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Mechelen vs Rotterdam Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 97-73
23-7 29-16 23-32 22-18
Position#8
Record18-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#17
Record4-29
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game90.9
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 34· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen v Rotterdam
05 Dec 2026
MECH v ROTT
upcoming
09 May 2026
MECH97
ROTT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rotterdam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A15/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A27/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H01/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H04/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A11/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A17/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
11-13
23-19
23-8
20-21
21-23
21-15
12-20
22-15
29-15
19-15
10-12
28-18
18-17
27-15
21-24
17-23
25-25
22-17
14-33
20-25
14-21
9-20
23-28
22-31
18-29
13-12
20-11
14-22
11-23
15-27
23-27
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
152.6Avg total
74.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.579.1155.6-2.555%
Season at home (16)81.876.4158.2+5.469%
Season away (17)71.581.6153.1-10.141%
Last 10 (10)74.078.6152.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)67.883.8151.6-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.782.5155.2-9.740%
vs Similar (8)73.480.1153.5-6.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.276.2157.3+5.067%
This opponent (Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RotterdamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A21/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A27/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
0-40
0
40
-40
H01/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
78-101
78
101
-23
A06/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H10/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
81-101
81
101
-20
H17/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
89-119
89
119
-30
A19/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H26/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A02/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H06/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
18-25
8-25
21-22
18-16
16-19
24-18
16-24
–
–
–
–
23-27
18-16
25-27
12-31
15-22
26-21
25-15
19-17
15-29
19-21
24-33
23-18
21-29
25-34
25-26
18-30
21-29
10-10
10-24
25-20
29-23
12-25
27-22
24-32
19-17
22-30
12-26
23-17
159.3Avg total
70.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.290.9165.0-16.712%
Season at home (17)74.385.2159.5-10.924%
Season away (16)74.096.9170.9-22.90%
Last 10 (10)70.688.7159.3-18.110%
Last 5 (5)80.899.0179.8-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)74.991.5166.4-16.611%
vs Similar (2)73.576.5150.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
MechelenRotterdam
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A27/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H04/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A11/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A17/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
79.6Avg total
37.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.077.5-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.579.6+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)35.340.475.8-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.179.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.246.479.6-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.941.576.4-6.733%-
vs Similar (8)35.839.975.6-4.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.837.381.2+6.567%-
This opponent (Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RotterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A21/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A27/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A06/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H10/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H17/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A19/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H26/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H06/05
BNXT League
85.0Avg total
38.3Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.744.784.4-4.921%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.042.383.3-1.333%-
Last 30 away (14)38.447.185.5-8.87%-
Last 10 (9)38.346.785.0-8.30%-
Last 5 (5)38.649.488.0-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.645.384.9-5.715%-
vs Similar (2)41.536.578.0+5.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.7
48.1%
54.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.8
34.2%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.7
69.8%
72.4%12.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rotterdamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rotterdam: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.1
52.9%
54.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.910.7
63.3%
72.4%10.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLLLLLWWLW
Rotterdam
LLLLLWLLLL
#8
League position
#17
-5.6
Net rating
-20.3
87.9
Offensive rating
89.2
93.5
Defensive rating
109.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
35.8%
57.4%
Assist %
45.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 89.2Defence93.5 · 109.4Shooting49.3% · 53.2%3-point %34.2% · 35.8%Ball care16.8% · 19.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Mechelen   ■ Rotterdam
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mechelen wins
0
Rotterdam wins
DateGameScore
17/10/25Rotterdam v Mechelen74-92
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
25/04/26ADonar Groningen63-99
19/04/26HOostende73-83
17/04/26AOostende66-94
11/04/26ALWD Basket78-98
04/04/26HOkapi Aalst94-74
01/04/26HBAL Weert80-57
27/03/26ASpirou Charleroi74-79
15/03/26ALeiden75-59
Rotterdamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26HDonar Groningen76-90
02/05/26AOkapi Aalst92-102
26/04/26HBrussels Basketball66-83
19/04/26ALimburg89-119
17/04/26HLimburg81-101
10/04/26HLeuven Bears85-75
06/04/26AZwolle78-101
01/04/26HDen Helder0-40
27/03/26AKortrijk74-77
21/03/26ADen Helder65-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW55%
HomeLWWLL69%
AwayLLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %55%69%41%
Points / game76.581.871.5
Allowed / game79.176.481.6
Point differential-2.5+5.4-10.1
Avg total155.6158.2153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Rotterdam
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL24%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %12%24%0%
Points / game74.274.374.0
Allowed / game90.985.296.9
Point differential-16.7-10.9-22.9
Avg total165.0159.5170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants3328585%96.777.0+19.7
2 Oostende3324973%88.980.2+8.8
3 Okapi Aalst3324973%95.887.7+8.2
4 Kortrijk33231070%88.080.7+7.3
5 Limburg33221167%91.780.8+10.9
6 Den Bosch33191458%84.682.2+2.4
7 Donar Groningen33191458%83.183.1+0.0
8 Brussels Basketball33181555%84.479.8+4.6
9 Mechelen33181555%76.579.1-2.5
10 Leiden33171652%84.281.8+2.4
11 Spirou Charleroi33161748%82.484.9-2.5
12 Den Helder33151845%82.582.1+0.4
13 Leuven Bears33141942%79.880.6-0.8
14 Zwolle33141942%80.382.4-2.1
15 LWD Basket33102330%83.893.4-9.5
16 Belfius Mons3392427%82.892.8-10.1
17 Rotterdam3342912%74.290.9-16.7
18 BAL Weert333309%69.189.4-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2329232297
Rotterdam716321873
← all games of the day
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