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Okapi Aalst vs QSTA Utd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-75
25-22 22-19 22-9 11-25
Position#16
Record4-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#19
Record4-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v QSTA Utd
01 Feb 2025
OKAP103
QSTA90
16 Mar 2024
OKAP80
QSTA75
08 Apr 2023
OKAP97
QSTA83
30 Mar 2022
OKAP97
QSTA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
QSTA Utd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 67
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
61avg 67
H26/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
48avg 67
A05/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
64avg 67
H12/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
64avg 67
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
81avg 67
A04/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
86-63
86
63
+23
71avg 67
H10/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
68avg 67
A14/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 67
H17/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
77-64
77
64
+13
74avg 67
A06/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
13-13
20-25
18-11
16-15
26-14
10-18
22-28
16-24
23-11
13-21
10-25
15-24
15-23
32-17
20-16
24-17
17-13
10-29
17-18
21-20
24-21
21-11
17-24
23-19
23-13
24-15
16-16
24-17
16-18
12-17
16-23
14-19
20-22
20-24
22-21
15-23
16-23
26-10
20-8
149.9Avg total
74.8Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.982.6158.4-6.719%
Season at home (10)78.681.7160.3-3.120%
Season away (11)73.483.4156.7-10.018%
Last 10 (10)74.875.1149.9-0.340%
Last 5 (5)78.072.8150.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.483.2156.7-9.817%
vs Similar (12)76.883.2160.1-6.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.274.2166.3+18.083%
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUtd
Date
Competition
Leiden
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 61
H10/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
H16/12
DBL Cup
Leiden
#5
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A20/12
DBL Cup
Zwolle
#12
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 61
A23/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
63-87
63
87
-24
46avg 61
H06/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 61
A13/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 61
H28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
90-59
90
59
+31
72avg 61
A03/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
L
74-77
74
77
-3
58avg 61
A17/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
58-70
58
70
-12
42avg 61
H03/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-16
29-15
17-27
13-18
14-21
15-28
23-14
17-10
13-12
15-22
29-20
25-26
24-20
12-31
12-11
20-21
15-22
15-21
13-23
17-25
25-25
29-16
14-15
24-23
15-22
26-19
23-26
22-17
19-9
24-13
25-20
18-19
15-24
22-18
19-16
17-17
21-16
11-15
9-22
152.9Avg total
75.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.280.6153.8-7.524%
Season at home (9)74.378.2152.6-3.922%
Season away (8)71.983.4155.2-11.525%
Last 10 (10)75.377.6152.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)79.075.4154.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)69.485.9155.3-16.47%
vs Similar (12)80.576.5157.0+4.050%
vs Weaker (3)79.775.3155.0+4.333%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
Okapi AalstQSTA Utd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A05/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H12/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A04/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/03
BNXT League
75.6Avg total
38.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.681.4+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.580.9+4.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.242.781.9-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.475.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.241.078.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (12)42.341.884.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.237.382.5+7.867%-
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H16/12
DBL Cup
Leiden
#5
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A20/12
DBL Cup
Zwolle
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A23/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H06/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A13/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A03/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/03
BNXT League
75.5Avg total
37.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.842.078.8-5.231%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.542.578.9-6.020%-
Last 30 away (14)37.241.578.7-4.343%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.475.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.246.183.3-8.921%-
vs Similar (12)37.537.274.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker (3)32.342.374.7-10.00%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.8
49.5%
52.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.5
32.0%
33.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws23.116.7
72.3%
71.4%16.7
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
QSTA Utdtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

QSTA Utd: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.0
54.1%
52.2%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.9
28.9%
33.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws12.78.6
67.7%
71.4%8.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WLLWWLWLLL
QSTA Utd
LLWLWLLWLW
#16
League position
#19
-0.4
Net rating
-5.5
101.9
Offensive rating
98.9
102.3
Defensive rating
104.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.1%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.0%
3-point %
28.9%
53.4%
Assist %
51.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 98.9Defence102.3 · 104.5Shooting49.0% · 50.2%3-point %32.0% · 28.9%Ball care20.1% · 19.1%Off. rebounds28.8% · 28.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ QSTA Utd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Okapi Aalst wins
0
QSTA Utd wins
DateGameScore
23/04/23QSTA Utd v Okapi Aalst79-85
08/04/23Okapi Aalst v QSTA Utd97-83
30/03/22Okapi Aalst v QSTA Utd97-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24AFeyenoord77-64
17/02/24HLeuven Bears76-86
14/02/24ASpirou Charleroi68-75
10/02/24HKortrijk86-63
04/02/24ACircus Brussels83-76
26/01/24ALimburg68-77
12/01/24HMechelen82-80
05/01/24ALiege62-81
26/12/23HBelfius Mons74-75
16/12/23HOostende72-74
QSTA Utdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HMechelen58-70
17/02/24ADen Helder74-77
03/02/24ABAL Weert90-59
28/01/24HLWD Basket88-90
13/01/24AFeyenoord85-81
06/01/24HDonar Groningen63-87
23/12/23AZwolle73-88
20/12/23ALeiden74-64
16/12/23HLeiden65-81
10/12/23HLeiden83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW19%
HomeLLWWL20%
AwayLLWLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%20%18%
Points / game75.978.673.4
Allowed / game82.681.783.4
Point differential-6.7-3.1-10.0
Avg total158.4160.3156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
QSTA Utd
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL24%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%22%25%
Points / game73.274.371.9
Allowed / game80.678.283.4
Point differential-7.5-3.9-11.5
Avg total153.8152.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2220291%80.971.0+10.0
2 Den Bosch1916384%81.269.8+11.3
3 Leiden1713476%77.969.2+8.8
4 Antwerp Giants2216673%81.872.3+9.5
5 Limburg2216673%77.371.1+6.2
6 Zwolle1912763%75.969.0+6.9
7 Liege2213959%79.078.1+0.9
8 Spirou Charleroi22121055%72.974.6-1.8
9 Donar Groningen179853%71.468.3+3.1
10 Circus Brussels21101148%78.076.9+1.0
11 BAL Weert1881044%70.373.3-3.1
12 Kortrijk23101343%78.380.0-1.7
13 Mechelen2191243%75.076.1-1.0
14 Feyenoord1861233%72.280.6-8.4
15 Leuven Bears2161529%74.479.2-4.8
16 Belfius Mons2161529%75.582.1-6.6
17 Den Helder1851328%66.578.8-12.3
18 LWD Basket1741324%76.683.6-7.0
19 QSTA Utd1741324%73.280.6-7.5
20 Okapi Aalst2141719%75.982.6-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst2522221180
QSTA Utd221992575
← all games of the day
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