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Melilla vs Castello Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 01 May 2020
Tip-off: 18:15
Postponed
Position#6
Record15-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#10
Record10-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.7
SpainPrimera FEBRound 33
Other2019-20
Meetings · Melilla v Castello
29 Dec 2023
MELI76
CAST65
20 Dec 2022
MELI101
CAST81
05 Nov 2021
MELI58
CAST75
01 May 2020
MELI v CAST
upcoming
02 Nov 2018
MELI82
CAST72
06 May 2018
MELI83
CAST80
04 May 2018
MELI95
CAST67
07 Jan 2018
MELI75
CAST68
09 Dec 2016
MELI82
CAST71
06 Nov 2015
MELI70
CAST76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Castello win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almansa
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H29/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A03/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H10/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H17/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#3
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A24/01
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
H31/01
Primera FEB
Caceres
#9
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A07/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#13
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H14/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A01/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#14
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H06/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
19-15
20-26
27-14
26-16
30-20
19-22
16-23
23-11
17-10
19-11
17-14
13-15
18-18
24-10
19-23
19-13
13-18
10-11
19-23
18-10
17-23
21-21
13-15
–
–
–
–
18-15
21-13
15-25
17-15
11-22
11-17
21-20
19-11
32-21
16-9
23-18
16-14
142.9Avg total
75.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.171.2147.4+4.962%
Season at home (13)75.768.8144.5+6.877%
Season away (11)76.674.1150.7+2.545%
Last 10 (10)75.467.5142.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)72.468.6141.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)71.572.2143.7-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.171.2153.3+10.883%
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Canoe
#17
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A27/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H03/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#8
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A10/01
Primera FEB
Breogan
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A18/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H24/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A31/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H07/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H14/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A29/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H06/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
20-19
19-26
22-18
16-26
20-30
22-19
23-16
19-16
11-18
20-23
26-21
15-20
16-22
21-28
17-17
16-16
22-20
23-27
17-23
30-10
21-25
8-24
21-28
31-19
24-20
16-20
26-24
18-17
17-17
24-9
24-25
19-21
17-16
25-19
20-20
20-21
16-25
20-18
26-23
164.5Avg total
81.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.281.7160.9-2.542%
Season at home (12)80.681.8162.4-1.250%
Season away (12)77.881.6159.4-3.833%
Last 10 (10)81.782.8164.5-1.140%
Last 5 (5)84.680.2164.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.589.1168.6-9.515%
vs Similar (16)79.877.4157.2+2.456%
vs Weaker (1)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
This opponent (Melilla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
MelillaCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almansa
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A03/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H10/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H17/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A24/01
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H31/01
Primera FEB
Granada
#13
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#1
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A01/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/03
Primera FEB
70.1Avg total
38.4Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.536.273.7+1.355%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.233.271.4+5.069%-
Last 30 away (13)36.639.876.5-3.238%-
Last 10 (9)38.431.770.1+6.878%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.267.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)33.937.271.2-3.341%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.534.777.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Canoe
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A27/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#6
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H03/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A10/01
Primera FEB
Breogan
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A31/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H07/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H14/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/03
Primera FEB
79.7Avg total
39.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.180.0-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.042.981.9-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.478.1-0.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.079.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.280.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.545.181.5-8.68%-
vs Similar (16)40.837.678.4+3.250%-
vs Weaker (1)38.046.084.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Melilla wins
3
Castello wins
DateGameScore
03/01/20Castello v Melilla81-91
22/02/19Castello v Melilla73-81
02/11/18Melilla v Castello82-72
13/05/18Castello v Melilla66-73
11/05/18Castello v Melilla71-69
06/05/18Melilla v Castello83-80 OT
04/05/18Melilla v Castello95-67
27/04/18Castello v Melilla88-76
07/01/18Melilla v Castello75-68
07/04/17Castello v Melilla77-64
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/20HHuesca87-62
01/03/20AGipuzkoa62-70
14/02/20HGranada71-68
07/02/20ACaceres54-58
31/01/20HValladolid88-85 OT
24/01/20AAlicante61-65
17/01/20HPalencia74-66
10/01/20HOviedo76-46
03/01/20ACastello91-81
29/12/19HAlmansa90-74
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/20HPalencia82-87
29/02/20AOviedo81-76
14/02/20HLeyma Coruna83-68
07/02/20HAlmansa97-83
31/01/20AForca Lleida80-87
24/01/20HOurense78-86
18/01/20ABreogan69-87
10/01/20AFibwi Palma76-78
03/01/20HMelilla81-91
27/12/19AReal Canoe90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Primera FEB 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%77%45%
Points / game76.175.776.6
Allowed / game71.268.874.1
Point differential+4.9+6.8+2.5
Avg total147.4144.5150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL42%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game79.280.677.8
Allowed / game81.781.881.6
Point differential-2.5-1.2-3.8
Avg total160.9162.4159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gipuzkoa2418675%75.969.1+6.8
2 Valladolid2418675%79.975.1+4.8
3 Alicante2416867%80.574.4+6.0
4 Leyma Coruna2416867%74.274.3-0.0
5 Breogan2415962%81.275.5+5.7
6 Melilla2415962%76.171.2+4.9
7 Palencia2415962%82.577.9+4.6
8 Fibwi Palma2415962%76.672.2+4.5
9 Caceres24141058%76.572.9+3.7
10 Castello24101442%79.281.7-2.5
11 Ourense24101442%71.274.8-3.5
12 Almansa24101442%76.681.3-4.7
13 Granada2491538%72.273.0-0.8
14 Huesca2491538%73.377.2-3.9
15 Forca Lleida2491538%72.977.3-4.5
16 Oviedo2481633%70.175.8-5.7
17 Real Canoe2451921%76.880.9-4.1
18 Peixegalego2442017%67.178.3-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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