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Mechelen vs Den Helder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-87
18-21 22-27 21-14 19-25
Position#8
Record17-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#12
Record13-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 32· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen v Den Helder
02 May 2026
MECH80
DEN 87
26 Apr 2025
MECH93
DEN 67
27 Apr 2024
MECH89
DEN 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Helder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H13/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A15/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A27/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H01/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H04/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A11/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A17/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
A25/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
15-16
18-15
19-13
10-21
22-25
25-12
11-20
18-19
11-13
23-19
23-8
20-21
21-23
21-15
12-20
22-15
29-15
19-15
10-12
28-18
18-17
27-15
21-24
17-23
25-25
22-17
14-33
20-25
14-21
9-20
23-28
22-31
18-29
13-12
20-11
14-22
11-23
15-27
23-27
154.0Avg total
74.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.079.5156.6-2.555%
Season at home (15)81.975.7157.6+6.373%
Season away (16)72.483.2155.6-10.838%
Last 10 (10)74.879.2154.0-4.440%
Last 5 (5)74.889.6164.4-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.984.4158.2-10.536%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.179.6157.8-1.550%
vs Weaker (7)80.675.4156.0+5.171%
This opponent (Den Helder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den HelderLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H12/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A15/03
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
99-65
99
65
+34
H21/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
74-100
74
100
-26
H29/03
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
40-0
40
0
+40
A01/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
101-70
101
70
+31
H04/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A12/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
A16/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H19/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A24/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
14-18
20-26
21-19
22-27
23-19
18-22
29-22
27-18
25-18
25-8
22-21
17-31
17-21
26-29
14-19
–
–
–
–
35-14
14-20
28-17
24-19
25-19
19-19
26-16
20-23
23-32
33-24
16-26
27-16
21-20
23-19
25-25
20-19
25-28
22-17
16-22
17-18
160.6Avg total
85.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.582.7164.2-1.342%
Season at home (16)82.482.8165.2-0.344%
Season away (15)80.482.7163.1-2.340%
Last 10 (10)85.075.6160.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)91.882.6174.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.192.0173.1-10.911%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.282.6162.8-2.546%
vs Weaker (8)85.471.5156.9+13.975%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
MechelenDen Helder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H13/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A27/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H04/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A11/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A17/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/04
BNXT League
79.1Avg total
36.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.078.6-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.639.481.0+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)35.940.676.4-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.379.1-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.884.2-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.442.177.6-6.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.439.878.1-1.438%-
vs Weaker (7)42.737.079.7+5.771%-
This opponent (Den Helder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H12/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A15/03
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H04/04
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A12/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A16/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A24/04
BNXT League
89.4Avg total
46.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.743.184.8-1.441%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.443.183.5-2.631%-
Last 30 away (13)43.243.286.5+0.054%-
Last 10 (9)46.243.289.4+3.067%-
Last 5 (5)48.042.490.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.845.984.7-7.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.542.582.9-2.038%-
vs Weaker (7)47.740.988.6+6.971%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.6
46.4%
54.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.9
36.6%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.4
71.3%
72.4%13.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Heldertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Helder: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.1
53.0%
54.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.3
33.9%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.111.6
67.8%
72.4%11.6
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
LLLLWWLWLW
Den Helder
LWWWWWLWWL
#8
League position
#12
-5.4
Net rating
+5.7
88.9
Offensive rating
95.2
94.2
Defensive rating
89.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.6%
3-point %
33.9%
58.9%
Assist %
48.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 95.2Defence94.2 · 89.5Shooting49.4% · 52.1%3-point %36.6% · 33.9%Ball care16.2% · 12.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Mechelen   ■ Den Helder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mechelen wins
0
Den Helder wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Den Helder v Mechelen68-76
26/04/25Mechelen v Den Helder93-67
14/12/24Den Helder v Mechelen48-75
27/04/24Mechelen v Den Helder89-66
30/03/24Den Helder v Mechelen55-91
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26ADonar Groningen63-99
19/04/26HOostende73-83
17/04/26AOostende66-94
11/04/26ALWD Basket78-98
04/04/26HOkapi Aalst94-74
01/04/26HBAL Weert80-57
27/03/26ASpirou Charleroi74-79
15/03/26ALeiden75-59
13/03/26HLeiden68-78
07/03/26ALeuven Bears77-71 OT
Den Helderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26AKortrijk80-85
19/04/26HLWD Basket89-83
16/04/26ALWD Basket99-98
12/04/26ABrussels Basketball90-77
04/04/26HBAL Weert101-70
01/04/26ARotterdam40-0
29/03/26HOostende74-100
21/03/26HRotterdam99-65
15/03/26ADonar Groningen92-90
12/03/26HDonar Groningen86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%73%38%
Points / game77.081.972.4
Allowed / game79.575.783.2
Point differential-2.5+6.3-10.8
Avg total156.6157.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Den Helder
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL42%
HomeLWLWW44%
AwayWWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%44%40%
Points / game81.582.480.4
Allowed / game82.782.882.7
Point differential-1.3-0.3-2.3
Avg total164.2165.2163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants3126584%95.477.5+17.9
2 Oostende3124777%89.579.5+9.9
3 Okapi Aalst3123874%96.087.2+8.8
4 Kortrijk31211068%87.580.6+6.9
5 Limburg32211166%91.480.7+10.8
6 Den Bosch32191359%85.281.4+3.8
7 Brussels Basketball31171455%85.080.6+4.4
8 Donar Groningen31171455%82.983.4-0.5
9 Mechelen31171455%77.079.5-2.5
10 Leiden32161650%83.882.1+1.7
11 Spirou Charleroi31151648%82.085.3-3.3
12 Leuven Bears31131842%79.980.7-0.8
13 Den Helder31131842%81.582.7-1.3
14 Zwolle31131842%81.083.0-2.0
15 LWD Basket31102132%84.493.2-8.8
16 Belfius Mons3192229%83.191.8-8.7
17 Rotterdam3142713%73.590.5-17.0
18 BAL Weert323299%69.388.5-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen1822211980
Den Helder2127142587
← all games of the day
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