Melbourne United vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 87-86

22-25 26-18 14-25 25-18

Position#2

Record8-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.8

Allowed / game78.9

Melbourne United 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#4

Record4-3

FormLLWWW

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game81.0

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

91-88

A20/02

NBL

Sydney

95-92

H22/02

NBL

Townsville

99-84

+15

A09/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-81

+12

H11/10

NBL

Adelaide

84-75

H16/10

NBL

Townsville

93-62

+31

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

89-80

H24/10

NBL

Perth

75-73

H29/10

NBL

Sydney

96-82

+14

H01/11

NBL

Sydney

105-94

105

+11

A05/11

NBL

26-32

19-23

29-17

17-16

22-20

26-31

28-19

19-22

28-19

15-23

29-21

27-21

27-22

26-23

16-18

24-18

21-22

23-20

22-17

18-16

25-13

30-15

24-17

14-17

31-27

15-11

22-20

21-22

25-19

17-25

23-15

10-14

34-17

16-20

26-20

20-25

22-16

24-25

34-26

25-27

173.1Avg total

92.0Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	91.8	78.9	170.6	+12.9	100%
Season at home (6)	88.3	75.5	163.8	+12.8	100%
Season away (2)	102.0	89.0	191.0	+13.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.0	81.1	173.1	+10.9	100%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	78.2	169.8	+13.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	77.0	82.2	159.2	-5.2	33%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	87.8	84.8	172.6	+3.1	69%
vs Weaker (8)	92.9	84.4	177.2	+8.5	75%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

94-83

+11

A28/02

NBL

Cairns

86-71

+15

A06/03

NBL

Cairns

83-81

H08/03

NBL

Adelaide

71-90

-19

A07/10

NBL

Townsville

89-81

H11/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

75-96

-21

A14/10

NBL

Perth

80-83

-3

A16/10

NBL

Sydney

74-62

+12

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

90-67

+23

H28/10

NBL

Adelaide

98-88

+10

H05/11

NBL

28-25

21-14

24-30

28-17

22-17

11-26

25-11

23-17

21-22

14-20

25-22

17-19

9-32

24-19

21-20

29-17

19-21

18-16

23-27

19-32

21-27

12-15

23-22

18-18

22-18

18-27

22-20

23-14

15-18

13-12

23-18

21-16

21-21

20-12

28-18

23-24

25-25

18-20

32-19

164.2Avg total

84.0Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	82.4	81.0	163.4	+1.4	57%
Season at home (4)	87.8	74.5	162.2	+13.2	100%
Season away (3)	75.3	89.7	165.0	-14.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	80.2	164.2	+3.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	79.2	162.6	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	80.9	82.2	163.1	-1.2	54%
vs Weaker (17)	88.0	80.6	168.6	+7.4	82%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	21.8	45.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.7	21.7	46.4	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	21.9	44.2	+0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	20.7	46.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	18.4	45.8	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.5	20.6	46.1	+4.9	88%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	21.3	43.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.8	20.5	44.2	+3.3	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	23.3	42.5	-4.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.8	18.8	36.5	-1.0	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.5	35%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

45-55

-10

A20/02

NBL

Sydney

48-51

-3

H22/02

NBL

Townsville

43-42

A09/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-45

H11/10

NBL

Adelaide

44-42

H16/10

NBL

Townsville

55-28

+27

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

46-38

H24/10

NBL

Perth

42-44

-2

H29/10

NBL

Sydney

50-37

+13

H01/11

NBL

Sydney

46-41

A05/11

NBL

89.5Avg total

47.2Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	42.5	86.2	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.4	40.7	86.1	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.7	44.8	86.5	-3.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	42.3	89.5	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	37.6	85.4	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.0	45.5	85.5	-5.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	45.4	42.9	88.3	+2.6	69%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.2	39.4	82.6	+3.9	75%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

49-39

+10

A28/02

NBL

Cairns

50-34

+16

A06/03

NBL

Cairns

44-39

H08/03

NBL

Adelaide

26-51

-25

A07/10

NBL

Townsville

48-38

+10

H11/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

40-59

-19

A14/10

NBL

Perth

40-36

A16/10

NBL

Sydney

38-32

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

42-37

H28/10

NBL

Adelaide

48-49

-1

H05/11

NBL

83.9Avg total

42.5Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	42.3	85.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.5	42.5	87.0	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.3	42.1	83.4	-0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	41.4	83.9	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	42.6	84.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.2	43.2	83.3	-3.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	45.4	41.6	87.1	+3.8	65%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.7	41.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	19.5	41.1	+2.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	19.0	44.3	+6.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.6	45.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.8	21.8	46.5	+3.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	16.6	35.1	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.1	35.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.2	33.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	23%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	21.2	42.3	+0.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.8	21.8	44.5	+1.0	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.5	40.1	+1.0	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	20.7	45.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.4	45.0	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.2	18.1	40.2	+4.1	92%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.9	21.1	44.1	+1.8	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	40.6	82.6	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.2	41.2	84.3	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	38.8	83.6	+6.0	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.6	84.4	+3.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.0	36.7	73.7	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.0	40.7	81.7	+0.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	47.5	43.5	91.0	+4.0	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.0	78.6	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.6	36.6	79.3	+6.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	39.8	77.7	-2.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	38.8	80.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	36.6	78.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.2	37.5	76.7	+1.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (17)	41.6	38.4	80.1	+3.2	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/15	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	88-75
14/12/14	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	87-92
21/11/14	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	80-72
19/10/14	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	95-74
07/03/14	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	84-97
10/01/14	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	87-93
08/12/13	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	84-82
28/11/13	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	84-74
14/03/13	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	114-84
10/03/13	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	74-79

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/15	A	Sydney	105-94
01/11/15	H	Sydney	96-82
29/10/15	H	Perth	75-73
24/10/15	H	Cairns	89-80
21/10/15	H	Townsville	93-62
16/10/15	H	Adelaide	84-75
11/10/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-81
09/10/15	A	Townsville	99-84
22/02/15	H	Sydney	95-92
20/02/15	A	Sydney	91-88

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/15	H	Adelaide	98-88
28/10/15	H	Cairns	90-67
21/10/15	H	Sydney	74-62
16/10/15	A	Perth	80-83
14/10/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	75-96
11/10/15	H	Townsville	89-81
07/10/15	A	Adelaide	71-90
08/03/15	H	Cairns	83-81
06/03/15	A	Cairns	86-71
28/02/15	A	Adelaide	94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	6	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.8	88.3	102.0
Allowed / game	78.9	75.5	89.0
Point differential	+12.9	+12.8	+13.0
Avg total	170.6	163.8	191.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	57%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	57%	100%	0%
Points / game	82.4	87.8	75.3
Allowed / game	81.0	74.5	89.7
Point differential	+1.4	+13.2	-14.3
Avg total	163.4	162.2	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	75%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	8	8	0	100%	91.8	78.9	+12.9
2	Perth	8	5	3	62%	82.1	76.8	+5.4
3	New Zealand Breakers	7	4	3	57%	82.4	81.0	+1.4
4	Adelaide	8	4	4	50%	87.2	86.6	+0.6
5	Illawarra Hawks	8	4	4	50%	88.0	88.2	-0.2
6	Cairns	8	3	5	38%	80.0	87.4	-7.4
7	Townsville	10	3	7	30%	77.9	84.6	-6.7
8	Sydney	9	2	7	22%	83.7	87.3	-3.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	22	26	14	25	87
New Zealand Breakers	25	18	25	18	86

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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