Ballarat vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jul 2019

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 78-86

14-27 24-25 17-16 23-18

Position#1

Record16-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game90.8

Allowed / game75.7

Ballarat

Melbourne Tigers 🏆

Position#6

Record10-8

FormWLLLW

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game85.6

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne Tigers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#18

100-66

100

+34

A26/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

101-79

101

+22

H01/06

NBL 1

Frankston

80-87

-7

A02/06

NBL 1

Geelong

66-62

A15/06

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

88-84

A22/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

103-93

103

+10

H23/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

79-73

H29/06

NBL 1

Geelong

97-69

+28

H03/07

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

89-60

+29

H06/07

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

77-90

-13

H13/07

NBL 1

28-19

29-15

22-11

21-21

22-17

23-18

25-20

31-24

21-25

20-27

21-18

18-17

18-14

20-21

17-12

11-15

28-25

21-25

21-19

18-15

22-23

31-34

25-17

25-19

24-22

18-28

19-18

18-5

23-17

24-12

20-19

30-21

28-18

17-14

19-15

25-13

18-23

21-21

23-23

15-23

164.3Avg total

88.0Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	90.8	75.7	166.5	+15.2	84%
Season at home (9)	90.1	77.4	167.6	+12.7	78%
Season away (10)	91.5	74.1	165.6	+17.4	90%
Last 10 (10)	88.0	76.3	164.3	+11.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	77.0	166.0	+12.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.0	88.5	166.5	-10.5	50%
vs Similar (3)	100.3	91.0	191.3	+9.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	91.1	77.7	168.8	+13.4	80%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ringwood

#16

97-82

+15

H12/05

NBL 1

Geelong

72-66

H18/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

98-85

+13

H26/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

104-91

104

+13

H02/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

80-81

-1

A16/06

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

96-61

+35

H22/06

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

82-90 OT

-8

A28/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

81-102

102

-21

A29/06

NBL 1

Frankston

98-99

-1

A06/07

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

94-93

H14/07

NBL 1

26-18

24-26

27-20

20-18

16-22

17-15

16-17

23-12

26-24

27-19

26-25

19-17

28-30

23-19

27-20

26-22

17-20

23-22

23-20

17-19

25-11

17-18

29-15

25-17

19-12

18-21

15-19

23-23

16-26

16-22

19-26

30-28

20-24

26-28

25-29

27-18

31-14

14-24

27-26

22-29

175.2Avg total

90.2Scored

85.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	87.2	85.6	172.8	+1.6	56%
Season at home (10)	92.6	81.5	174.1	+11.1	90%
Season away (8)	80.4	90.8	171.1	-10.4	12%
Last 10 (10)	90.2	85.0	175.2	+5.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	89.0	179.2	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	77.2	89.2	166.4	-11.9	25%
vs Similar (11)	81.7	85.7	167.5	-4.0	45%
vs Weaker (7)	96.1	83.1	179.3	+13.0	86%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratMelbourne Tigers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	19.7	43.6	+4.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	19.8	43.9	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.7	19.6	43.3	+4.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	25.5	46.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.0	23.7	48.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	24.1	18.7	42.8	+5.4	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.1	42.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.7	20.4	45.1	+4.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.5	22.4	45.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	25.5	42.5	-8.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	17.3	40.3	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.0	20.5	43.5	+2.5	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.6	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	24.4	43.2	-5.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.4	23.2	39.7	-6.8	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	57%	-

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#18

57-34

+23

A26/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

45-35

+10

H01/06

NBL 1

Frankston

41-52

-11

A02/06

NBL 1

Geelong

38-35

A15/06

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

49-50

-1

A22/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

53-57

-4

H23/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

42-50

-8

H29/06

NBL 1

Geelong

47-29

+18

H03/07

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

45-32

+13

H06/07

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

39-44

-5

H13/07

NBL 1

87.4Avg total

45.6Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	40.2	86.7	+6.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.9	38.6	84.6	+7.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.2	41.9	89.1	+5.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	41.8	87.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	42.4	87.6	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	51.0	88.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	48.0	41.0	89.0	+7.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	47.1	39.2	86.3	+7.9	68%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ringwood

