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Northwestern St. vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 68-66
36-33 32-33
Position#198
Record6-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#122
Record8-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northwestern St. v Nicholls State
23 Jan 2027
NORT v NICH
upcoming
02 Feb 2026
NORT58
NICH61
04 Jan 2025
NORT68
NICH66
04 Mar 2024
NORT62
NICH68
07 Jan 2023
NORT68
NICH48
24 Feb 2022
NORT62
NICH80
13 Jan 2021
NORT66
NICH76
19 Feb 2020
NORT69
NICH73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#281
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A16/11
NCAA
John Melvin
#687
W
121-49
121
49
+72
H20/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A30/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A07/12
NCAA
California
#268
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A14/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-27
41-39
56-26
65-23
24-28
39-37
28-29
43-29
26-25
27-52
42-29
30-41
33-26
31-31
33-36
33-48
43-28
46-51
22-41
31-36
142.0Avg total
72.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.769.8142.5+2.946%
Season at home (5)88.061.2149.2+26.880%
Season away (8)63.175.1138.2-12.025%
Last 10 (10)72.769.3142.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)68.873.4142.2-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.376.0141.3-10.711%
vs Similar (15)70.869.7140.5+1.147%
vs Weaker (5)80.667.2147.8+13.480%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A15/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
49-86
49
86
-37
A16/11
NCAA
Towson
#78
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
79-35
79
35
+44
H26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A30/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
110-66
110
66
+44
H11/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
72-102
72
102
-30
A19/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
26-34
22-42
27-44
35-38
29-32
39-24
40-11
29-39
47-36
28-27
39-37
38-33
35-37
53-30
57-36
29-43
43-59
35-32
36-37
141.8Avg total
72.2Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.169.3143.4+4.862%
Season at home (7)78.659.9138.4+18.771%
Season away (6)68.880.3149.2-11.550%
Last 10 (10)72.269.6141.8+2.670%
Last 5 (5)78.674.2152.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.180.2147.3-13.122%
vs Similar (9)71.068.7139.7+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.265.2146.5+16.0100%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
Northwestern St.Nicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#281
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A16/11
NCAA
John Melvin
#687
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H20/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A30/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A06/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A07/12
NCAA
California
#268
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/12
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A29/12
NCAA
62.7Avg total
33.2Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.764.4+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.229.564.7+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)32.431.864.1+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)33.229.562.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.066.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.237.066.2-7.811%-
vs Similar (15)33.128.962.0+4.373%-
vs Weaker (5)39.025.864.8+13.280%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A15/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A16/11
NCAA
Towson
#78
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H11/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A31/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
34.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.167.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.730.066.7+6.764%-
Last 30 away (16)32.535.868.3-3.344%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.367.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.069.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.736.966.6-7.211%-
vs Similar (9)32.231.663.8+0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.831.471.2+8.375%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ATexas53-77
20/12/24HSouthern-New O.89-79
14/12/24ACalifornia66-84
07/12/24AHouston Christian64-57
06/12/24AIncarnate Word72-70
30/11/24ALSU53-77
24/11/24HNorth Alabama71-58
23/11/24HLouisiana Monroe63-65
20/11/24HJohn Melvin121-49
16/11/24ARice75-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24ASeattle71-69
19/12/24AGonzaga72-102
11/12/24HSouthern-New O.110-66
07/12/24HNew Orleans73-70
06/12/24HSE Louisiana67-64
30/11/24ALouisiana Lafayette76-75
26/11/24HMississippi Coll.79-35
21/11/24HTowson64-70
16/11/24ACincinnati49-86
15/11/24ANorthern Kentucky61-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL46%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %46%80%25%
Points / game72.788.063.1
Allowed / game69.861.275.1
Point differential+2.9+26.8-12.0
Avg total142.5149.2138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game74.178.668.8
Allowed / game69.359.980.3
Point differential+4.8+18.7-11.5
Avg total143.4138.4149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTRGV139469%82.871.2+11.6
2 McNeese State149564%76.564.4+12.1
3 Incarnate Word138562%80.668.2+12.5
4 Nicholls State138562%74.169.3+4.8
5 Texas A&M-CC148657%82.167.4+14.7
6 Lamar137654%75.568.3+7.2
7 Stephen F. Austin137654%65.362.5+2.8
8 Northwestern St.136746%72.769.8+2.9
9 SE Louisiana136746%70.568.2+2.2
10 Houston Christian134931%65.471.4-6.0
11 New Orleans1321115%65.686.1-20.5
12 TX A&M Commerce1421214%63.578.8-15.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern St.363268
Nicholls State333366
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