Melilla vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 76-65

22-8 20-20 15-19 19-18

Position#16

Record6-8

FormLWWLW

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game77.5

Melilla 🏆

Castello

Position#15

Record4-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game86.2

Primera FEBRound 15

Other2023-24

Meetings · Melilla v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMelilla

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

62-96

-34

59avg 69

A01/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

69-73

-4

62avg 69

H05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

79-71

80avg 69

A11/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

79-92

-13

79avg 69

H17/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

64-62

60avg 69

A24/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

69-75

-6

63avg 69

A29/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

83-73

+10

81avg 69

H03/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

65-59

55avg 69

A09/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

80-81

-1

77avg 69

H15/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

76-73

67avg 69

A20/12

Primera FEB

21-19

14-20

21-31

6-26

14-17

17-15

17-25

21-16

19-23

26-15

21-17

13-16

14-28

20-28

21-23

24-13

23-19

8-11

19-18

14-14

20-23

18-18

12-19

19-15

17-13

22-26

21-11

23-23

24-14

13-24

15-8

13-13

17-23

18-22

24-16

21-20

14-16

19-17

27-16

16-24

148.1Avg total

72.6Scored

75.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	73.8	77.5	151.3	-3.7	43%
Season at home (6)	76.5	82.2	158.7	-5.7	17%
Season away (8)	71.8	74.0	145.8	-2.2	62%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	75.5	148.1	-2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	72.2	146.8	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	74.4	87.3	161.7	-12.9	12%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	79.0	77.7	156.7	+1.3	64%
vs Weaker (2)	70.0	76.0	146.0	-6.0	50%

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#10

98-85

+13

92avg 72

A31/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

83-61

+22

80avg 72

H04/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

82-97

-15

69avg 72

A12/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

79-72 OT

no box

H17/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

80-91

-11

72avg 72

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

68-84

-16

67avg 72

H29/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

71-89

-18

59avg 72

A02/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

88-100

100

-12

85avg 72

H08/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

80-90

-10

72avg 72

H16/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

66-80

-14

59avg 72

A21/12

Primera FEB

27-11

26-26

20-26

25-22

21-11

21-21

23-13

18-16

21-32

16-22

22-30

23-13

17-15

17-17

18-24

17-13

20-30

16-25

27-20

17-16

21-20

19-23

19-22

9-19

19-25

17-23

20-20

15-21

20-30

26-23

25-26

17-21

13-31

19-16

21-25

27-18

19-22

21-13

13-20

13-25

164.4Avg total

79.5Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	79.4	86.2	165.6	-6.9	29%
Season at home (7)	81.3	83.9	165.1	-2.6	43%
Season away (7)	77.4	88.6	166.0	-11.1	14%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	84.9	164.4	-5.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	88.6	163.2	-14.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	79.6	87.5	167.1	-7.9	40%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	77.1	80.6	157.7	-3.5	50%
vs Weaker (5)	80.8	72.6	153.4	+8.2	80%

This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MelillaCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.0	39.2	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	20.4	38.5	-2.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.6	21.4	37.9	-4.8	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	22.7	42.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	25.6	44.0	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.4	24.1	43.5	-4.7	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	22.2	41.3	-3.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.3	22.3	41.6	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	21.9	38.1	-5.6	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.1	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	15.7	19.3	35.0	-3.6	10%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	40%	-

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

35-39

-4

A01/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

31-32

-1

H05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

45-38

A11/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

34-56

-22

H17/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

31-30

A24/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

38-41

-3

A29/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

39-39

H03/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

37-38

-1

A09/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

35-45

-10

H15/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

33-33

A20/12

Primera FEB

74.9Avg total

35.8Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	41.9	79.4	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.5	43.9	81.5	-6.4	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.5	40.4	77.9	-2.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	39.1	74.9	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.2	75.6	-2.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	35.9	43.6	79.5	-7.8	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.2	39.1	79.3	+1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	42.5	79.5	-5.5	50%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#10

