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TX A&M Commerce vs McNeese State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 56-75
23-41 33-34
Position#363
Record2-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.1
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#20
Record8-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v McNeese State
04 Jan 2025
TX A56
MCNE75
06 Jan 2024
TX A67
MCNE73
05 Mar 2023
TX A78
MCNE79
04 Feb 2023
TX A60
MCNE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#106
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
33-33
20-42
26-39
33-38
23-46
32-30
33-37
26-36
31-41
31-45
48-38
25-39
28-26
32-38
40-43
20-27
48-40
26-49
36-39
138.9Avg total
62.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)64.179.1143.2-15.015%
Season at home (4)66.873.2140.0-6.550%
Season away (9)62.981.7144.6-18.80%
Last 10 (10)62.876.1138.9-13.320%
Last 5 (5)66.876.8143.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)62.278.1140.3-15.911%
vs Similar (11)72.373.6145.9-1.455%
vs Weaker (1)98.085.0183.0+13.0100%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#36
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H24/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A26/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#448
W
103-69
103
69
+34
H07/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A22/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H28/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
79-51
79
51
+28
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-19
36-42
43-36
33-32
37-28
47-41
29-29
29-33
31-28
36-46
43-38
60-31
29-29
34-37
28-27
36-29
46-23
40-38
34-20
45-31
138.5Avg total
74.8Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.665.1141.7+11.562%
Season at home (9)81.964.0145.9+17.978%
Season away (4)64.867.5132.2-2.825%
Last 10 (10)74.863.7138.5+11.170%
Last 5 (5)79.060.6139.6+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)64.471.0135.4-6.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)81.663.1144.7+18.588%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.7-9.71st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +3.6+3.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.7-9.71st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +3.6+3.6
TX A&M CommerceMcNeese State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#106
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A21/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
28.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.635.665.2-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (11)30.033.863.8-3.827%-
Last 30 away (19)29.436.666.1-7.221%-
Last 10 (10)28.237.966.1-9.720%-
Last 5 (5)26.839.666.4-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)27.737.365.1-9.611%-
vs Similar (11)30.932.463.3-1.536%-
vs Weaker (1)50.040.090.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#36
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H19/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H24/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#448
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A22/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H28/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H31/12
NCAA
62.9Avg total
35.2Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.329.365.6+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.427.265.6+11.394%-
Last 30 away (12)33.232.465.6+0.842%-
Last 10 (10)35.227.762.9+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)36.027.463.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)29.433.062.4-3.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)37.728.566.2+9.280%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
TX A&M Commerce wins
3
McNeese State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ASouth Florida62-88
18/12/24HAbilene Christian68-67
15/12/24HSouth Alabama72-81
07/12/24AIncarnate Word53-65
06/12/24AHouston Christian79-83
30/11/24HIPFW57-77
26/11/24AStonehill65-67
22/11/24AOklahoma56-84
20/11/24AUconn46-81
14/11/24HSouthern Univ.70-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24HSE Louisiana79-51
28/12/24HNew Orleans86-61
22/12/24ALouisiana Lafayette64-56
14/12/24HMississippi St.63-66
07/12/24HLe Tourneau103-69
04/12/24HSanta Clara67-74
26/11/24ALiberty58-62
24/11/24HLongwood84-69
22/11/24HIllinois State76-68
19/11/24HNorth Texas68-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %15%50%0%
Points / game64.166.862.9
Allowed / game79.173.281.7
Point differential-15.0-6.5-18.8
Avg total143.2140.0144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
McNeese State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %62%78%25%
Points / game76.681.964.8
Allowed / game65.164.067.5
Point differential+11.5+17.9-2.8
Avg total141.7145.9132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTRGV139469%82.871.2+11.6
2 Incarnate Word138562%80.668.2+12.5
3 McNeese State138562%76.665.1+11.5
4 Nicholls State138562%74.169.3+4.8
5 Texas A&M-CC148657%82.167.4+14.7
6 Lamar137654%75.568.3+7.2
7 Stephen F. Austin137654%65.362.5+2.8
8 Northwestern St.136746%72.769.8+2.9
9 SE Louisiana136746%70.568.2+2.2
10 Houston Christian134931%65.471.4-6.0
11 TX A&M Commerce1321115%64.179.1-15.0
12 New Orleans1321115%65.686.1-20.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce233356
McNeese State413475
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