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TX A&M Commerce vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 61-83
24-38 37-45
Position#363
Record2-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#122
Record8-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v Nicholls State
06 Jan 2025
TX A61
NICH83
27 Jan 2024
TX A84
NICH87
05 Jan 2023
TX A63
NICH66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#63
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-42
26-39
33-38
23-46
32-30
33-37
26-36
31-41
31-45
48-38
25-39
28-26
32-38
40-43
20-27
48-40
26-49
36-39
23-41
33-34
138.2Avg total
61.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)63.578.8142.3-15.314%
Season at home (5)64.673.6138.2-9.040%
Season away (9)62.981.7144.6-18.80%
Last 10 (10)61.476.8138.2-15.410%
Last 5 (5)62.275.2137.4-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)61.877.9139.8-16.111%
vs Similar (10)72.775.8148.5-3.150%
vs Weaker (1)98.085.0183.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#159
L
49-86
49
86
-37
A16/11
NCAA
Towson
#78
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
79-35
79
35
+44
H26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A30/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
110-66
110
66
+44
H11/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
72-102
72
102
-30
A19/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-42
27-44
35-38
29-32
39-24
40-11
29-39
47-36
28-27
39-37
38-33
35-37
53-30
57-36
29-43
43-59
35-32
36-37
33-36
33-32
143.2Avg total
72.7Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.569.2142.7+4.357%
Season at home (7)78.659.9138.4+18.771%
Season away (7)68.478.6147.0-10.143%
Last 10 (10)72.770.5143.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)78.475.0153.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.181.6149.8-13.525%
vs Similar (9)71.068.7139.7+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.165.5145.5+14.692%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -11.7-11.71st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +2.5+2.5
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -11.7-11.71st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +2.5+2.5
TX A&M CommerceNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#63
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H04/01
NCAA
65.3Avg total
26.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.336.265.5-7.020%-
Last 30 at home (12)29.434.463.8-5.025%-
Last 30 away (18)29.237.466.6-8.317%-
Last 10 (10)26.838.565.3-11.710%-
Last 5 (5)25.238.864.0-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)27.537.565.0-10.111%-
vs Similar (10)30.633.464.0-2.830%-
vs Weaker (1)50.040.090.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#159
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A16/11
NCAA
Towson
#78
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H11/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.1Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.267.9+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.730.066.7+6.764%-
Last 30 away (16)33.036.069.0-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.468.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.872.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.237.467.6-7.112%-
vs Similar (9)32.231.663.8+0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.231.871.0+7.569%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
TX A&M Commerce wins
4
Nicholls State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HMcNeese State56-75
21/12/24ASouth Florida62-88
18/12/24HAbilene Christian68-67
15/12/24HSouth Alabama72-81
07/12/24AIncarnate Word53-65
06/12/24AHouston Christian79-83
30/11/24HIPFW57-77
26/11/24AStonehill65-67
22/11/24AOklahoma56-84
20/11/24AUconn46-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ANorthwestern St.66-68
31/12/24ASeattle71-69
19/12/24AGonzaga72-102
11/12/24HSouthern-New O.110-66
07/12/24HNew Orleans73-70
06/12/24HSE Louisiana67-64
30/11/24ALouisiana Lafayette76-75
26/11/24HMississippi Coll.79-35
21/11/24HTowson64-70
16/11/24ACincinnati49-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %14%40%0%
Points / game63.564.662.9
Allowed / game78.873.681.7
Point differential-15.3-9.0-18.8
Avg total142.3138.2144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game73.578.668.4
Allowed / game69.259.978.6
Point differential+4.3+18.7-10.1
Avg total142.7138.4147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTRGV1510567%81.971.3+10.6
2 McNeese State149564%76.564.4+12.1
3 Incarnate Word149564%78.866.8+12.0
4 Texas A&M-CC159660%82.067.7+14.3
5 Lamar148657%74.667.8+6.8
6 Nicholls State148657%73.569.2+4.3
7 Northwestern St.147750%72.469.5+2.9
8 Stephen F. Austin147750%64.162.0+2.1
9 SE Louisiana157847%71.169.5+1.6
10 Houston Christian1441029%65.170.8-5.7
11 TX A&M Commerce1421214%63.578.8-15.3
12 New Orleans1421214%65.585.4-19.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce243761
Nicholls State384583
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