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Melbourne Tigers W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 73-85
16-24 14-28 14-15 29-18
Position#18
Record3-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game56.0
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#11
Record6-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game81.2
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 11
Women2022
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Keilor Thunder W
06 Jun 2025
MELB80
KEIL91
01 Jun 2024
MELB70
KEIL77
10 Jul 2022
MELB73
KEIL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#7
L
48-85
48
85
-37
H08/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A21/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H22/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
43-74
43
74
-31
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H19/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A25/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
47-71
47
71
-24
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H03/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
4-28
16-17
16-12
13-14
22-8
16-13
18-16
22-28
12-8
18-19
18-27
18-11
12-21
8-11
18-19
13-25
5-23
12-13
13-13
18-22
14-12
26-22
20-16
15-10
17-21
17-28
16-20
16-12
14-22
17-16
12-21
11-11
7-25
11-14
18-21
13-14
6-13
21-12
20-11
129.2Avg total
59.5Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)56.072.2128.2-16.223%
Season at home (6)56.567.8124.3-11.333%
Season away (7)55.676.0131.6-20.414%
Last 10 (10)59.569.7129.2-10.230%
Last 5 (5)61.868.6130.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)57.473.9131.3-16.523%
vs Similar (5)73.279.2152.4-6.040%
vs Weaker (12)88.371.2159.6+17.167%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
60-93
60
93
-33
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A29/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
20-23
16-20
10-33
30-20
13-20
23-15
19-22
19-28
14-24
16-15
16-16
26-26
22-15
13-16
24-18
15-15
29-20
19-18
21-24
22-18
12-14
22-26
16-20
14-28
15-18
13-15
19-13
27-18
17-22
19-16
28-20
12-21
24-28
24-17
25-14
18-24
17-22
25-18
19-25
156.9Avg total
76.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.481.2156.6-5.943%
Season at home (7)77.480.7158.1-3.357%
Season away (7)73.381.7155.0-8.429%
Last 10 (10)76.780.2156.9-3.550%
Last 5 (5)77.679.4157.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.286.8158.0-15.512%
vs Similar (2)84.578.5163.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.071.5150.5+7.575%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
Melbourne Tigers WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#7
L
16-56
16
56
-40
H08/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H22/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H19/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H03/07
NBL1 South Women
62.0Avg total
26.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.838.873.6-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.438.372.7-3.947%-
Last 30 away (15)35.139.374.4-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)26.435.662.0-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)26.232.458.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)26.138.564.6-12.515%-
vs Similar (5)34.438.472.8-4.020%-
vs Weaker (12)44.339.283.6+5.158%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A29/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
80.1Avg total
38.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)38.144.182.2-6.136%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.141.180.3-2.057%-
Last 30 away (7)37.047.184.1-10.114%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.180.1-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.642.678.2-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.148.085.1-10.912%-
vs Similar (2)40.042.082.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.037.576.5+1.575%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Melbourne Tigers W wins
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateGameScore
04/06/22Keilor Thunder W v Melbourne Tigers W72-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/22HDiamond Valley W60-50
29/06/22ARingwood W47-71
25/06/22AKilsyth W59-71
19/06/22HLaunceston W65-79
04/06/22AKeilor Thunder W78-72
28/05/22AMt. Gambier W43-74
22/05/22HSandringham W56-62
21/05/22ABallarat W70-82
15/05/22HHobart Chargers W69-51
08/05/22HNunawading W48-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/22ABallarat W79-89
02/07/22HKilsyth W85-80
26/06/22HHobart Chargers W91-76
18/06/22ARingwood W61-74
04/06/22HMelbourne Tigers W72-78
29/05/22AWaverley W84-77
28/05/22HBallarat W85-75
22/05/22ANunawading W65-83
21/05/22HDandenong Rangers W85-77
15/05/22HMt. Gambier W60-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW23%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game56.056.555.6
Allowed / game72.267.876.0
Point differential-16.2-11.3-20.4
Avg total128.2124.3131.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game75.477.473.3
Allowed / game81.280.781.7
Point differential-5.9-3.3-8.4
Avg total156.6158.1155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1412286%86.570.4+16.1
2 Mt. Gambier W1412286%77.965.8+12.1
3 Ringwood W1512380%73.959.5+14.3
4 Nunawading W1511473%79.967.3+12.5
5 Geelong W1511473%83.674.4+9.2
6 Launceston W1510567%81.574.9+6.6
7 Knox W159660%74.761.6+13.1
8 Ballarat W159660%76.871.3+5.5
9 Casey Cavaliers W148657%79.473.9+5.6
10 Waverley W137654%74.279.7-5.5
11 Kilsyth W167944%69.273.2-4.0
12 Sandringham W146843%73.677.4-3.9
13 Keilor Thunder W146843%75.481.2-5.9
14 Eltham W145936%75.178.7-3.6
15 Frankston W1441029%68.473.7-5.4
16 Melbourne Tigers W1331023%56.072.2-16.2
17 Dandenong Rangers W1531220%69.584.5-15.1
18 Hobart Chargers W141137%60.979.8-18.9
19 Diamond Valley W151147%63.182.6-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W1614142973
Keilor Thunder W2428151885
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