Melbourne United vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 98-74

20-20 28-18 22-13 28-23

Position#6

Record5-7

FormLLLWW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game83.0

Melbourne United 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#5

Record6-7

FormWWLLL

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game87.2

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

98-87

+11

A14/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

95-83

+12

H16/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

78-70

H20/10

NBL

Perth

69-72

-3

H23/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

76-83

-7

A27/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

92-98 OT

-6

H04/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

73-82

-9

A06/11

NBL

Sydney

71-87

-16

H12/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

84-79

H18/11

NBL

Sydney

95-92

H26/11

NBL

23-22

32-17

25-22

18-26

20-25

26-20

29-18

20-20

12-16

29-10

16-20

21-24

15-10

23-24

14-22

17-16

20-19

17-30

17-16

22-18

17-27

23-14

30-21

13-21

20-21

10-20

20-12

23-29

29-29

15-20

15-14

12-24

20-12

16-10

28-35

20-22

26-22

23-20

21-22

25-28

166.4Avg total

83.1Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	81.8	83.0	164.8	-1.2	42%
Season at home (8)	82.9	83.5	166.4	-0.6	50%
Season away (4)	79.5	82.0	161.5	-2.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	83.3	166.4	-0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	87.6	170.6	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	88.7	95.0	183.7	-6.3	67%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	81.4	86.5	167.9	-5.1	33%
vs Weaker (6)	84.3	75.3	159.7	+9.0	83%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

82-88

-6

A22/10

NBL

Adelaide

119-93

119

+26

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

98-92 OT

A04/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

86-70

+16

H06/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

79-86

-7

H11/11

NBL

Perth

87-86 OT

A13/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

100-85

100

+15

H18/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

78-109

109

-31

A20/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

80-91

-11

A27/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-95

-4

H02/12

NBL

17-26

20-24

26-14

19-24

35-19

27-24

30-25

27-25

27-17

14-23

21-30

21-13

22-23

27-17

16-21

21-9

22-17

18-22

22-20

17-27

19-21

27-20

17-19

16-19

33-16

24-22

23-31

20-16

20-26

24-30

20-27

14-26

18-25

20-28

19-12

23-26

24-29

16-26

23-23

28-17

179.5Avg total

90.0Scored

89.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	86.7	87.2	173.8	-0.5	46%
Season at home (7)	89.9	84.6	174.4	+5.3	57%
Season away (6)	83.0	90.2	173.2	-7.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	89.5	179.5	+0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	93.2	180.4	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.0	80.5	160.5	-0.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	85.0	84.0	169.1	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker (6)	79.0	80.5	159.5	-1.5	50%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.7	22.7	48.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.8	42.5	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	20.9	44.4	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	21.9	45.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	22.4	20.5	43.0	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	21.3	40.7	-2.0	17%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.4	42.5	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	18.1	42.2	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.8	34.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	26.7	47.0	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (6)	27.0	16.2	43.2	+10.8	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.0	42.1	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	21.2	43.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	22.8	41.1	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.6	45.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	25.2	47.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.3	41%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	19.3	38.2	-0.5	50%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

55-39

+16

A14/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-45

H16/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

41-26

+15

H20/10

NBL

Perth

38-34

H23/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

37-49

-12

A27/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-41

-1

H04/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

30-41

-11

A06/11

NBL

Sydney

44-49

-5

H12/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

36-22

+14

H18/11

NBL

Sydney

49-42

H26/11

NBL

80.4Avg total

41.6Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	42.3	85.6	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	40.3	84.6	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	44.4	86.7	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	38.8	80.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	39.0	78.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	46.0	49.3	95.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	41.8	42.7	84.5	-0.9	48%	-
vs Weaker (6)	47.2	37.7	84.8	+9.5	100%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

37-50

-13

A22/10

NBL

Adelaide

62-43

+19

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

41-40

A04/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-40

H06/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

40-39

H11/11

NBL

Perth

46-41

A13/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

57-38

+19

H18/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

44-56

-12

A20/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

38-53

-15

A27/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

40-55

-15

H02/12

NBL

90.9Avg total

45.4Scored

45.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	42.8	84.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.5	42.1	87.6	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	43.4	82.0	-4.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	45.5	90.9	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	48.6	93.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	42.9	43.3	86.1	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.2	40.7	78.8	-2.5	33%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.1	37.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.6	48%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.2	43.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	13.5	33.5	+6.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.0	19.6	39.5	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	22.8	41.1	-4.4	13%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	23.3	41.3	-5.4	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.8	41.9	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.8	43.4	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	24.7	45.3	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.4	23.0	41.3	-4.6	19%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.2	21.2	38.3	-4.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.7	40.8	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	42.1	80.9	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	42.9	82.6	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	41.4	79.2	-3.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	43.0	83.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	45.6	87.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	44.3	83.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	39.1	43.1	82.2	-4.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.2	37.7	74.8	-0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	39.0	79.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	37.6	78.9	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	40.2	79.8	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	42.4	84.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	43.2	83.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	33.0	68.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	40.8	39.3	80.1	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.8	39.8	80.7	+1.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/16	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	92-98 OT
07/10/16	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	76-71
20/02/16	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	91-78
18/02/16	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	82-91
14/02/16	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	68-70
12/02/16	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	100-63
22/11/15	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	80-69
08/11/15	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	87-86
18/01/15	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	88-75
14/12/14	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	87-92

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/16	H	Sydney	95-92
18/11/16	H	Cairns Taipans	84-79
12/11/16	H	Sydney	71-87
06/11/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	73-82
04/11/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	92-98 OT
27/10/16	A	Cairns Taipans	76-83
23/10/16	H	Perth	69-72
20/10/16	H	Brisbane Bullets	78-70
16/10/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	95-83
14/10/16	A	Adelaide	98-87

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-95
27/11/16	A	Cairns Taipans	80-91
20/11/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	78-109
18/11/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	100-85
13/11/16	A	Perth	87-86 OT
11/11/16	H	Cairns Taipans	79-86
06/11/16	H	Brisbane Bullets	86-70
04/11/16	A	Melbourne United	98-92 OT
29/10/16	H	Adelaide	119-93
22/10/16	A	Brisbane Bullets	82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	42%
Home	LLLWW	50%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	8	4
Win %	42%	50%	25%
Points / game	81.8	82.9	79.5
Allowed / game	83.0	83.5	82.0
Point differential	-1.2	-0.6	-2.5
Avg total	164.8	166.4	161.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	12%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	12%	0%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	46%
Home	WWLWL	57%
Away	LWWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	46%	57%	33%
Points / game	86.7	89.9	83.0
Allowed / game	87.2	84.6	90.2
Point differential	-0.5	+5.3	-7.2
Avg total	173.8	174.4	173.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	43%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	15%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	14	8	6	57%	82.7	79.8	+2.9
2	Illawarra Hawks	13	7	6	54%	88.0	85.8	+2.2
3	Brisbane Bullets	13	7	6	54%	83.1	82.2	+0.9
4	Cairns Taipans	12	6	6	50%	80.2	80.4	-0.2
5	Adelaide	12	6	6	50%	90.2	94.0	-3.8
6	New Zealand Breakers	13	6	7	46%	86.7	87.2	-0.5
7	Perth	13	6	7	46%	81.2	82.0	-0.8
8	Melbourne United	12	5	7	42%	81.8	83.0	-1.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	20	28	22	28	98
New Zealand Breakers	20	18	13	23	74

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature