PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Melbourne Tigers W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 49-87
12-12 16-22 5-33 16-20
Position#18
Record3-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game56.7
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#5
Record12-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game73.6
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 13
Women2022
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Geelong W
24 Jul 2022
MELB49
GEEL87
18 May 2019
MELB74
GEEL92
01 Apr 2017
MELB62
GEEL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A21/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H22/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
43-74
43
74
-31
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H19/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A25/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
47-71
47
71
-24
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H03/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H10/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A17/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
12-8
18-19
18-27
18-11
12-21
8-11
18-19
13-25
5-23
12-13
13-13
18-22
14-12
26-22
20-16
15-10
17-21
17-28
16-20
16-12
14-22
17-16
12-21
11-11
7-25
11-14
18-21
13-14
6-13
21-12
20-11
16-24
14-28
14-15
29-18
10-24
12-11
13-24
15-12
131.8Avg total
60.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)56.773.0129.7-16.320%
Season at home (7)58.970.3129.1-11.429%
Season away (8)54.975.4130.2-20.512%
Last 10 (10)60.171.7131.8-11.620%
Last 5 (5)57.869.6127.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)57.974.5132.4-16.520%
vs Similar (4)71.878.0149.8-6.250%
vs Weaker (11)87.170.9158.0+16.264%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#15
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
94-66
94
66
+28
A19/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
109-90
109
90
+19
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
26-14
20-7
20-20
24-20
26-9
15-14
12-29
31-21
22-12
23-18
18-15
15-15
21-20
16-20
21-22
18-31
16-16
27-22
9-23
21-21
23-10
16-21
27-20
24-22
28-27
26-20
31-21
31-14
19-22
23-18
22-19
32-17
20-12
23-20
14-13
26-20
14-18
15-18
14-17
158.2Avg total
84.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.173.6156.6+9.571%
Season at home (9)80.674.7155.2+5.967%
Season away (8)85.972.4158.2+13.575%
Last 10 (10)84.973.3158.2+11.670%
Last 5 (5)89.874.0163.8+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.079.5155.5-3.533%
vs Similar (9)75.377.1152.4-1.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.369.3158.5+20.087%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
Melbourne Tigers WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H22/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H19/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H03/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H10/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A17/07
NBL1 South Women
63.0Avg total
26.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.839.473.1-5.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.339.572.8-6.340%-
Last 30 away (15)34.339.273.5-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)26.536.563.0-10.010%-
Last 5 (5)23.836.860.6-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)26.139.265.3-13.113%-
vs Similar (4)34.239.073.2-4.825%-
vs Weaker (11)44.139.783.8+4.455%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A19/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
81.3Avg total
45.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.136.680.6+7.583%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.436.781.1+7.888%-
Last 30 away (13)43.636.480.0+7.277%-
Last 10 (10)45.735.681.3+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)47.636.684.2+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.039.881.8+2.250%-
vs Similar (9)38.936.875.7+2.178%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.335.083.3+13.3100%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Melbourne Tigers W wins
3
Geelong W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/07/22AWaverley W50-71
10/07/22HKeilor Thunder W73-85
03/07/22HDiamond Valley W60-50
29/06/22ARingwood W47-71
25/06/22AKilsyth W59-71
19/06/22HLaunceston W65-79
04/06/22AKeilor Thunder W78-72
28/05/22AMt. Gambier W43-74
22/05/22HSandringham W56-62
21/05/22ABallarat W70-82
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/07/22HHobart Chargers W69-73
16/07/22ADandenong Rangers W89-62
10/07/22AKilsyth W95-73
09/07/22HWaverley W109-90
02/07/22ASandringham W87-72
01/07/22HBendigo W70-92
25/06/22HLaunceston W73-77
19/06/22ADiamond Valley W94-66
04/06/22HBallarat W77-72
28/05/22HFrankston W86-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWLLWL29%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%29%12%
Points / game56.758.954.9
Allowed / game73.070.375.4
Point differential-16.3-11.4-20.5
Avg total129.7129.1130.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWLLWL67%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game83.180.685.9
Allowed / game73.674.772.4
Point differential+9.5+5.9+13.5
Avg total156.6155.2158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1816289%88.670.9+17.7
2 Ringwood W1815383%75.460.3+15.1
3 Mt. Gambier W1714382%77.567.1+10.4
4 Geelong W1712571%83.173.6+9.5
5 Launceston W1913668%81.773.4+8.3
6 Nunawading W1711665%78.968.6+10.3
7 Waverley W1610662%74.075.1-1.1
8 Knox W1811761%72.861.1+11.7
9 Ballarat W1710759%76.972.7+4.2
10 Casey Cavaliers W179853%79.676.1+3.5
11 Keilor Thunder W189950%75.677.7-2.2
12 Eltham W1771041%75.477.6-2.3
13 Kilsyth W1871139%69.074.3-5.3
14 Sandringham W1871139%73.880.7-6.8
15 Frankston W1841422%67.474.9-7.5
16 Dandenong Rangers W1841422%70.283.7-13.5
17 Hobart Chargers W1941521%63.177.8-14.7
18 Melbourne Tigers W1531220%56.773.0-16.3
19 Diamond Valley W191185%63.784.0-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W121651649
Geelong W1222332087
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.