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Mechelen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 90-76
21-12 26-19 19-25 24-20
Position#8
Record12-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#11
Record11-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mechelen v Leuven Bears
13 Mar 2027
MECH v LEUV
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
MECH57
LEUV81
03 Jan 2025
MECH82
LEUV86
02 Nov 2024
MECH72
LEUV67
10 Apr 2024
MECH90
LEUV76
16 Dec 2023
MECH72
LEUV69
07 May 2023
MECH98
LEUV89
03 May 2023
MECH75
LEUV62
21 Jan 2023
MECH91
LEUV75
18 May 2022
MECH77
LEUV69
14 May 2022
MECH78
LEUV75
10 May 2022
MECH63
LEUV72
29 Jan 2022
MECH74
LEUV65
05 Feb 2021
MECH70
LEUV79
06 Dec 2019
MECH63
LEUV73
13 Apr 2019
MECH77
LEUV68
12 Jan 2019
MECH75
LEUV92
26 Sep 2018
MECH74
LEUV90
17 Mar 2018
MECH88
LEUV85
03 Dec 2017
MECH90
LEUV86
22 Apr 2017
MECH78
LEUV67
26 Dec 2016
MECH100
LEUV67
08 Apr 2016
MECH84
LEUV63
03 Dec 2015
MECH85
LEUV80
06 Mar 2015
MECH79
LEUV73
08 Oct 2014
MECH80
LEUV86
30 Mar 2014
MECH86
LEUV94
05 Oct 2013
MECH79
LEUV88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
58-79
58
79
-21
48avg 69
H27/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 69
A03/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 69
A14/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 69
A17/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
70-58
70
58
+12
65avg 69
A03/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
103avg 69
H16/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
71-91
71
91
-20
63avg 69
A24/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
74-80
74
80
-6
56avg 69
H27/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
91-55
91
55
+36
91avg 69
A30/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
87-86
87
86
+1
82avg 69
A05/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
10-27
12-19
20-12
23-20
23-28
23-27
19-23
13-17
11-25
20-18
27-17
14-15
21-26
20-19
19-24
17-17
16-21
15-11
22-9
12-26
23-16
26-27
28-20
20-22
15-27
17-18
19-24
21-20
19-20
17-13
17-27
25-19
20-11
21-20
25-5
15-17
32-23
25-21
15-25
158.6Avg total
78.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.877.1154.0-0.346%
Season at home (12)75.774.1149.8+1.658%
Season away (14)77.979.7157.6-1.936%
Last 10 (10)78.380.3158.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)84.481.4165.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.075.2146.2-4.217%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.277.8155.0-0.559%
vs Weaker (6)79.575.0154.5+4.550%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 67
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
56-85
56
85
-29
43avg 67
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 67
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 67
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 67
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 67
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 67
A23/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
71-63
71
63
+8
69avg 67
H27/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
85-71
85
71
+14
76avg 67
A30/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
71avg 67
H06/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
19-15
21-22
25-17
22-22
2-17
13-26
19-20
24-17
17-20
25-23
7-27
19-14
22-20
24-20
21-22
23-18
18-19
24-21
15-17
24-23
26-12
28-20
20-24
27-24
19-15
15-18
19-18
17-18
22-16
18-20
14-9
18-22
23-18
20-15
24-16
20-21
20-11
14-21
15-16
155.5Avg total
78.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.078.0154.0-2.042%
Season at home (14)76.177.4153.6-1.350%
Season away (12)75.878.7154.5-2.833%
Last 10 (10)78.676.9155.5+1.770%
Last 5 (5)82.672.8155.4+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.383.6147.9-19.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.375.2151.5+1.147%
vs Weaker (8)83.473.8157.1+9.688%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
MechelenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H27/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A03/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A14/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A17/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A03/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H16/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A30/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A05/04
BNXT League
78.4Avg total
36.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.378.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.138.977.9+0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)38.939.678.5-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.878.4-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.340.274.5-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.539.178.5+0.453%-
vs Weaker (6)40.738.779.3+2.033%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/04
BNXT League
76.5Avg total
39.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.438.375.8-0.952%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.837.175.9+1.769%-
Last 30 away (13)35.739.875.5-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.076.5+2.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.079.2+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.341.473.7-9.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.737.775.3+0.053%-
vs Weaker (7)42.036.778.7+5.386%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.1
55.5%
52.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.0
30.3%
33.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.1
68.1%
71.4%14.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.4
51.5%
52.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.3
35.1%
33.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.415.1
70.6%
71.4%15.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWLLWWLLLL
Leuven Bears
WWWWWWWLLL
#8
League position
#11
-3.4
Net rating
+2.3
102.5
Offensive rating
106.1
106.0
Defensive rating
103.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.3%
3-point %
35.1%
57.7%
Assist %
65.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 106.1Defence106.0 · 103.7Shooting51.7% · 51.9%3-point %30.3% · 35.1%Ball care20.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Mechelen   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mechelen wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24AKortrijk87-86
30/03/24ADen Helder91-55
27/03/24HFeyenoord74-80
24/03/24ALWD Basket71-91
16/03/24HBelfius Mons99-95 OT
03/03/24AQSTA Utd70-58
17/02/24ALiege74-84
14/02/24AAntwerp Giants71-77
03/02/24AOostende88-98
27/01/24HCircus Brussels58-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HQSTA Utd79-76 OT
30/03/24ALWD Basket85-71
27/03/24HOkapi Aalst71-63
23/03/24AFeyenoord80-75
16/03/24HDen Helder98-79
08/03/24HCircus Brussels80-75
17/02/24AOkapi Aalst86-76
14/02/24HLimburg73-87
10/02/24HOostende56-85
02/02/24ASpirou Charleroi78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeLWLWL58%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %46%58%36%
Points / game76.875.777.9
Allowed / game77.174.179.7
Point differential-0.3+1.6-1.9
Avg total154.0149.8157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW42%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game76.076.175.8
Allowed / game78.077.478.7
Point differential-2.0-1.3-2.8
Avg total154.0153.6154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2523292%81.971.0+10.9
2 Den Bosch2118386%82.771.1+11.6
3 Antwerp Giants2519676%82.172.3+9.8
4 Leiden2115671%77.470.2+7.1
5 Limburg2517868%77.172.4+4.6
6 Zwolle2112957%75.870.9+5.0
7 Spirou Charleroi25141156%73.474.9-1.5
8 Liege25131252%79.279.5-0.3
9 Circus Brussels27131448%78.776.7+2.0
10 Donar Groningen21101148%72.071.1+1.0
11 Mechelen26121446%76.877.1-0.3
12 BAL Weert2191243%71.474.7-3.3
13 Leuven Bears26111542%76.078.0-2.0
14 Belfius Mons26101638%77.281.2-3.9
15 Kortrijk28101836%78.581.0-2.5
16 Feyenoord2381535%74.181.3-7.3
17 Okapi Aalst2681831%77.280.5-3.3
18 LWD Basket2371630%77.983.9-6.0
19 QSTA Utd2261627%72.979.1-6.2
20 Den Helder2351822%66.981.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2126192490
Leuven Bears1219252076
← all games of the day
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