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NW Tasmania vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jun 2019
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 90-82 (OT)
12-19 21-18 19-15 23-23 15-7
Position#14
Record6-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#6
Record9-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game82.6
AustraliaNBL 1
Other2019
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Melbourne Tigers
11 May 2024
NW T74
MELB84
29 Apr 2023
NW T69
MELB84
28 Jun 2019
NW T90
MELB82
08 Apr 2017
NW T93
MELB94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#3
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A04/05
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
100-95
100
95
+5
A05/05
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
L
76-109
76
109
-33
H11/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H17/05
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A25/05
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H26/05
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H01/06
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H15/06
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A21/06
NBL 1
Knox
#13
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H22/06
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
27-23
22-23
26-29
25-17
21-18
26-30
28-30
31-26
8-24
14-29
23-30
30-13
28-16
21-31
18-15
15-24
20-28
10-22
22-20
15-12
9-25
21-16
14-13
21-29
18-17
16-24
30-24
13-9
17-10
26-13
19-22
25-14
11-25
18-20
20-20
16-16
11-21
20-24
14-13
162.7Avg total
78.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.986.8170.7-2.940%
Season at home (8)78.578.4156.9+0.138%
Season away (7)90.096.4186.4-6.443%
Last 10 (10)78.484.3162.7-5.930%
Last 5 (5)70.873.4144.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.692.5172.2-12.915%
vs Similar (13)91.383.3174.6+8.077%
vs Weaker (4)89.570.5160.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#8
L
66-106
66
106
-40
A27/04
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A28/04
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
W
113-101 OT
113
101
+12
H04/05
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H11/05
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H12/05
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H18/05
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H26/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H02/06
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A16/06
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
W
96-61
96
61
+35
H22/06
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
18-27
16-23
18-31
22-28
20-19
14-17
16-28
21-24
26-14
25-29
25-30
23-15
16-21
27-21
15-15
26-18
24-26
27-20
20-18
16-22
17-15
16-17
23-12
26-24
27-19
26-25
19-17
28-30
23-19
27-20
26-22
17-20
23-22
23-20
17-19
25-11
17-18
29-15
25-17
171.6Avg total
87.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.782.6169.4+4.164%
Season at home (9)92.480.2172.7+12.289%
Season away (5)76.487.0163.4-10.620%
Last 10 (10)87.983.7171.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)90.076.8166.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.689.5165.1-13.919%
vs Similar (8)78.281.1159.4-2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)98.582.0180.5+16.5100%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
NW TasmaniaMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A04/05
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A05/05
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H17/05
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A25/05
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H26/05
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H01/06
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H15/06
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/06
NBL 1
Knox
#13
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H22/06
NBL 1
77.1Avg total
37.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.784.3+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.481.8-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)44.442.186.5+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.577.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.666.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.447.386.7-7.98%-
vs Similar (13)45.038.483.4+6.669%-
vs Weaker (4)45.034.579.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#8
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A27/04
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/04
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/05
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/05
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/05
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/05
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H26/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H02/06
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/06
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H22/06
NBL 1
84.6Avg total
42.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.082.8-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.141.582.6-0.447%-
Last 30 away (13)38.045.183.1-7.115%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.784.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.083.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.043.680.6-6.612%-
vs Similar (8)38.043.481.4-5.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)49.541.290.7+8.3100%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NW Tasmania wins
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/19HKnox61-74
21/06/19AGeelong74-79
15/06/19HHobart Huskies75-54
01/06/19HGeelong85-94
26/05/19HBA CoE59-66
25/05/19ABallarat67-94
17/05/19HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits97-75
11/05/19HDandenong76-109
05/05/19AEltham100-95
04/05/19AFrankston90-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/19HBA CoE96-61
16/06/19ANunawading80-81
02/06/19HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-91
26/05/19HKnox98-85
18/05/19HGeelong72-66
12/05/19HRingwood97-82
11/05/19HDiamond Valley81-72
04/05/19HSouthern Sabres113-101 OT
28/04/19AKilsyth72-92
27/04/19ADandenong66-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game83.978.590.0
Allowed / game86.878.496.4
Point differential-2.9+0.1-6.4
Avg total170.7156.9186.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %64%89%20%
Points / game86.792.476.4
Allowed / game82.680.287.0
Point differential+4.1+12.2-10.6
Avg total169.4172.7163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ballarat1513287%92.376.4+15.9
2 Nunawading1510567%90.883.4+7.4
3 Kilsyth149564%88.983.2+5.7
4 Melbourne Tigers149564%86.782.6+4.1
5 Geelong1610662%81.478.7+2.8
6 Frankston159660%90.488.1+2.3
7 Waverley148657%88.990.4-1.5
8 Dandenong157847%89.587.4+2.1
9 Bendigo Braves157847%84.582.8+1.7
10 Diamond Valley157847%85.787.9-2.2
11 Hobart Huskies146843%86.189.9-3.8
12 BA CoE1771041%82.185.5-3.4
13 Knox156940%79.581.4-1.9
14 Eltham156940%86.689.2-2.6
15 NW Tasmania156940%83.986.8-2.9
16 Albury-Wodonga Bandits156940%91.295.8-4.6
17 Ringwood1551033%89.594.6-5.1
18 Southern Sabres1431121%87.4101.6-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
NW Tasmania122119231590
Melbourne Tigers19181523782
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