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Mechelen vs Rotterdam Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game95.2
vs
Position#12
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mechelen v Rotterdam
05 Dec 2026
MECH v ROTT
upcoming
09 May 2026
MECH97
ROTT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rotterdam win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
109-100
109
100
+9
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A30/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
18-29
13-12
20-11
14-22
11-23
15-27
23-27
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
168.9Avg total
81.5Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.095.2184.2-6.240%
Season at home (2)87.586.0173.5+1.550%
Season away (3)90.0101.3191.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)81.587.4168.9-5.940%
Last 5 (5)89.095.2184.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.285.9161.2-10.735%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.782.0157.7-6.333%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RotterdamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#5
L
89-119
89
119
-30
A19/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H26/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A02/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H06/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A09/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H02/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
50-79
50
79
-29
A09/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A16/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H25/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H30/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
25-34
25-26
18-30
21-29
10-10
10-24
25-20
29-23
12-25
27-22
24-32
19-17
22-30
12-26
23-17
7-23
16-29
32-23
18-22
23-14
15-18
21-18
12-26
9-19
12-14
16-18
13-28
17-25
20-22
28-21
15-19
20-19
15-17
30-22
24-19
29-17
23-16
24-25
15-27
167.2Avg total
77.7Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.280.8157.0-4.640%
Season at home (3)83.779.3163.0+4.367%
Season away (2)65.083.0148.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)77.789.5167.2-11.820%
Last 5 (5)76.280.8157.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)72.889.4162.2-16.68%
vs Similar ◀ (3)65.777.3143.0-11.733%
vs Weaker (2)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -5.3-5.3
MechelenRotterdam
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
86.9Avg total
41.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.279.8-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.781.9+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)34.143.677.7-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.286.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.648.695.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.542.979.4-6.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.542.578.0-7.017%-
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%-
This opponent (Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RotterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#5
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A19/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H26/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H06/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A09/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A09/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A16/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H25/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/10
BNXT League
79.5Avg total
36.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.943.180.9-5.221%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.578.9-0.136%-
Last 30 away (15)36.446.482.8-10.07%-
Last 10 (10)36.543.079.5-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.272.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)37.844.882.5-7.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.735.370.0-0.767%-
vs Weaker (2)43.534.578.0+9.050%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.1%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rotterdamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rotterdam: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.216.2
44.8%
53.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.6
38.4%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.4
73.0%
71.1%15.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
LLWLWWWLLL
Rotterdam
WWLLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#12
-5.6
Net rating
-14.7
91.3
Offensive rating
87.0
96.9
Defensive rating
101.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.7%
3-point %
38.4%
59.4%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 87.0Defence96.9 · 101.7Shooting51.8% · 50.0%3-point %35.7% · 38.4%Ball care16.4% · 20.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Mechelen   ■ Rotterdam
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mechelen wins
0
Rotterdam wins
DateGameScore
09/05/26Mechelen v Rotterdam97-73
17/10/25Rotterdam v Mechelen74-92
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
25/04/26ADonar Groningen63-99
19/04/26HOostende73-83
Rotterdamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCB Liege91-85
25/10/26HBelfius Mons89-77
16/10/26ALimburg80-87
09/10/26ADen Bosch50-79
02/10/26HLeiden71-76
09/05/26AMechelen73-97
06/05/26HDonar Groningen76-90
02/05/26AOkapi Aalst92-102
26/04/26HBrussels Basketball66-83
19/04/26ALimburg89-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game89.087.590.0
Allowed / game95.286.0101.3
Point differential-6.2+1.5-11.3
Avg total184.2173.5191.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rotterdam
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game76.283.765.0
Allowed / game80.879.383.0
Point differential-4.6+4.3-18.0
Avg total157.0163.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants440100%111.882.5+29.2
2 Brussels Basketball54180%81.468.2+13.2
3 Okapi Aalst43175%95.087.0+8.0
4 Limburg43175%94.086.2+7.8
5 Leuven Bears43175%71.569.8+1.8
6 Spirou Charleroi53260%79.865.6+14.2
7 Den Bosch53260%79.880.4-0.6
8 Oostende42250%79.877.8+2.0
9 Leiden42250%73.273.0+0.2
10 Zwolle42250%69.875.8-6.0
11 Donar Groningen42250%79.889.5-9.8
12 Rotterdam52340%76.280.8-4.6
13 Mechelen52340%89.095.2-6.2
14 Kortrijk4040%83.589.5-6.0
15 CB Liege5050%75.492.4-17.0
16 Belfius Mons4040%64.290.2-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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