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Mechelen vs Rotterdam Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mechelen v Rotterdam
05 Dec 2026
MECH v ROTT
upcoming
09 May 2026
MECH97
ROTT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rotterdam win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 70
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 70
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
99avg 70
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
109-100
109
100
+9
107avg 70
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 70
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
84avg 70
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
67avg 70
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 70
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
29-15
15-23
14-27
25-28
25-25
23-11
20-12
23-20
170.6Avg total
85.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.491.0179.4-2.643%
Season at home (3)86.088.3174.3-2.333%
Season away (4)90.293.0183.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)85.385.3170.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)86.288.6174.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.384.1159.4-8.940%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.683.0160.6-5.425%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RotterdamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRotterdam
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
86avg 65
A02/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
67avg 65
H06/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
73-97
73
97
-24
61avg 65
A09/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
71-76
71
76
-5
56avg 65
H02/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
50-79
50
79
-29
36avg 65
A09/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
82avg 65
A16/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
82avg 65
H25/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 65
H30/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A05/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
H15/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
12-25
27-22
24-32
19-17
22-30
12-26
23-17
7-23
16-29
32-23
18-22
23-14
15-18
21-18
12-26
9-19
12-14
16-18
13-28
17-25
20-22
28-21
15-19
20-19
15-17
30-22
24-19
29-17
23-16
24-25
15-27
17-20
13-11
17-24
27-22
24-24
8-21
22-22
16-16
161.9Avg total
76.6Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.080.6155.6-5.629%
Season at home (4)80.280.2160.5+0.050%
Season away (3)68.081.0149.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)76.685.3161.9-8.720%
Last 5 (5)80.881.8162.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)71.588.2159.7-16.78%
vs Similar ◀ (2)71.075.5146.5-4.550%
vs Weaker (2)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
MechelenRotterdam
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/11
BNXT League
86.5Avg total
44.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.880.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.581.6+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.278.9-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.186.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.489.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.142.679.7-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.641.979.5-4.225%-
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%-
This opponent (Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RotterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H06/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A09/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A09/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A16/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H25/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H15/11
BNXT League
75.4Avg total
35.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.242.880.0-5.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.939.978.8-0.933%-
Last 30 away (14)35.445.981.3-10.60%-
Last 10 (10)35.040.475.4-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.475.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)36.843.880.6-7.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)36.038.074.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)43.534.578.0+9.050%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rotterdamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rotterdam: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.216.2
44.8%
53.2%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.6
38.4%
32.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.4
73.0%
71.0%15.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLLLWLWWWL
Rotterdam
LLWWLLLLLL
#11
League position
#14
-5.6
Net rating
-14.7
91.3
Offensive rating
87.0
96.9
Defensive rating
101.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.7%
3-point %
38.4%
59.4%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 87.0Defence96.9 · 101.7Shooting51.8% · 50.0%3-point %35.7% · 38.4%Ball care16.4% · 20.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Mechelen   ■ Rotterdam
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mechelen wins
0
Rotterdam wins
DateGameScore
09/05/26Mechelen v Rotterdam97-73
17/10/25Rotterdam v Mechelen74-92
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALeuven Bears91-68
07/11/26HKortrijk83-93
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
Rotterdamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDonar Groningen70-83
05/11/26ASpirou Charleroi74-77
30/10/26HCB Liege91-85
25/10/26HBelfius Mons89-77
16/10/26ALimburg80-87
09/10/26ADen Bosch50-79
02/10/26HLeiden71-76
09/05/26AMechelen73-97
06/05/26HDonar Groningen76-90
02/05/26AOkapi Aalst92-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game88.486.090.2
Allowed / game91.088.393.0
Point differential-2.6-2.3-2.8
Avg total179.4174.3183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rotterdam
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game75.080.268.0
Allowed / game80.680.281.0
Point differential-5.6+0.0-13.0
Avg total155.6160.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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