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Mechelen vs QSTA Utd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 94-67
25-14 23-19 25-19 21-15
Position#8
Record13-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#19
Record6-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mechelen v QSTA Utd
10 May 2025
MECH95
QSTA80
13 Apr 2024
MECH94
QSTA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
QSTA Utd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 70
A03/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 70
A14/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 70
A17/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
70-58
70
58
+12
65avg 70
A03/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
103avg 70
H16/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
71-91
71
91
-20
63avg 70
A24/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
74-80
74
80
-6
56avg 70
H27/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
91-55
91
55
+36
91avg 70
A30/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
87-86
87
86
+1
82avg 70
A05/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
90-76
90
76
+14
88avg 70
H10/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
23-28
23-27
19-23
13-17
11-25
20-18
27-17
14-15
21-26
20-19
19-24
17-17
16-21
15-11
22-9
12-26
23-16
26-27
28-20
20-22
15-27
17-18
19-24
21-20
19-20
17-13
17-27
25-19
20-11
21-20
25-5
15-17
32-23
25-21
15-25
21-12
26-19
19-25
24-20
161.5Avg total
81.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.377.1154.4+0.348%
Season at home (13)76.874.2151.0+2.562%
Season away (14)77.979.7157.6-1.936%
Last 10 (10)81.580.0161.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.677.6160.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.075.2146.2-4.217%
vs Similar (17)78.177.8155.9+0.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.575.0154.5+4.550%
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUtd
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 62
H28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
90-59
90
59
+31
72avg 62
A03/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
L
74-77
74
77
-3
58avg 62
A17/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
58-70
58
70
-12
42avg 62
H03/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 62
A16/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 62
H22/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
71-62
71
62
+9
72avg 62
A27/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
53avg 62
H02/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
69avg 62
A06/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
70-73
70
73
-3
61avg 62
H10/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
15-22
26-19
23-26
22-17
19-9
24-13
25-20
18-19
15-24
22-18
19-16
17-17
21-16
11-15
9-22
22-25
19-22
9-22
25-11
25-17
8-18
24-17
16-18
14-17
19-10
20-16
18-19
11-24
20-24
19-19
15-12
21-20
11-20
21-14
16-15
20-25
23-19
15-14
12-15
147.9Avg total
74.0Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.878.9151.7-6.126%
Season at home (12)73.177.2150.2-4.125%
Season away (11)72.580.7153.2-8.327%
Last 10 (10)74.073.9147.9+0.130%
Last 5 (5)71.072.6143.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.380.6149.9-11.418%
vs Similar (10)78.378.3156.6+0.040%
vs Weaker (2)77.568.5146.0+9.050%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
MechelenQSTA Utd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A03/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A14/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A17/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A03/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H16/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A30/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A05/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H10/04
BNXT League
78.8Avg total
38.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.877.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.137.876.9+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)38.939.678.5-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.178.8-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.080.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.340.274.5-5.817%-
vs Similar (17)39.538.277.7+1.459%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.738.779.3+2.033%-
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A03/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A16/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H22/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A27/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H02/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A06/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H10/04
BNXT League
75.2Avg total
36.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.241.077.3-4.824%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.941.477.3-5.513%-
Last 30 away (14)36.640.677.3-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.875.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.873.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.543.379.8-6.818%-
vs Similar (10)36.637.974.5-1.340%-
vs Weaker (2)32.037.569.5-5.50%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.8
57.5%
52.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.4
31.4%
33.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.7
70.0%
71.4%14.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
QSTA Utdtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

QSTA Utd: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.5
49.5%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.5
31.8%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.69.7
71.3%
71.4%9.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWLLWWLLL
QSTA Utd
LLLWWLLLWL
#8
League position
#19
+1.2
Net rating
+0.0
107.2
Offensive rating
98.4
106.0
Defensive rating
98.4
53.5%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.4%
3-point %
31.8%
57.5%
Assist %
51.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 98.4Defence106.0 · 98.4Shooting53.5% · 48.8%3-point %31.4% · 31.8%Ball care19.5% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Mechelen   ■ QSTA Utd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mechelen wins
0
QSTA Utd wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24QSTA Utd v Mechelen58-70
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HLeuven Bears90-76
05/04/24AKortrijk87-86
30/03/24ADen Helder91-55
27/03/24HFeyenoord74-80
24/03/24ALWD Basket71-91
16/03/24HBelfius Mons99-95 OT
03/03/24AQSTA Utd70-58
17/02/24ALiege74-84
14/02/24AAntwerp Giants71-77
03/02/24AOostende88-98
QSTA Utdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HOkapi Aalst70-73
06/04/24ALeuven Bears76-79 OT
02/04/24HBelfius Mons65-79
27/03/24ACircus Brussels71-62
22/03/24HKortrijk73-70
16/03/24AOkapi Aalst75-80
03/03/24HMechelen58-70
17/02/24ADen Helder74-77
03/02/24ABAL Weert90-59
28/01/24HLWD Basket88-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%62%36%
Points / game77.376.877.9
Allowed / game77.174.279.7
Point differential+0.3+2.5-1.9
Avg total154.4151.0157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%23%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
QSTA Utd
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL26%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%25%27%
Points / game72.873.172.5
Allowed / game78.977.280.7
Point differential-6.1-4.1-8.3
Avg total151.7150.2153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)33% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2523292%81.971.0+10.9
2 Den Bosch2118386%82.771.1+11.6
3 Antwerp Giants2620677%82.472.1+10.3
4 Leiden2216673%77.370.0+7.2
5 Limburg2617965%76.772.5+4.1
6 Zwolle2112957%75.870.9+5.0
7 Spirou Charleroi25141156%73.474.9-1.5
8 Liege25131252%79.279.5-0.3
9 Circus Brussels27131448%78.776.7+2.0
10 Mechelen27131448%77.377.1+0.3
11 Donar Groningen21101148%72.071.1+1.0
12 Leuven Bears28121643%76.577.9-1.4
13 BAL Weert2291341%71.275.3-4.1
14 Belfius Mons27111641%77.380.6-3.3
15 Kortrijk28101836%78.581.0-2.5
16 Okapi Aalst2791833%77.080.1-3.1
17 Feyenoord2481633%73.781.8-8.1
18 LWD Basket2371630%77.983.9-6.0
19 QSTA Utd2361726%72.878.9-6.1
20 Den Helder2451921%66.881.2-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2523252194
QSTA Utd1419191567
← all games of the day
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