112%-
vs Similar (9)32.231.663.8+0.767%-
vs Weaker (13)39.530.970.5+8.677%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
McNeese State wins
6
Nicholls State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25ANorthwestern St.92-69
04/01/25ATX A&M Commerce75-56
31/12/24HSE Louisiana79-51
28/12/24HNew Orleans86-61
22/12/24ALouisiana Lafayette64-56
14/12/24HMississippi St.63-66
07/12/24HLe Tourneau103-69
04/12/24HSanta Clara67-74
26/11/24ALiberty58-62
24/11/24HLongwood84-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25ATX A&M Commerce83-61
04/01/25ANorthwestern St.66-68
31/12/24ASeattle71-69
19/12/24AGonzaga72-102
11/12/24HSouthern-New O.110-66
07/12/24HNew Orleans73-70
06/12/24HSE Louisiana67-64
30/11/24ALouisiana Lafayette76-75
26/11/24HMississippi Coll.79-35
21/11/24HTowson64-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %67%78%50%
Points / game77.581.971.0
Allowed / game64.764.065.8
Point differential+12.8+17.9+5.2
Avg total142.3145.9136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game74.178.670.2
Allowed / game68.759.976.4
Point differential+5.5+18.7-6.1
Avg total142.8138.4146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1510567%77.564.7+12.8
2 Texas A&M-CC1711665%82.768.9+13.8
3 UTRGV1610662%81.471.8+9.6
4 Lamar159660%74.467.1+7.3
5 Nicholls State159660%74.168.7+5.5
6 Incarnate Word169756%77.368.0+9.3
7 Northwestern St.168850%72.370.8+1.6
8 SE Louisiana157847%71.169.5+1.6
9 Stephen F. Austin157847%64.763.4+1.3
10 Houston Christian1661038%67.271.2-4.1
11 New Orleans1521313%66.786.1-19.5
12 TX A&M Commerce1621412%63.678.8-15.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
McNeese State394180
Nicholls State333871
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