#16

50-44

H12/05

NBL 1

Geelong

33-37

-4

H18/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

53-43

+10

H26/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

51-49

H02/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

40-42

-2

A16/06

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

42-29

+13

H22/06

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

37-33

A28/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

32-48

-16

A29/06

NBL 1

Frankston

46-52

-6

A06/07

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

45-38

H14/07

NBL 1

84.4Avg total

42.9Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	42.8	82.6	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.5	40.9	82.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	45.4	82.8	-7.9	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	41.5	84.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.0	43.3	79.3	-7.3	8%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.8	44.1	82.9	-5.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (7)	47.7	40.0	87.7	+7.7	100%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	12.0	33.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	26.0	20.7	46.7	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.8	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.4	44.0	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.1	21.9	46.1	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.5	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.7	45.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.1	23.9	45.0	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.9	20.3	43.1	+2.6	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.6	42.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.2	38.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	25.5	45.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.3	23.7	47.0	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	18.9	40.1	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	22.9	44.0	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	23.0	48.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	20.1	42.4	+2.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	38.8	83.0	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.9	39.4	85.2	+6.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.2	38.1	80.4	+4.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	34.5	76.9	+7.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	34.6	78.4	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	37.5	78.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	49.3	44.3	93.7	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.8	38.2	82.1	+5.6	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	43.0	85.8	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.2	40.9	86.1	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	45.8	85.4	-6.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	42.0	88.6	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	46.0	94.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.2	45.8	87.1	-4.6	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.9	41.6	84.5	+1.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.1	40.4	85.6	+4.7	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

Melbourne Tigers wins

Date	Game	Score
27/05/17	Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers	99-83
20/05/17	Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat	55-86
31/07/16	Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers	118-87
08/05/16	Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat	82-103

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/07/19	H	Waverley	77-90
06/07/19	H	Hobart Huskies	89-60
03/07/19	H	Geelong	97-69
29/06/19	H	Diamond Valley	79-73
23/06/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	103-93
22/06/19	A	Bendigo Braves	88-84
15/06/19	A	Geelong	66-62
02/06/19	A	Frankston	80-87
01/06/19	H	Ringwood	101-79
26/05/19	A	Southern Sabres	100-66

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/07/19	H	Hobart Huskies	94-93
06/07/19	A	Frankston	98-99
29/06/19	A	Hobart Huskies	81-102
28/06/19	A	NW Tasmania	82-90 OT
22/06/19	H	BA CoE	96-61
16/06/19	A	Nunawading	80-81
02/06/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	104-91
26/05/19	H	Knox	98-85
18/05/19	H	Geelong	72-66
12/05/19	H	Ringwood	97-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	84%
Home	WWWWL	78%
Away	WWLWW	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	84%	78%	90%
Points / game	90.8	90.1	91.5
Allowed / game	75.7	77.4	74.1
Point differential	+15.2	+12.7	+17.4
Avg total	166.5	167.6	165.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	56%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Melbourne Tigers

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	56%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	LLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	56%	90%	12%
Points / game	87.2	92.6	80.4
Allowed / game	85.6	81.5	90.8
Point differential	+1.6	+11.1	-10.4
Avg total	172.8	174.1	171.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	60%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	50% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	11%	10%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	19	16	3	84%	90.8	75.7	+15.2
2	Nunawading	19	13	6	68%	92.5	84.1	+8.5
3	Frankston	19	13	6	68%	94.1	88.1	+5.9
4	Kilsyth	20	12	8	60%	85.8	84.1	+1.7
5	Geelong	20	12	8	60%	80.8	79.8	+1.1
6	Melbourne Tigers	18	10	8	56%	87.2	85.6	+1.6
7	Bendigo Braves	20	11	9	55%	84.6	82.6	+2.0
8	Dandenong	19	10	9	53%	90.6	87.1	+3.6
9	Hobart Huskies	20	10	10	50%	87.2	88.3	-1.1
10	Waverley	20	10	10	50%	88.3	90.1	-1.8
11	Diamond Valley	20	9	11	45%	86.4	88.2	-1.8
12	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	19	8	11	42%	92.6	95.5	-2.9
13	NW Tasmania	20	8	12	40%	84.9	88.0	-3.0
14	BA CoE	20	8	12	40%	83.0	86.8	-3.8
15	Knox	19	7	12	37%	80.2	83.5	-3.4
16	Eltham	18	6	12	33%	85.8	90.6	-4.8
17	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	89.6	94.5	-4.9
18	Southern Sabres	19	5	14	26%	87.3	98.9	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ballarat	14	24	17	23	78
Melbourne Tigers	27	25	16	18	86

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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