53-37

+16

A31/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

42-32

+10

H04/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

37-54

-17

A12/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

34-32

H17/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

36-55

-19

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

40-43

-3

H29/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

36-48

-12

A02/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

46-53

-7

H08/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-47

-15

H16/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

40-35

A21/12

Primera FEB

83.2Avg total

39.6Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	42.8	80.1	-5.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	41.2	80.2	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.3	44.6	79.9	-9.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	43.6	83.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	45.2	84.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.2	45.1	83.3	-6.9	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	35.4	41.3	76.7	-5.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.4	39.0	77.4	-0.6	40%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.2	39.2	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-1.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	14.0	33.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.2	22.4	41.5	-3.2	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	18.9	42.1	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.9	40.6	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.1	19.7	42.8	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	14.8	37.6	+8.0	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.4	21.3	40.6	-1.9	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.9	21.5	41.5	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	15.0	29.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	18.8	40.1	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.5	20.5	41.1	+0.0	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	41.1	79.4	-2.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.6	40.9	81.5	-0.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.5	41.3	77.8	-4.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	36.4	73.2	+0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	33.0	71.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	38.5	43.6	82.2	-5.1	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.8	38.6	77.5	+0.2	73%	-
vs Weaker (2)	33.0	33.5	66.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	39.7	80.6	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	37.8	82.1	+6.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	41.9	78.9	-4.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.0	79.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	43.4	79.2	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	40.7	42.1	82.8	-1.5	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.7	39.0	79.7	+1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.4	33.6	76.0	+8.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melilla wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
21/04/23	Castello v Melilla	105-78
20/12/22	Melilla v Castello	101-81
11/03/22	Castello v Melilla	92-91 OT
05/11/21	Melilla v Castello	58-75
03/01/20	Castello v Melilla	81-91
22/02/19	Castello v Melilla	73-81
02/11/18	Melilla v Castello	82-72
13/05/18	Castello v Melilla	66-73
11/05/18	Castello v Melilla	71-69
06/05/18	Melilla v Castello	83-80 OT

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/23	A	Real Valladolid	76-73
15/12/23	H	Estudiantes	80-81
09/12/23	A	Ourense	65-59
03/12/23	H	Tizona Burgos	83-73
29/11/23	A	Estela	69-75
24/11/23	A	Clavijo	64-62
17/11/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	79-92
11/11/23	A	Oviedo	79-71
05/11/23	H	Alicante	69-73
01/11/23	A	Forca Lleida	62-96

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/23	A	Tizona Burgos	66-80
16/12/23	H	Gipuzkoa	80-90
08/12/23	H	Real Betis	88-100
02/12/23	A	Real Valladolid	71-89
29/11/23	H	Estudiantes	68-84
25/11/23	A	Estela	80-91
17/11/23	H	Clavijo	79-72 OT
12/11/23	A	Forca Lleida	82-97
04/11/23	H	Oviedo	83-61
31/10/23	A	Fuenlabrada	98-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	43%
Home	LLLWL	17%
Away	WWLWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	6	8
Win %	43%	17%	62%
Points / game	73.8	76.5	71.8
Allowed / game	77.5	82.2	74.0
Point differential	-3.7	-5.7	-2.2
Avg total	151.3	158.7	145.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	17%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Castello

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	29%
Home	WWLLL	43%
Away	WLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	29%	43%	14%
Points / game	79.4	81.3	77.4
Allowed / game	86.2	83.9	88.6
Point differential	-6.9	-2.6	-11.1
Avg total	165.6	165.1	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	14%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	14	12	2	86%	85.6	72.8	+12.8
2	Estudiantes	14	11	3	79%	84.8	72.8	+12.0
3	Leyma Coruna	14	10	4	71%	88.4	80.4	+8.0
4	Gipuzkoa	14	10	4	71%	80.9	74.0	+6.9
5	Tizona Burgos	14	10	4	71%	88.4	82.6	+5.7
6	Real Valladolid	14	10	4	71%	79.8	77.8	+2.0
7	Forca Lleida	14	8	6	57%	79.4	76.1	+3.4
8	Alicante	14	8	6	57%	77.9	75.6	+2.3
9	Ourense	14	7	7	50%	71.5	76.7	-5.2
10	Oviedo	14	6	8	43%	80.1	80.8	-0.6
11	Estela	14	6	8	43%	80.1	83.2	-3.1
12	Melilla	14	6	8	43%	73.8	77.5	-3.7
13	Fuenlabrada	14	5	9	36%	75.0	79.1	-4.1
14	Real Betis	14	4	10	29%	78.6	78.4	+0.2
15	Castello	14	4	10	29%	79.4	86.2	-6.9
16	Caceres	14	4	10	29%	74.1	83.1	-9.0
17	Hestia Menorca	14	3	11	21%	67.6	77.1	-9.5
18	Clavijo	14	2	12	14%	64.5	75.6	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melilla	22	20	15	19	76
Castello	8	20	19	18	65

← all games of the day

Melilla vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature