New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 98-88

23-24 25-25 18-20 32-19

Position#4

Record3-3

FormWLLWW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game79.8

New Zealand Breakers 🏆

Adelaide

Position#5

Record3-3

FormLLWWL

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game82.8

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

111-82

111

+29

H26/02

NBL

Adelaide

94-83

+11

A28/02

NBL

Cairns

86-71

+15

A06/03

NBL

Cairns

83-81

H08/03

NBL

Adelaide

71-90

-19

A07/10

NBL

Townsville

89-81

H11/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

75-96

-21

A14/10

NBL

Perth

80-83

-3

A16/10

NBL

Sydney

74-62

+12

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

90-67

+23

H28/10

NBL

31-25

25-16

33-15

22-26

28-25

21-14

24-30

28-17

22-17

11-26

25-11

23-17

21-22

14-20

25-22

17-19

9-32

24-19

21-20

29-17

19-21

18-16

23-27

19-32

21-27

12-15

23-22

18-18

22-18

18-27

22-20

23-14

15-18

13-12

23-18

21-16

21-21

20-12

28-18

164.9Avg total

85.3Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	79.8	79.8	159.7	+0.0	50%
Season at home (3)	84.3	70.0	154.3	+14.3	100%
Season away (3)	75.3	89.7	165.0	-14.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	79.6	164.9	+5.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	77.8	159.4	+3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	80.1	81.5	161.6	-1.5	54%
vs Weaker (17)	88.0	80.6	168.6	+7.4	82%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

101-94

101

H20/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

105-85

105

+20

A22/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

82-111

111

-29

A26/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

83-94

-11

H28/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

90-71

+19

H07/10

NBL

Perth

66-79

-13

H10/10

NBL

Melbourne United

75-84

-9

A16/10

NBL

Cairns

88-79

H22/10

NBL

Sydney

91-80

+11

A23/10

NBL

Cairns

101-104

101

104

-3

H31/10

NBL

19-20

29-31

22-16

31-27

30-14

27-22

20-28

28-21

25-31

16-25

15-33

26-22

25-28

14-21

30-24

19-17

32-9

19-24

20-21

28-26

15-13

10-14

13-26

22-21

20-23

17-22

16-18

28-23

26-20

13-22

21-14

17-22

29-21

27-17

18-20

25-26

18-23

25-27

33-28

176.3Avg total

88.2Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.2	82.8	168.0	+2.3	50%
Season at home (4)	86.2	83.2	169.5	+3.0	50%
Season away (2)	83.0	82.0	165.0	+1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.2	88.1	176.3	+0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	85.2	169.4	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	81.5	87.6	169.1	-6.1	38%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	89.2	89.1	178.3	+0.1	56%
vs Weaker (4)	92.0	82.0	174.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.6	43.5	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	20.0	43.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.6	20.8	42.5	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.8	20.5	44.2	+3.3	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	22.9	46.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	22.4	44.7	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	23.4	48.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.6	47.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	24.1	24.8	48.9	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	22.7	22.7	45.4	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.9	42.8	+0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	21.9	40.7	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.5	35%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	20.9	39.2	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	23.7	21.8	45.5	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	19.2	41.5	+3.0	75%	-

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

56-41

+15

H26/02

NBL

Adelaide

49-39

+10

A28/02

NBL

Cairns

50-34

+16

A06/03

NBL

Cairns

44-39

H08/03

NBL

Adelaide

26-51

-25

A07/10

NBL

Townsville

48-38

+10

H11/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

40-59

-19

A14/10

NBL

Perth

40-36

A16/10

NBL

Sydney

38-32

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

42-37

H28/10

NBL

83.9Avg total

43.3Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	42.0	85.3	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.3	42.1	86.4	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.0	42.0	84.0	+0.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	40.6	83.9	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	40.4	82.0	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.4	42.5	82.9	-2.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	45.4	41.6	87.1	+3.8	65%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

48-51

-3

H20/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

57-36

+21

A22/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-56

-15

A26/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-49

-10

H28/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-26

+25

H07/10

NBL

Perth

43-39

H10/10

NBL

Melbourne United

42-44

-2

A16/10

NBL

Cairns

54-43

+11

H22/10

NBL

Sydney

46-43

A23/10

NBL

Cairns

43-49

-6

H31/10

NBL

90.0Avg total

46.4Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	44.1	89.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	42.7	87.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.9	45.7	91.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	43.6	90.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	43.6	89.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.5	45.6	88.1	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	46.4	44.5	90.9	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.2	39.2	86.5	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	16.4	34.9	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.4	32.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.5	23%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.4	42.6	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.4	40.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	20.1	43.8	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.5	18.4	39.8	+3.1	85%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.9	21.1	44.1	+1.8	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.2	43.3	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.1	45.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.8	22.1	43.9	-0.2	39%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.0	78.1	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	36.5	78.7	+5.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	39.8	77.5	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.0	81.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.4	77.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.1	37.5	75.6	+0.5	23%	-
vs Weaker (17)	41.6	38.4	80.1	+3.2	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	43.5	85.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	43.2	83.9	-2.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.7	43.9	86.6	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	44.5	86.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.6	80.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.5	41.4	78.9	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	42.8	44.6	87.4	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.8	42.8	87.5	+2.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
07/10/15	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	90-71
28/02/15	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	83-94
26/02/15	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	111-82
12/02/15	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	88-93
04/01/15	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	74-81
02/11/14	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	93-86
17/10/14	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	101-80
23/02/14	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	96-92
04/01/14	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	99-73
15/11/13	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	94-95

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/15	H	Cairns	90-67
21/10/15	H	Sydney	74-62
16/10/15	A	Perth	80-83
14/10/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	75-96
11/10/15	H	Townsville	89-81
07/10/15	A	Adelaide	71-90
08/03/15	H	Cairns	83-81
06/03/15	A	Cairns	86-71
28/02/15	A	Adelaide	94-83
26/02/15	H	Adelaide	111-82

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/15	H	Cairns	101-104
23/10/15	A	Sydney	91-80
22/10/15	H	Cairns	88-79
16/10/15	A	Melbourne United	75-84
10/10/15	H	Perth	66-79
07/10/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	90-71
28/02/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	83-94
26/02/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	82-111
22/02/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	105-85
20/02/15	H	Perth	101-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	50%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	79.8	84.3	75.3
Allowed / game	79.8	70.0	89.7
Point differential	+0.0	+14.3	-14.3
Avg total	159.7	154.3	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	50%
Home	WLWL	50%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	85.2	86.2	83.0
Allowed / game	82.8	83.2	82.0
Point differential	+2.3	+3.0	+1.0
Avg total	168.0	169.5	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	25%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	7	7	0	100%	89.9	76.7	+13.1
2	Perth	7	4	3	57%	81.7	76.7	+5.0
3	Adelaide	6	3	3	50%	85.2	82.8	+2.3
4	New Zealand Breakers	6	3	3	50%	79.8	79.8	+0.0
5	Illawarra Hawks	7	3	4	43%	86.9	88.3	-1.4
6	Cairns	7	3	4	43%	78.9	86.1	-7.3
7	Townsville	9	3	6	33%	78.0	84.6	-6.6
8	Sydney	7	2	5	29%	80.1	83.1	-3.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	23	25	18	32	98
Adelaide	24	25	20	19	88

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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