Melbourne United vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2015

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 93-62

25-13 30-15 24-17 14-17

Position#2

Record3-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game92.0

Allowed / game80.0

Melbourne United 🏆

Townsville

Position#7

Record1-3

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game86.2

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Melbourne United v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

69-81

-12

H25/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-93

-11

A30/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

76-82

-6

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

62-84

-22

A13/02

NBL

Townsville

68-105

105

-37

A14/02

NBL

Sydney

91-88

A20/02

NBL

Sydney

95-92

H22/02

NBL

Townsville

99-84

+15

A09/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-81

+12

H11/10

NBL

Adelaide

84-75

H16/10

NBL

15-20

25-17

16-22

13-22

15-28

16-19

18-29

33-17

21-18

6-18

22-25

27-21

24-27

15-22

9-22

14-13

17-28

16-25

14-31

21-21

26-32

19-23

29-17

17-16

22-20

26-31

28-19

19-22

28-19

15-23

29-21

27-21

27-22

26-23

16-18

24-18

21-22

23-20

22-17

18-16

168.4Avg total

81.9Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	92.0	80.0	172.0	+12.0	100%
Season at home (2)	88.5	78.0	166.5	+10.5	100%
Season away (1)	99.0	84.0	183.0	+15.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	86.5	168.4	-4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	92.4	84.0	176.4	+8.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	79.3	83.1	162.4	-3.9	29%
vs Similar (18)	85.8	84.2	170.1	+1.6	61%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	89.6	86.4	176.0	+3.2	60%

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

81-69

+12

A25/01

NBL

Adelaide

77-84

-7

A01/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-71

H07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

105-68

105

+37

H14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-66

+16

H20/02

NBL

Perth

71-81

-10

A22/02

NBL

Melbourne United

84-99

-15

H09/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-89

-8

A11/10

NBL

Sydney

80-77

A15/10

NBL

Cairns

74-80

-6

A17/10

NBL

20-15

17-25

22-16

22-13

19-20

20-26

20-21

18-17

18-22

24-14

19-16

18-19

28-17

25-16

31-14

21-21

20-15

14-16

21-16

27-19

14-20

19-15

20-21

18-25

19-28

23-15

21-29

21-27

17-29

21-19

16-18

27-23

18-28

20-14

19-16

23-19

21-19

19-21

21-18

13-22

159.8Avg total

81.4Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	79.8	86.2	166.0	-6.5	25%
Season at home (1)	84.0	99.0	183.0	-15.0	0%
Season away (3)	78.3	82.0	160.3	-3.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	78.4	159.8	+3.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	85.2	163.2	-7.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	76.0	85.5	161.5	-9.5	0%
vs Similar (21)	84.5	83.5	168.0	+1.0	48%
vs Weaker (3)	88.3	77.0	165.3	+11.3	67%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	21.5	45.1	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.6	45.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.0	47.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.6	14%	-
vs Similar (18)	22.8	22.5	45.3	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.6	42.5	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	24.8	42.6	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	21.4	21.9	43.3	-0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.0	40.9	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.4	40.7	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.0	45.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	23.1	42.6	-3.7	57%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.1	20.4	41.6	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	15.8	20.2	36.0	-4.4	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (21)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	33%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

40-37

H25/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

31-47

-16

A30/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

27-36

-9

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

39-49

-10

A13/02

NBL

Townsville

33-53

-20

A14/02

NBL

Sydney

45-55

-10

A20/02

NBL

Sydney

48-51

-3

H22/02

NBL

Townsville

43-42

A09/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-45

H11/10

NBL

Adelaide

44-42

H16/10

NBL

86.0Avg total

40.3Scored

45.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	43.1	85.2	-1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	41.1	86.1	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	45.0	84.3	-5.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	45.7	86.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	47.0	93.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.0	44.3	84.3	-4.3	29%	-
vs Similar (18)	43.9	42.9	86.9	+1.0	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	38.4	41.8	80.2	-3.4	60%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

37-40

-3

A25/01

NBL

Adelaide

39-46

-7

A01/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-36

H07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

53-33

+20

H14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

34-31

H20/02

NBL

Perth

33-35

-2

A22/02

NBL

Melbourne United

42-43

-1

H09/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-48

-10

A11/10

NBL

Sydney

38-42

-4

A15/10

NBL

Cairns

40-40

A17/10

NBL

79.0Avg total

39.6Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	42.2	83.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	40.6	84.5	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	43.6	83.1	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.6	79.8	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.5	39.3	76.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (21)	42.8	43.6	86.4	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.7	38.3	79.0	+2.3	67%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	19.9	41.1	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.4	43.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	57%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	24.0	20.8	44.8	+3.2	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	19.6	42.1	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.5	39.8	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.7	23.5	41.2	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	18.7	42.3	+5.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.5	41.7	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.9	19.9	39.7	+0.0	57%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.8	22.7	43.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	40.2	81.8	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	40.7	82.3	+0.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	39.7	81.2	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	40.8	82.4	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	37.0	82.8	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.3	38.9	78.1	+0.4	57%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.7	40.2	80.9	+0.4	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	47.8	42.2	90.0	+5.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	40.6	82.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	40.1	84.2	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	41.1	80.5	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.6	83.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.5	46.2	84.7	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar (21)	41.6	39.3	81.0	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.7	38.7	86.3	+9.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
09/10/15	Townsville v Melbourne United	84-99
14/02/15	Townsville v Melbourne United	105-68
25/01/15	Melbourne United v Townsville	69-81
07/12/14	Melbourne United v Townsville	83-79
25/10/14	Townsville v Melbourne United	92-81
01/03/14	Melbourne United v Townsville	106-109 OT
03/01/14	Townsville v Melbourne United	77-95
14/12/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	71-76
24/11/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	75-90
24/03/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	78-70

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/10/15	H	Adelaide	84-75
11/10/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-81
09/10/15	A	Townsville	99-84
22/02/15	H	Sydney	95-92
20/02/15	A	Sydney	91-88
14/02/15	A	Townsville	68-105
13/02/15	A	Cairns	62-84
07/02/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	76-82
30/01/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	82-93
25/01/15	H	Townsville	69-81

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/10/15	A	Cairns	74-80
15/10/15	A	Sydney	80-77
11/10/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-89
09/10/15	H	Melbourne United	84-99
22/02/15	A	Perth	71-81
20/02/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	82-66
14/02/15	H	Melbourne United	105-68
07/02/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	79-71
01/02/15	A	Adelaide	77-84
25/01/15	A	Melbourne United	81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.0	88.5	99.0
Allowed / game	80.0	78.0	84.0
Point differential	+12.0	+10.5	+15.0
Avg total	172.0	166.5	183.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Townsville

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWL	25%
Home	L	0%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	25%	0%	33%
Points / game	79.8	84.0	78.3
Allowed / game	86.2	99.0	82.0
Point differential	-6.5	-15.0	-3.7
Avg total	166.0	183.0	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	3	3	0	100%	92.0	80.0	+12.0
2	Perth	2	2	0	100%	81.0	73.0	+8.0
3	Cairns	3	2	1	67%	74.0	78.3	-4.3
4	Illawarra Hawks	4	2	2	50%	87.8	83.2	+4.5
5	New Zealand Breakers	5	2	3	40%	77.8	82.4	-4.6
6	Adelaide	3	1	2	33%	77.0	78.0	-1.0
7	Sydney	4	1	3	25%	78.0	79.2	-1.2
8	Townsville	4	1	3	25%	79.8	86.2	-6.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	25	30	24	14	93
Townsville	13	15	17	17	62

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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