Melbourne Tigers vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2019

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 72-66

16-22 17-15 16-17 23-12

Position#6

Record5-4

FormLLWWW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game85.9

Melbourne Tigers 🏆

Geelong

Position#4

Record5-4

FormWLWWL

Points / game84.4

Allowed / game82.4

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

97-84

+13

H05/08

SEABL

Bendigo Braves

69-73

-4

H31/03

NBL 1

Frankston

102-91

102

+11

H07/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

81-84

-3

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

83-72

+11

A14/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

66-106

106

-40

A27/04

NBL 1

Kilsyth

72-92

-20

A28/04

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

113-101 OT

113

101

+12

H04/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

81-72

H11/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

97-82

+15

H12/05

NBL 1

26-18

19-17

23-26

29-23

20-26

18-19

17-20

14-8

27-19

14-25

37-22

24-25

20-17

19-30

22-23

20-14

28-24

26-20

11-14

18-14

14-25

18-27

16-23

18-31

22-28

20-19

14-17

16-28

21-24

26-14

25-29

25-30

23-15

16-21

27-21

15-15

26-18

24-26

27-20

20-18

171.8Avg total

86.1Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	84.9	85.9	170.8	-1.0	56%
Season at home (5)	92.4	83.8	176.2	+8.6	80%
Season away (4)	75.5	88.5	164.0	-13.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	85.7	171.8	+0.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	90.6	176.4	-4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	76.7	91.4	168.1	-14.7	21%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	78.0	80.9	158.9	-2.9	50%
vs Weaker (3)	97.7	85.0	182.7	+12.7	100%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

65-107

107

-42

A19/08

SEABL

Nunawading

70-93

-23

H29/03

NBL 1

Knox

#13

88-72

+16

H06/04

NBL 1

Frankston

72-77

-5

A12/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

103-72

103

+31

H20/04

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

73-72

A25/04

NBL 1

Kilsyth

78-95

-17

H27/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

92-62

+30

A05/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

104-103

104

103

H11/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

80-96

-16

A12/05

NBL 1

23-29

11-24

18-22

13-32

21-32

16-28

18-16

15-17

30-17

9-22

26-18

23-15

18-25

16-6

19-19

19-27

26-19

26-17

32-15

19-21

21-27

10-18

26-9

16-18

23-28

25-26

17-24

13-17

34-17

21-19

12-12

25-14

24-22

30-24

24-23

26-34

22-31

22-19

17-29

19-17

167.4Avg total

82.5Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	84.4	82.4	166.9	+2.0	56%
Season at home (5)	88.6	87.0	175.6	+1.6	60%
Season away (4)	79.2	76.8	156.0	+2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	84.9	167.4	-2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	85.6	171.0	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	79.2	92.4	171.6	-13.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	84.8	89.9	174.6	-5.1	50%
vs Weaker (17)	89.7	77.4	167.1	+12.3	88%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne TigersGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	22.4	44.5	-0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	22.8	46.2	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	21.5	45.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	24.1	47.2	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	24.7	48.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	25.0	49.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	28.8	48.4	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	24.1	24.9	49.0	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	24.1	20.1	44.2	+4.1	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	22.6	40.8	-4.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	22.5	40.2	-4.8	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.3	23.9	41.2	-6.6	16%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.3	20.0	45.3	+5.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.6	21.6	37.2	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.1	23.2	44.4	-2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.6	18.3	40.9	+4.3	71%	-

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

45-35

+10

H05/08

SEABL

Bendigo Braves

38-45

-7

H31/03

NBL 1

Frankston

41-44

-3

H07/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

39-47

-8

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

54-44

+10

A14/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

32-52

-20

A27/04

NBL 1

Kilsyth

42-47

-5

A28/04

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

47-38

H04/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

39-36

H11/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

50-44

H12/05

NBL 1

85.9Avg total

42.7Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	44.9	84.0	-5.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	44.9	84.8	-5.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	44.9	83.1	-6.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	43.2	85.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	43.4	85.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.8	46.3	84.1	-8.5	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.9	42.6	80.5	-4.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	50.3	42.0	92.3	+8.3	100%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

34-53

-19

A19/08

SEABL

Nunawading

37-60

-23

H29/03

NBL 1

Knox

#13

39-39

H06/04

NBL 1

Frankston

34-31

A12/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

52-36

+16

H20/04

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

31-45

-14

A25/04

NBL 1

Kilsyth

48-54

-6

H27/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

55-36

+19

A05/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

54-46

H11/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

44-50

-6

A12/05

NBL 1

87.8Avg total

42.8Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	43.0	87.4	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	41.1	86.3	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	44.9	88.4	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	45.0	87.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	46.2	92.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.2	50.4	85.6	-15.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	45.2	48.1	93.4	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	46.7	38.4	85.1	+8.4	88%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.2	41.9	-2.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	22.3	43.9	-0.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.5	43.4	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.3	23.5	42.7	-4.2	16%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.5	40.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.3	41.7	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.7	39.5	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.5	19.2	40.6	+2.3	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	23.3	43.1	-3.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	24.4	43.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-1.9	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.3	41.3	+0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	41%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	42.9	82.4	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	40.8	82.2	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	45.3	82.7	-7.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.1	83.9	-0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	46.4	87.0	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	38.9	45.1	83.9	-6.2	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.1	38.2	78.4	+1.9	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.0	41.7	83.7	+0.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.3	82.5	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	39.5	83.1	+4.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	41.0	81.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	39.9	79.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.4	78.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.5	41.8	81.2	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.0	39.1	82.1	+3.9	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
15/07/17	Geelong v Melbourne Tigers	100-72
23/04/17	Melbourne Tigers v Geelong	80-83
13/08/16	Geelong v Melbourne Tigers	115-93
01/05/16	Melbourne Tigers v Geelong	88-96

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/19	H	Ringwood	97-82
11/05/19	H	Diamond Valley	81-72
04/05/19	H	Southern Sabres	113-101 OT
28/04/19	A	Kilsyth	72-92
27/04/19	A	Dandenong	66-106
14/04/19	A	Knox	83-72
13/04/19	A	Waverley	81-84
07/04/19	H	Frankston	102-91
31/03/19	H	Bendigo Braves	69-73
05/08/17	H	Bendigo	97-84

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/19	A	Bendigo Braves	80-96
11/05/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	104-103
05/05/19	A	Waverley	92-62
27/04/19	H	Kilsyth	78-95
25/04/19	A	BA CoE	73-72
20/04/19	H	Eltham	103-72
12/04/19	A	Frankston	72-77
06/04/19	H	Knox	88-72
29/03/19	H	Nunawading	70-93
19/08/17	A	Nunawading	65-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	56%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	56%	80%	25%
Points / game	84.9	92.4	75.5
Allowed / game	85.9	83.8	88.5
Point differential	-1.0	+8.6	-13.0
Avg total	170.8	176.2	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	60%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	20%	0%

Geelong

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	56%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	56%	60%	50%
Points / game	84.4	88.6	79.2
Allowed / game	82.4	87.0	76.8
Point differential	+2.0	+1.6	+2.5
Avg total	166.9	175.6	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	40%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	7	7	0	100%	96.4	75.4	+21.0
2	Kilsyth	8	6	2	75%	88.1	83.4	+4.8
3	Nunawading	8	5	3	62%	90.9	82.2	+8.6
4	Bendigo Braves	8	5	3	62%	85.9	81.5	+4.4
5	Waverley	8	5	3	62%	91.0	89.0	+2.0
6	Dandenong	9	5	4	56%	89.3	83.8	+5.6
7	Geelong	9	5	4	56%	84.4	82.4	+2.0
8	NW Tasmania	9	5	4	56%	93.0	93.4	-0.4
9	Melbourne Tigers	9	5	4	56%	84.9	85.9	-1.0
10	Frankston	8	4	4	50%	86.1	86.5	-0.4
11	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	8	4	4	50%	91.8	96.0	-4.2
12	BA CoE	9	4	5	44%	84.6	86.9	-2.3
13	Knox	7	3	4	43%	78.7	79.1	-0.4
14	Hobart Huskies	8	3	5	38%	89.4	92.8	-3.4
15	Ringwood	8	2	6	25%	90.6	97.2	-6.6
16	Diamond Valley	8	2	6	25%	83.2	90.1	-6.9
17	Southern Sabres	8	2	6	25%	88.6	99.0	-10.4
18	Eltham	9	2	7	22%	87.1	96.1	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne Tigers	16	17	16	23	72
Geelong	22	15	17	12	66

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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